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Investigation of the Factors Affecting the Crash Frequency at Four-Legged Signalized Urban Intersections

Yıl 2020, Cilt: 31 Sayı: 3, 10033 - 10053, 01.05.2020
https://doi.org/10.18400/tekderg.509128

Öz

Although intersections constitute a little space on the urban road network, they are the areas where traffic crashes are concentrated. In this study, the relationship between traffic volume, intersection geometry, traffic control characteristics and vehicular fatal/injury traffic crashes (without pedestrians) were examined for 39 four-legged signalized intersections in the city center of Mersin during 2014 to 2016. For this purpose, Poisson regression and negative binomial (NB) regression models were used. The results showed that total number of approach lanes increases the intersection crashes. On the other hand, the increase in ratio of traffic volumes between primary and secondary intersection legs reduces the intersection crashes. The presence of median on primary intersection legs also reduces the number of crashes.

Kaynakça

  • Türkiye İstatistik Enstitüsü. Karayolu Trafik Kaza İstatistikleri, 2017. Türkiye, 2018. http://www.tuik.gov.tr/PreHaberBultenleri.do?id=27668
  • Türkiye Karayolları Genel Müdürlüğü. Trafik Kazaları Özeti 2017. Türkiye, 2018. http://www.kgm.gov.tr/Sayfalar/KGM/SiteTr/Istatistikler/TrafikveUlasim.aspx
  • Persaud, B., Lord, D., Palmisano, J., Calibration and Transferability of Accident Prediction Models for Urban Intersections. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 1784, 57-64, 2002.
  • Wong, S. C., Sze, N. N., Li, Y. C., Contributory Factors to Traffic Crashes at Signalized Intersections in Hong Kong. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 39(6), 1107-1113, 2007.
  • Wang, X., Abdel-Aty, M., Brady, P. A., Crash Estimation at Signalized Intersections: Significant Factors and Temporal Effect. Transportation Research Record, 1953(1), 10-20, 2006.
  • Montella, A., Identifying Crash Contributory Factors at Urban Roundabouts and using Association Rules to Explore their Relationships to Different Crash Types. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 43(4), 1451-1463, 2011.
  • Pulugurtha, S. S., Sambhara, V. R., Pedestrian Crash Estimation Models for Signalized Intersections. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 43(1), 439-446, 2011.
  • Dong, C., Clarke, D. B., Yan, X., Khattak, A., Huang, B., Multivariate Random-Parameters Zero-Inflated Negative Binomial Regression Model: An Application to Estimate Crash Frequencies at Intersections. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 70, 320-329, 2014.
  • Poch, M., Mannering, F., Negative Binomial Analysis of Intersection-Accident Frequencies. Journal of Transportation Engineering, 122(2), 105-113, 1996.
  • Kaygısız, Ö., Sümer, N., Kentsel Kavşaklardaki Elektronik Denetim Sistemlerinin Trafik Kazalarına Etkisi: Ankara Örneği. METU Journal of the Faculty of Architecture, 34(2), 225-244, 2017.
  • Kaygısız, Ö., Şenbil, M., Şehir Planlamada Yol Ağı ve Kavşaklar Sorunu: Kazalar ve Kaza Çeşitlerinden Bir Bakış, Eskişehir Örneği. 2. Kentsel ve Bölgesel Araştırmalar Sempozyumu, Ankara, Türkiye, 2011.
  • Tanyel, S., Koyuncu, M., Çalışkanelli, S. P., Sürücü Davranışlarının Sinyalize Kavşak Başarımı Üzerindeki Etkisi. Teknik Dergi, 29(5), 8563-8588, 2018.
  • Çalışkanelli, S. P., Tanyel, S., Sinyalize Kavşaklarda Doygun Akım Değerinin İrdelenmesi. Teknik Dergi, 29(1), 8225-8248, 2017.
  • Ewing, R., Dumbaugh, E., The Built Environment and Traffic Safety: A Review of Empirical Evidence. Journal of Planning Literature, 23(4), 347-367, 2009.
