TÜRKİYE'NİN DÜZEY-2 BÖLGELERİ ARASINDA GELİR YAKINSAMASININ ANALİZİ

Yıl 2025, Cilt: 5 Sayı: 1, 37 - 49, 30.06.2025

Murat Ergül

https://doi.org/10.63233/kbuiibfdergisi.1596129

Öz

Günümüzde hem gelişmiş hem de gelişmekte olan ülkeler arasında, ayrıca bu ülkelerin içindeki bölgeler arasında belirgin sosyo-ekonomik gelişmişlik farklılıklarının varlığı dikkat çekmektedir. Dolayısıyla bölgesel farklılıkların yok edilmesi ya da en aza indirilmesi iktisadi karar vericilerin ilgilendiği popüler konular arasında ön sıralarda yer almaktadır. Bu çalışma, Türkiye'deki gelir farklılıklarının uzun vadede bir yakınsama sürecine girerek azalma eğilimi gösterip göstermediğini incelemeyi hedefler. Olası bir yakınsama hareketinin tespiti için Avrupa Birliği’nin İstatistiki Bölge Birimleri Sınıflandırmasına (NUTS) paralel olarak belirlenmiş ve Türkiye’nin 26 bölgesini kapsayan Düzey2 bölgelerinin kişi başı gelir seviyeleri veri seti olarak kullanılmıştır. 2004-2022 zaman aralığına ait olan ve yıllık olarak oluşturulan seriler Türkiye İstatistik Kurumundan temin edilmiştir. Çalışma literatürde görece yeni olan ve standart panel birim kök analizlerine göre daha tutarlı sonuçlar veren ve idiyosenkratik faktörleri dikkate alarak diğer yöntemlerden farklılaşan PANIC (Panel Analysis of Nonstationarity in Idiosyncratic and Common Components) prosedürünü devreye sokarak Türkiye’deki olası yakınsama süreçlerinin yapısını ortaya koymayı amaçlar. Uygulanan yeni yöntem sonrası Türkiye’de belirli bölgelerin yakınsama eğilimi göstererek ortalama kişi başı gelir seviyesini uzun dönemde yakalama şansı olduğu sonucuna varılmış ve elde edilen sonuca paralel olarak politika önermeleri oluşturulmuştur.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Gelir Yakınsaması , Gelir farklılıkları , Fourier PANIC Prosedürü

AN ANALYSIS OF INCOME CONVERGENCE BETWEEN NUTS-2 REGIONS OF TÜRKİYE

Öz

It is well-recognized that socio-economic development disparities exist both between developed and developing countries and among regions within these nations. Consequently, reducing or eliminating regional disparities remains one of the primary concerns of economic policymakers. This study aims to examine whether income disparities in Türkiye exhibit a tendency to diminish over time by converging towards a common trend. To detect potential convergence dynamics, the study employs per capita income data from Level-2 regions, covering Türkiye’s 26 regions as classified in accordance with the European Union’s Nomenclature of Units for Territorial Statistics (NUTS). The dataset, comprising annual series for the 2004–2022 period, was obtained from the Turkish Statistical Institute. Utilizing the PANIC (Panel Analysis of Nonstationarity in Idiosyncratic and Common Components) procedure—an innovative approach that diverges from standard panel unit root analyses by accounting for idiosyncratic factors and providing more robust results—the study seeks to uncover the structural characteristics of potential convergence processes in Türkiye. Findings suggest that certain regions demonstrate a convergence tendency, with prospects of achieving the average per capita income level in the long run. Based on these results, policy recommendations are proposed to support and enhance the observed convergence patterns.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Income Convergence , Income disparities , Fourier PANIC procedure

Kaynakça

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