Ekonomik ve Sosyal Altyapı Yatırımları ile Bölgesel Gelir İlişkisi: Türkiye Örneği

Abstract

Kamu harcamaları ekonomik büyümeyi arttırıcı etkisi ile sıklıkla bir maliye politikası aracı olarak kullanılmaktadır. Yapılacak kamu harcamalarının niteliğine bağlı olarak ise ekonomi üzerinde farklı etkiler ortaya çıkmaktadır. Bu çalışmanın amacı Hansen (1965a, 1965b) tarafından tanımlanmış kamu harcamaları sınıflandırmasını kullanarak Türkiye’de coğrafi bölgelere göre kamu altyapı yatırımları ile bölgesel gelir arasındaki ilişkiyi ortaya koymaktır. Bu amaçla T.C. Cumhurbaşkanlığı Strateji ve Bütçe Başkanlığı’nın Kamu Yatırımlarının İllere Göre Sektörel Dağılımı veri tabanı ve Türkiye İstatistik Kurumu’nun Bölgesel Gayri Safi Yurtiçi Hasıla (GSYH) İstatistikleri kullanılarak 2004-2017 yılları için söz konusu ilişki tahmin edilmiştir. Çalışmada belirtilen ilişkilerin test edilmesi için literatürde yaygın olarak kullanılan bir yöntem olan panel nedensellik analizi benimsenmiştir. Elde edilen analiz sonuçları sosyal ve ekonomik kamu altyapı yatırım harcamalarının bölgelere göre farklı etkileri olduğunu göstermektedir. Bu sonuç varsayımlarımız ile de tutarlıdır. Bulgular tüm bölgelerde GSYH’deki artışın yine bölgesel düzeyde kamu tarafından yapılan ekonomik ve sosyal alt yapı harcamalarında anlamlı bir artışa neden olduğuna işaret etmektedir.

Keywords

• Bölgesel Gelir,Ekonomik ve Sosyal Altyapı Yatırımları,Panel Veri Analiz

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