  • Ebbecke, J. M., Schuster J. J., Areawide Impact of Traffic Control Devices. Transportation Research Record, 644, 54-57, 1977.
  • Bissell, H. H., Neudorff, L. G., Criteria for Removing Traffic Signals. Compendium of Technical Papers, Institute of Transportation Engineers, Washington, DC, USA, 1980.
  • Persaud, B., Hauer, E., Retting, R., Vallurupalli, R., Mucsi, K., Crash Reductions Related to Traffic Signal Removal in Philadelphia. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 29(6), 803-810, 1997.
  • Wong, S. C., Yang, H., Reserve Capacity of a Signal-Controlled Road Network. Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, 31(5), 397-402, 1997.
  • Wong, C.K., Wong, S.C., Tong, C.O., A Lane-Based Optimization Method for the Multi-Period Analysis of Isolated Signal-Controlled Junctions. Transportmetrica, 2, 53–85, 2006.
  • Elvik, R., A. B. Mysen, T. Vaa. Traffic Safety Handbook. Institute of Transport Economics. Norway, 1997.
  • Greibe, P., Accident Prediction Models for Urban Roads. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 35(2), 273-285, 2003.
  • Brüde, U, Traffic Safety at Junctions, VTI Rapport, 366A, 1991.
  • Vodahl, S. B., Giæver, T., Risiko ved Fotgjengerkryssinger, Report No: STF63 A86025, SINTEF Samferdselsteknikk, Trondheim, 1986.
  • Lovegrove, G. R., Sayed, T., Macro-Level Collision Prediction Models for Evaluating Neighbourhood Traffic Safety. Canadian Journal of Civil Engineering, 33(5), 609-621, 2006.
  • Gluck, J. S., Levinson, H. S., Stover, V. G., Impacts of Access Management Techniques, No: 420, Transportation Research Board, 1999.
  • Vogt, A., Crash Models for Rural Intersections: 4-Lane by 2-Lane Stop-Controlled and 2-Lane by 2-Lane Signalized. Federal Highway Administration, Washington, DC, USA 1999.
  • Bauer, K. M., Harwood, D. W., Statistical Models of at-grade Intersection Accidents, No: FHWA-RD-96-125, 1996.
  • Vogt, A., Bared, J., Accident Models for Two-Lane Rural Segments and Intersections. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, (1635), 18-29, 1998.
  • Federal Highway Association, Roundabouts: An Informational Guide, No: FHWA-RD-00-067, 2000.
  • Elvik, R., Vaa, T., Hoye, A., Sorensen, M. (Eds.), The Handbook of Road Safety Measures. Emerald Group Publishing, 2009.
  • Troutbeck, R. J., Capacity and Design of Traffic Circles in Australia. Transportation Research Record, 1398, 1993.
  • Schoon, C., van Minnen, J., Safety of Roundabouts in The Netherlands. Traffic Engineering and Control, 35(3), 142-148, 1994.
  • Rodegerdts, L., Roundabouts in the United States. Transportation Research Board, 572, 2007.
  • Brown, M., The Design of Roundabouts, 1995.
  • Rodegerdts, L. A., Cibor, A., Pochowski, A., Status of Roundabouts in North America, TRB Roundabout Conference, USA, 2008.
  • Lenters, M. S., Safety Auditing Roundabouts, Transportation Research E-Circular, No: E-C083, 1-20, 2005.
  • Spacek, P., Basis of the Swiss Design Standard for Roundabouts. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 1881, 27-35, 2004.
  • Elvik, R., Effects on Road Safety of Converting Intersections to Roundabouts: Review of Evidence from Non-US Studies. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 1847, 1-10, 2003.
  • Distefano, N., Leonardi, S., A List of Accident Scenarios for Three Legs Skewed Intersections. IATSS Research, 42(3), 97-104, 2018.
  • Burchett, G. D., Maze, T. H., Rural Expressway Intersection Characteristics as Factors in Reducing Safety Performance. Transportation Research Record, 1953(1), 71-80, 2006.
