Year 2015, Volume , Issue 15, Pages 179 - 192 2015-06-20

TÜRKİYE VE TİCARET ORTAKLARI ARASINDAKİ TİCARETİN S-EĞRİSİ DİNAMİĞİ
S-CURVE DYNAMICS OF TRADE BETWEEN TURKEY AND HER TRADING PARTNERS

Reşat AKKAY [1]

184 569

S-eğrisi ilişkisi, dış ticaret haddi ve dış ticaret dengesi arasındaki dinamik süreci ifade etmekte kullanılmaktadır. Bazı gelişmiş ve gelişmekte olan ülkelerin tüm dünya ile ticareti çerçevesinde yapılan analizler sonucunda bu ilişkinin varlığına rastlanırken; bazı ülkeler açısından bu ilişkinin zayıf, bazı ülkeler içinse hiç olmadığı görülmektedir. Bu çalışmalarda toplulaştırma yanlılığı probleminin olma olasılığı, ülkelerin ticaret ortaklarıyla tek tek karşılıklı olarak ve endüstri kolları düzeyinde değerlendirdiği analizlerin yapılmasına neden olmuştur. Çalışmada Türkiye açısından S-eğrisi ilişkisi 2003(1)-2012(4) dönemi için tüm dünya, gelişmekte olan ülkeler, gelişmiş ülkeler ve Türkiye’nin dış ticaretindeki en önemli 20 ülke ile karşılıklı olarak ele alınmıştır. Analiz sonucunda Türkiye açısından S-eğrisi ilişkisinin tüm dünya ve grup olarak gelişmekte olan ülkeler ile zayıf; grup olarak gelişmekte olan ülkeler ile kuvvetli olduğu tespit edilmiştir. Türkiye’nin dış ticaretinde önemli olan 20 ülke ile ikili düzeyde yapılan analizin sonucunda ise S-eğrisi ilişkisinin 14 ülke için kuvvetli olduğu gözlemlenmiştir

The S-curve is used to describe the dynamic relation between terms of trade and trade balance. As a result of previous works the S-curve relation was obtained for some developed and developing countries within the framework of their trade with the rest of the world. On the other hand for some countries this relationship is weak or there is no relationship. The possibility of “aggregation bias” problem of the previous works leads researchers to a make the same analysis at bilateral and industry level. In our work this relationship is investigated for Turkey at aggregate level with the rest of the world, with the developing and developed countries and at the bilateral level with the 20 important trade partners for the 2003Q1-2012Q4 period. The results of our analysis for Turkey show that there is a weak S-curve relation with the rest of the world and with the developing countries. On the other hand the relation is strong with the developed countries. At the bilateral level there is a strong S-curve relation in 14 out of 20 cases
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Primary Language en
Subjects Social
Journal Section Articles
Authors

Author: Reşat AKKAY

Dates

Publication Date: June 20, 2015

Bibtex @research article { ulikidince232303, journal = {Uluslararası İktisadi ve İdari İncelemeler Dergisi}, issn = {1307-9832}, eissn = {1307-9859}, address = {Kenan ÇELİK}, year = {2015}, volume = {}, pages = {179 - 192}, doi = {10.18092/ijeas.52534}, title = {S-CURVE DYNAMICS OF TRADE BETWEEN TURKEY AND HER TRADING PARTNERS}, key = {cite}, author = {AKKAY, Reşat} }
APA AKKAY, R . (2015). S-CURVE DYNAMICS OF TRADE BETWEEN TURKEY AND HER TRADING PARTNERS. Uluslararası İktisadi ve İdari İncelemeler Dergisi, (15), 179-192. DOI: 10.18092/ijeas.52534
MLA AKKAY, R . "S-CURVE DYNAMICS OF TRADE BETWEEN TURKEY AND HER TRADING PARTNERS". Uluslararası İktisadi ve İdari İncelemeler Dergisi (2015): 179-192 <http://dergipark.org.tr/ulikidince/issue/21627/232303>
Chicago AKKAY, R . "S-CURVE DYNAMICS OF TRADE BETWEEN TURKEY AND HER TRADING PARTNERS". Uluslararası İktisadi ve İdari İncelemeler Dergisi (2015): 179-192
RIS TY - JOUR T1 - S-CURVE DYNAMICS OF TRADE BETWEEN TURKEY AND HER TRADING PARTNERS AU - Reşat AKKAY Y1 - 2015 PY - 2015 N1 - doi: 10.18092/ijeas.52534 DO - 10.18092/ijeas.52534 T2 - Uluslararası İktisadi ve İdari İncelemeler Dergisi JF - Journal JO - JOR SP - 179 EP - 192 VL - IS - 15 SN - 1307-9832-1307-9859 M3 - doi: 10.18092/ijeas.52534 UR - https://doi.org/10.18092/ijeas.52534 Y2 - 2019 ER -
EndNote %0 International Journal of Economics and Administrative Studies S-CURVE DYNAMICS OF TRADE BETWEEN TURKEY AND HER TRADING PARTNERS %A Reşat AKKAY %T S-CURVE DYNAMICS OF TRADE BETWEEN TURKEY AND HER TRADING PARTNERS %D 2015 %J Uluslararası İktisadi ve İdari İncelemeler Dergisi %P 1307-9832-1307-9859 %V %N 15 %R doi: 10.18092/ijeas.52534 %U 10.18092/ijeas.52534
ISNAD AKKAY, Reşat . "S-CURVE DYNAMICS OF TRADE BETWEEN TURKEY AND HER TRADING PARTNERS". Uluslararası İktisadi ve İdari İncelemeler Dergisi / 15 (June 2015): 179-192. https://doi.org/10.18092/ijeas.52534
AMA AKKAY R . S-CURVE DYNAMICS OF TRADE BETWEEN TURKEY AND HER TRADING PARTNERS. IJEAS. 2015; (15): 179-192.
Vancouver AKKAY R . S-CURVE DYNAMICS OF TRADE BETWEEN TURKEY AND HER TRADING PARTNERS. Uluslararası İktisadi ve İdari İncelemeler Dergisi. 2015; (15): 192-179.