Russia's Role in the Israeli-Iranian Relations

Yıl 2024, Cilt: 2 Sayı: 2, 88 - 103, 23.12.2024

Yaroslav Samoylov

Öz

The article delves into Moscow's stance in the ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran. The main argument of this article is that Russia's relations with both Israel and Iran are shaped by its broader geopolitical objectives, particularly its efforts to counter US influence in the Middle East. This perspective allows us to view Russia's actions not as isolated events but as integral moves in a larger geopolitical strategy. By providing this analysis, the article enhances the understanding of Russia’s geopolitical maneuvers in the Israel-Iran conflict and serves as a foundational resource for those involved in international relations and security decision-making. It summarizes Russia’s position as supporting Tehran and attempting to influence regional affairs while refraining from direct involvement in the Israel-Iran conflict. This approach allows Russia to undermine Western initiatives, such as the US-led Abraham Accords and other critical infrastructure projects. By supporting Iran, Moscow aims to assert its influence and reshape regional dynamics in alignment with its own interests. However, an escalation into a full-scale Iran-Israel war poses substantial risks for Russia, jeopardizing its investments in Iranian infrastructure and stretching its military resources amid ongoing commitments, particularly in Ukraine. Consequently, the Kremlin faces a complex challenge in balancing its support for Iran with the need to avoid overextending its capabilities.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Russia, USA, Israel, Iran, Middle East

İsrail-İran İlişkilerinde Rusya'nın Rolü

Öz

Bu makale, Moskova'nın İsrail ve İran arasındaki devam eden çatışmadaki duruşunu incelemektedir. Rusya'nın hem İsrail hem de İran ile olan ilişkileri, özellikle Orta Doğu'daki ABD etkisini dengeleme çabaları gibi daha geniş jeopolitik hedefler tarafından şekillenmektedir. Bu bakış açısı, Rusya'nın eylemlerini izole olaylar olarak değil, daha büyük bir jeopolitik stratejinin ayrılmaz parçaları olarak değerlendirmelerine olanak tanımaktadır. Makalede, Rusya'nın Tahran'ı destekleyerek bölgesel meseleleri etkilemeye çalıştığı ve İsrail-İran çatışmasına doğrudan müdahaleden kaçındığı vurgulanmaktadır. Bu yaklaşım, Rusya'nın ABD liderliğindeki İbrahim Anlaşmaları ve diğer kritik altyapı projeleri gibi Batılı girişimleri zayıflatmasına yardımcı olmaktadır. İran'ı destekleyerek Moskova, bölgedeki etkisini artırmayı ve dinamikleri kendi çıkarları doğrultusunda yeniden şekillendirmeyi hedeflemektedir. Ancak, tam ölçekli bir İran-İsrail savaşına tırmanma riski, Rusya için önemli tehditler oluşturmaktadır. Bu durum, İran altyapısına yapılan yatırımları tehlikeye sokmakta ve özellikle Ukrayna'daki devam eden taahhütler arasında askeri kaynaklarını zorlamaktadır. Sonuç olarak, Kremlin, İran'a olan desteği ile maliyetlerini artırmaktan kaçınma ihtiyacı arasında karmaşık bir denge kurma zorluğuyla karşı karşıyadır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Rusya, Israil, ABD, Orta Doğu, Iran

Kaynakça

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