  • Zhong, X., Wang, Y., Zhong, L., Zhu, X., Jia, J., Zhao, M., Ma, J., Liu, X. (2007). Study on the Relationship of Intersection Design and Safety of Urban Unsignalized Intersection in China. In 3rd Urban Street Symposium, Transportation Research Board, Washington D.C., 2007.
  • American Association of State Highway, and Transportation Officials, T., A Policy on Geometric Design of Highways and Streets, 2011.
  • Pulugurtha, S. S., Nujjetty, A. P., Assessment of Models to Estimate Crashes at Intersections: With and without using Traffic Volume, No: 12-2880, 2012.
  • Ladron de Guevara, F., S. P. Washington, and J. Oh, Forecasting Crashes at the Planning Level: Simultaneous Negative Binomial Crash Models Applied in Tucson, Arizona. In Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 1897, 191–199, 2004.
  • Lyon, C., Haq, A., Persaud, B., Kodama, S., Safety Performance Functions for Signalized Intersections in Large Urban Areas: Development and Application to Evaluation of Left-Turn Priority Treatment. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 1908, 165-171, 2005.
  • Kumara, S., Chin, H., Application of Poisson Underreporting Model to Examine Crash Frequencies at Signalized Three-Legged Intersections. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 1908, 46-50, 2005.
  • Oh, J., Washington, S., Choi, K., Development of Accident Prediction Models for Rural Highway Intersections. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 1897, 18-27, 2004.
  • Lee, C., Abdel-Aty, M., Comprehensive Analysis of Vehicle–Pedestrian Crashes at Intersections in Florida. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 37(4), 775-786, 2005.
  • Torbic, D., Harwood, D., Bokenkroger, C., Srinivasan, R., Carter, D., Zegeer, C., Lyon, C., Pedestrian Safety Prediction Methodology for Urban Signalized ıntersections. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 2198, 65-74, 2010.
  • Brüde, U., Larsson, J., The Safety of Cyclists at Roundabouts: A Comparison between Swedish, Danish and Dutch Results. Statens väg-och Transportforskningsinstitut, 1996.
  • Jovanis, P. P., Chang, H. L., Modeling the Relationship of Accidents to Miles Traveled. Transportation Research Record, 1068, 42-51, 1986.
  • Joshua, S. C., Garber, N. J., Estimating Truck Accident Rate and Involvements using Linear and Poisson Regression Models. Transportation Planning and Technology, 15(1), 41-58, 1990.
  • Chin, H. C., Quddus, M. A., Applying the Random Effect Negative Binomial Model to Examine Traffic Accident Occurrence at Signalized Intersections. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 35(2), 253-259, 2003.
  • Miaou, S. P., Lum, H., Modeling Vehicle Accidents and Highway Geometric Design Relationships. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 25(6), 689-709, 1993.
  • Washington, S.P., Karlaftis, M.G., Mannering, F.L., Statistical and Econometric Methods for Transportation Data Analysis. CRC Press, New York, United States, 2003.
  • Greene, W. H., Accounting for Excess Zeros and Sample Selection in Poisson and Negative Binomial Regression Models, 1994.
  • Maher, M. J., Summersgill, I., A Comprehensive Methodology for the Fitting of Predictive Accident Models. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 28(3), 281-296, 1996.
  • Abdel-Aty, M. A., Radwan, A. E., Modeling Traffic Accident Occurrence and Involvement. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 32(5), 633-642, 2000.
  • Hu, W., McCartt, A. T., Teoh, E. R. Effects of Red Light Camera Enforcement on Fatal Crashes in Large US Cities. Journal of safety research, 42(4), 277-282, 2011.
  • Donnell, E. T., Porter, R. J. and Shankar, V. N. (2010). A Framework for Estimating the Safety Effects of Roadway Lighting at Intersections. Safety science, 48(10), 1436-1444, 2010.
  • Kumara, S. S. P., Chin, H. C., Modeling Accident Occurrence at Signalized Tee Intersections with Special Emphasis on Excess Zeros. Traffic Injury Prevention, 4(1), 53-57, 2003.
  • Malyshkina, N., Mannering, F., Zero-State Markov Switching Count-Data Models: An Empirical Assessment. Accident Analysis and Prevention 42 (1), 122–130, 2010.
  • Qin, X., Ivan, J.N., Ravishankar, N., Selecting Exposure Measures in Crash Rate Prediction For Two-Lane Highway Segments. Accident Analysis and Prevention 36 (2), 183–191, 2004.
  • Lord, D., Washington, S.P., Ivan, J.N., 2007. Further Notes on the Application of Zero Inflated Models in Highway Safety. Accident Analysis and Prevention 39(1), 53–57, 2007.
  • Mitra, S., Washington, S., On the Significance of Omitted Variables in Intersection Crash Modeling. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 49, 439-448, 2012.
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  • Hels, T., Orozova-Bekkevold, I., The Effect of Roundabout Design Features on Cyclist Accident Rate. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 39(2), 300-307, 2007.
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Dört Kollu Sinyalize Kentsel Kavşaklarda Trafik Kazalarının Sıklığını Etkileyen Faktörlerin İncelenmesi

Yıl 2020, Cilt: 31 Sayı: 3, 10033 - 10053, 01.05.2020
https://doi.org/10.18400/tekderg.509128

Öz

Kavşaklar kentsel yol ağı üzerinde çok az yer kaplamalarına rağmen trafik kazalarının yoğunlaştığı bölgeleri oluşturmaktadır. Bu çalışmada Mersin kent merkezinde sinyalizasyon ile yönetilen dört kollu 39 kavşakta, 2014-2016 yılları arasındaki sadece taşıtların karıştığı ölümlü/yaralanmalı trafik kazaları ile trafik hacmi, kavşak geometrisi ve trafik kontrol özellikleri arasındaki ilişki incelenmiştir. Bu amaçla Poisson ve negatif binom (NB) regresyon modelleri kullanılmıştır. Sonuçlar kavşağa yaklaşan toplam şerit sayısının artmasının kazaları arttırdığını göstermiştir. Öte yandan, birincil kavşak kollarındaki trafiğin, ikincil kavşak kollarındaki trafiğe oranının atması ve birincil kavşak kollarındaki orta refüj kavşaklardaki kaza sayısını azaltmaktadır.

Kaynakça

  • Türkiye İstatistik Enstitüsü. Karayolu Trafik Kaza İstatistikleri, 2017. Türkiye, 2018. http://www.tuik.gov.tr/PreHaberBultenleri.do?id=27668
  • Türkiye Karayolları Genel Müdürlüğü. Trafik Kazaları Özeti 2017. Türkiye, 2018. http://www.kgm.gov.tr/Sayfalar/KGM/SiteTr/Istatistikler/TrafikveUlasim.aspx
  • Persaud, B., Lord, D., Palmisano, J., Calibration and Transferability of Accident Prediction Models for Urban Intersections. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 1784, 57-64, 2002.
  • Wong, S. C., Sze, N. N., Li, Y. C., Contributory Factors to Traffic Crashes at Signalized Intersections in Hong Kong. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 39(6), 1107-1113, 2007.
  • Wang, X., Abdel-Aty, M., Brady, P. A., Crash Estimation at Signalized Intersections: Significant Factors and Temporal Effect. Transportation Research Record, 1953(1), 10-20, 2006.
  • Montella, A., Identifying Crash Contributory Factors at Urban Roundabouts and using Association Rules to Explore their Relationships to Different Crash Types. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 43(4), 1451-1463, 2011.
  • Pulugurtha, S. S., Sambhara, V. R., Pedestrian Crash Estimation Models for Signalized Intersections. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 43(1), 439-446, 2011.
  • Dong, C., Clarke, D. B., Yan, X., Khattak, A., Huang, B., Multivariate Random-Parameters Zero-Inflated Negative Binomial Regression Model: An Application to Estimate Crash Frequencies at Intersections. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 70, 320-329, 2014.
  • Poch, M., Mannering, F., Negative Binomial Analysis of Intersection-Accident Frequencies. Journal of Transportation Engineering, 122(2), 105-113, 1996.
  • Kaygısız, Ö., Sümer, N., Kentsel Kavşaklardaki Elektronik Denetim Sistemlerinin Trafik Kazalarına Etkisi: Ankara Örneği. METU Journal of the Faculty of Architecture, 34(2), 225-244, 2017.
  • Kaygısız, Ö., Şenbil, M., Şehir Planlamada Yol Ağı ve Kavşaklar Sorunu: Kazalar ve Kaza Çeşitlerinden Bir Bakış, Eskişehir Örneği. 2. Kentsel ve Bölgesel Araştırmalar Sempozyumu, Ankara, Türkiye, 2011.
  • Tanyel, S., Koyuncu, M., Çalışkanelli, S. P., Sürücü Davranışlarının Sinyalize Kavşak Başarımı Üzerindeki Etkisi. Teknik Dergi, 29(5), 8563-8588, 2018.
  • Çalışkanelli, S. P., Tanyel, S., Sinyalize Kavşaklarda Doygun Akım Değerinin İrdelenmesi. Teknik Dergi, 29(1), 8225-8248, 2017.
  • Ewing, R., Dumbaugh, E., The Built Environment and Traffic Safety: A Review of Empirical Evidence. Journal of Planning Literature, 23(4), 347-367, 2009.
  • Ebbecke, J. M., Schuster J. J., Areawide Impact of Traffic Control Devices. Transportation Research Record, 644, 54-57, 1977.
  • Bissell, H. H., Neudorff, L. G., Criteria for Removing Traffic Signals. Compendium of Technical Papers, Institute of Transportation Engineers, Washington, DC, USA, 1980.
  • Persaud, B., Hauer, E., Retting, R., Vallurupalli, R., Mucsi, K., Crash Reductions Related to Traffic Signal Removal in Philadelphia. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 29(6), 803-810, 1997.
  • Wong, S. C., Yang, H., Reserve Capacity of a Signal-Controlled Road Network. Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, 31(5), 397-402, 1997.
  • Wong, C.K., Wong, S.C., Tong, C.O., A Lane-Based Optimization Method for the Multi-Period Analysis of Isolated Signal-Controlled Junctions. Transportmetrica, 2, 53–85, 2006.
  • Elvik, R., A. B. Mysen, T. Vaa. Traffic Safety Handbook. Institute of Transport Economics. Norway, 1997.
  • Greibe, P., Accident Prediction Models for Urban Roads. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 35(2), 273-285, 2003.
  • Brüde, U, Traffic Safety at Junctions, VTI Rapport, 366A, 1991.
  • Vodahl, S. B., Giæver, T., Risiko ved Fotgjengerkryssinger, Report No: STF63 A86025, SINTEF Samferdselsteknikk, Trondheim, 1986.
  • Lovegrove, G. R., Sayed, T., Macro-Level Collision Prediction Models for Evaluating Neighbourhood Traffic Safety. Canadian Journal of Civil Engineering, 33(5), 609-621, 2006.
  • Gluck, J. S., Levinson, H. S., Stover, V. G., Impacts of Access Management Techniques, No: 420, Transportation Research Board, 1999.
  • Vogt, A., Crash Models for Rural Intersections: 4-Lane by 2-Lane Stop-Controlled and 2-Lane by 2-Lane Signalized. Federal Highway Administration, Washington, DC, USA 1999.
  • Bauer, K. M., Harwood, D. W., Statistical Models of at-grade Intersection Accidents, No: FHWA-RD-96-125, 1996.
  • Vogt, A., Bared, J., Accident Models for Two-Lane Rural Segments and Intersections. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, (1635), 18-29, 1998.
  • Federal Highway Association, Roundabouts: An Informational Guide, No: FHWA-RD-00-067, 2000.
  • Elvik, R., Vaa, T., Hoye, A., Sorensen, M. (Eds.), The Handbook of Road Safety Measures. Emerald Group Publishing, 2009.
  • Troutbeck, R. J., Capacity and Design of Traffic Circles in Australia. Transportation Research Record, 1398, 1993.
  • Schoon, C., van Minnen, J., Safety of Roundabouts in The Netherlands. Traffic Engineering and Control, 35(3), 142-148, 1994.
  • Rodegerdts, L., Roundabouts in the United States. Transportation Research Board, 572, 2007.
  • Brown, M., The Design of Roundabouts, 1995.
  • Rodegerdts, L. A., Cibor, A., Pochowski, A., Status of Roundabouts in North America, TRB Roundabout Conference, USA, 2008.
  • Lenters, M. S., Safety Auditing Roundabouts, Transportation Research E-Circular, No: E-C083, 1-20, 2005.
  • Spacek, P., Basis of the Swiss Design Standard for Roundabouts. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 1881, 27-35, 2004.
  • Elvik, R., Effects on Road Safety of Converting Intersections to Roundabouts: Review of Evidence from Non-US Studies. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 1847, 1-10, 2003.
  • Distefano, N., Leonardi, S., A List of Accident Scenarios for Three Legs Skewed Intersections. IATSS Research, 42(3), 97-104, 2018.
  • Burchett, G. D., Maze, T. H., Rural Expressway Intersection Characteristics as Factors in Reducing Safety Performance. Transportation Research Record, 1953(1), 71-80, 2006.
  • Zhong, X., Wang, Y., Zhong, L., Zhu, X., Jia, J., Zhao, M., Ma, J., Liu, X. (2007). Study on the Relationship of Intersection Design and Safety of Urban Unsignalized Intersection in China. In 3rd Urban Street Symposium, Transportation Research Board, Washington D.C., 2007.
  • American Association of State Highway, and Transportation Officials, T., A Policy on Geometric Design of Highways and Streets, 2011.
  • Pulugurtha, S. S., Nujjetty, A. P., Assessment of Models to Estimate Crashes at Intersections: With and without using Traffic Volume, No: 12-2880, 2012.
  • Ladron de Guevara, F., S. P. Washington, and J. Oh, Forecasting Crashes at the Planning Level: Simultaneous Negative Binomial Crash Models Applied in Tucson, Arizona. In Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 1897, 191–199, 2004.
  • Lyon, C., Haq, A., Persaud, B., Kodama, S., Safety Performance Functions for Signalized Intersections in Large Urban Areas: Development and Application to Evaluation of Left-Turn Priority Treatment. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 1908, 165-171, 2005.
  • Kumara, S., Chin, H., Application of Poisson Underreporting Model to Examine Crash Frequencies at Signalized Three-Legged Intersections. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 1908, 46-50, 2005.
  • Oh, J., Washington, S., Choi, K., Development of Accident Prediction Models for Rural Highway Intersections. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 1897, 18-27, 2004.
  • Lee, C., Abdel-Aty, M., Comprehensive Analysis of Vehicle–Pedestrian Crashes at Intersections in Florida. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 37(4), 775-786, 2005.
  • Torbic, D., Harwood, D., Bokenkroger, C., Srinivasan, R., Carter, D., Zegeer, C., Lyon, C., Pedestrian Safety Prediction Methodology for Urban Signalized ıntersections. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 2198, 65-74, 2010.
  • Brüde, U., Larsson, J., The Safety of Cyclists at Roundabouts: A Comparison between Swedish, Danish and Dutch Results. Statens väg-och Transportforskningsinstitut, 1996.
  • Jovanis, P. P., Chang, H. L., Modeling the Relationship of Accidents to Miles Traveled. Transportation Research Record, 1068, 42-51, 1986.
  • Joshua, S. C., Garber, N. J., Estimating Truck Accident Rate and Involvements using Linear and Poisson Regression Models. Transportation Planning and Technology, 15(1), 41-58, 1990.
  • Chin, H. C., Quddus, M. A., Applying the Random Effect Negative Binomial Model to Examine Traffic Accident Occurrence at Signalized Intersections. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 35(2), 253-259, 2003.
  • Miaou, S. P., Lum, H., Modeling Vehicle Accidents and Highway Geometric Design Relationships. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 25(6), 689-709, 1993.
  • Washington, S.P., Karlaftis, M.G., Mannering, F.L., Statistical and Econometric Methods for Transportation Data Analysis. CRC Press, New York, United States, 2003.
  • Greene, W. H., Accounting for Excess Zeros and Sample Selection in Poisson and Negative Binomial Regression Models, 1994.
  • Maher, M. J., Summersgill, I., A Comprehensive Methodology for the Fitting of Predictive Accident Models. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 28(3), 281-296, 1996.
  • Abdel-Aty, M. A., Radwan, A. E., Modeling Traffic Accident Occurrence and Involvement. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 32(5), 633-642, 2000.
  • Hu, W., McCartt, A. T., Teoh, E. R. Effects of Red Light Camera Enforcement on Fatal Crashes in Large US Cities. Journal of safety research, 42(4), 277-282, 2011.
  • Donnell, E. T., Porter, R. J. and Shankar, V. N. (2010). A Framework for Estimating the Safety Effects of Roadway Lighting at Intersections. Safety science, 48(10), 1436-1444, 2010.
  • Kumara, S. S. P., Chin, H. C., Modeling Accident Occurrence at Signalized Tee Intersections with Special Emphasis on Excess Zeros. Traffic Injury Prevention, 4(1), 53-57, 2003.
  • Malyshkina, N., Mannering, F., Zero-State Markov Switching Count-Data Models: An Empirical Assessment. Accident Analysis and Prevention 42 (1), 122–130, 2010.
  • Qin, X., Ivan, J.N., Ravishankar, N., Selecting Exposure Measures in Crash Rate Prediction For Two-Lane Highway Segments. Accident Analysis and Prevention 36 (2), 183–191, 2004.
  • Lord, D., Washington, S.P., Ivan, J.N., 2007. Further Notes on the Application of Zero Inflated Models in Highway Safety. Accident Analysis and Prevention 39(1), 53–57, 2007.
  • Mitra, S., Washington, S., On the Significance of Omitted Variables in Intersection Crash Modeling. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 49, 439-448, 2012.
  • Wu, Z., Sharma, A., Mannering, F. L. and Wang, S., Safety Impacts of Signal-Warning Flashers and Speed Control at High-Speed Signalized Intersections. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 54, 90-98, 2013.
  • Haque, M. M., Chin, H. C. and Huang, H., Applying Bayesian Hierarchical Models to Examine Motorcycle Crashes at Signalized Intersections. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 42(1), 203-212, 2010.
  • Das, A., Abdel-Aty, M. A., A Combined Frequency–Severity Approach for the Analysis of Rear-End Crashes on Urban Arterials. Safety Science, 49(8-9), 1156-1163, 2011.
  • Wang, X. ve Abdel-Aty, M., Temporal and Spatial Analyses of Rear-End Crashes at Signalized Intersections. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 38(6), 1137-1150, 2006.
  • Zhou, S., Sun, J., Li, K. P., Yang, X., Development of a Root Cause Degree Procedure for Measuring Intersection Safety Factors. Safety Science, 51(1), 257-266, 2013.
  • Hels, T., Orozova-Bekkevold, I., The Effect of Roundabout Design Features on Cyclist Accident Rate. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 39(2), 300-307, 2007.
  • Milton, J., Mannering, F., The Relationship Among Highway Geometrics, Traffic-Related Elements And Motor-Vehicle Accident Frequencies. Transportation, 25(4), 395-413, 1998.
  • Greene, W. H., Econometric analysis. Pearson Education India, 2003.
  • Ye, X., Pendyala, R. M., Washington, S. P., Konduri, K., Oh, J., A Simultaneous Equations Model of Crash Frequency by Collision Type for Rural Intersections. Safety science, 47(3), 443-452, 2009.
  • Mersin Büyükşehir Belediyesi Ulaşım Dairesi Başkanlığı, Mersin Büyükşehir Belediyesi Kentiçi ve Yakın Çevre Ulaşım Ana Planı Revizyonu Trafik Etüt ve Değerlendirme Sonuç Raporu, Mersin, Türkiye, 2015.
  • Transportation Research Board, Highway Capacity Manual 2010, Transportation Research Board, National Research Council, Washington, DC, 2010.
  • Montella, A., Roundabout in-service Safety Reviews: Safety Assessment Procedure. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 2019, 40-50, 2007.
  • Kleiber, C., Zeileis, A., Visualizing Count Data Regressions using Rootograms. The American Statistician, 70(3), 296-303, 2016.
  • Porter, B. E., England, K. J., Predicting Red-Light Running Behavior: A Traffic Safety Study in Three Urban Settings. Journal of Safety Research, 31(1), 1-8, 2000.
  • Lord, D., Persaud, B., Accident Prediction Models with and without Trend: Application of the Generalized Estimating Equations Procedure. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 1717, 102-108, 2000.
Toplam 80 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Türkçe
Konular İnşaat Mühendisliği
Bölüm Makale
Yazarlar

Murat Özen 0000-0002-1745-7483

Yayımlanma Tarihi 1 Mayıs 2020
Gönderilme Tarihi 7 Ocak 2019
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2020 Cilt: 31 Sayı: 3

Kaynak Göster

APA Özen, M. (2020). Dört Kollu Sinyalize Kentsel Kavşaklarda Trafik Kazalarının Sıklığını Etkileyen Faktörlerin İncelenmesi. Teknik Dergi, 31(3), 10033-10053. https://doi.org/10.18400/tekderg.509128
AMA Özen M. Dört Kollu Sinyalize Kentsel Kavşaklarda Trafik Kazalarının Sıklığını Etkileyen Faktörlerin İncelenmesi. Teknik Dergi. Mayıs 2020;31(3):10033-10053. doi:10.18400/tekderg.509128
Chicago Özen, Murat. “Dört Kollu Sinyalize Kentsel Kavşaklarda Trafik Kazalarının Sıklığını Etkileyen Faktörlerin İncelenmesi”. Teknik Dergi 31, sy. 3 (Mayıs 2020): 10033-53. https://doi.org/10.18400/tekderg.509128.
EndNote Özen M (01 Mayıs 2020) Dört Kollu Sinyalize Kentsel Kavşaklarda Trafik Kazalarının Sıklığını Etkileyen Faktörlerin İncelenmesi. Teknik Dergi 31 3 10033–10053.
IEEE M. Özen, “Dört Kollu Sinyalize Kentsel Kavşaklarda Trafik Kazalarının Sıklığını Etkileyen Faktörlerin İncelenmesi”, Teknik Dergi, c. 31, sy. 3, ss. 10033–10053, 2020, doi: 10.18400/tekderg.509128.
ISNAD Özen, Murat. “Dört Kollu Sinyalize Kentsel Kavşaklarda Trafik Kazalarının Sıklığını Etkileyen Faktörlerin İncelenmesi”. Teknik Dergi 31/3 (Mayıs 2020), 10033-10053. https://doi.org/10.18400/tekderg.509128.
JAMA Özen M. Dört Kollu Sinyalize Kentsel Kavşaklarda Trafik Kazalarının Sıklığını Etkileyen Faktörlerin İncelenmesi. Teknik Dergi. 2020;31:10033–10053.
MLA Özen, Murat. “Dört Kollu Sinyalize Kentsel Kavşaklarda Trafik Kazalarının Sıklığını Etkileyen Faktörlerin İncelenmesi”. Teknik Dergi, c. 31, sy. 3, 2020, ss. 10033-5, doi:10.18400/tekderg.509128.
Vancouver Özen M. Dört Kollu Sinyalize Kentsel Kavşaklarda Trafik Kazalarının Sıklığını Etkileyen Faktörlerin İncelenmesi. Teknik Dergi. 2020;31(3):10033-5.