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Japonların IŞİD Korkusunun Yumuşak Terörizm Kavramı ile İncelenmesi

Year 2024, Volume: 3 Issue: 1, 27 - 48, 30.06.2024

Abstract

Günümüzün en büyük sorunlarından biri terörizmdir. Terörizm, mevcut terör örgütlerinin internet teknolojilerine adapte olmaları ve bu teknolojileri stratejilerinde etkili bir şekilde kullanmaları nedeniyle çok daha karmaşık bir hale bürünmüş ve küresel bir sorun haline gelmiştir. Günümüz terör örgütlerinden Irak ve Şam İslam Devleti (IŞİD), internet ortamını ön plana çıkaran stratejileriyle sadece hedef aldıkları ülke vatandaşlarını değil hedef gözetmedikleri diğer ülke vatandaşlarının psikolojilerini de olumsuz yönde etkilemektedir. IŞİD, Japon anakarasında hiçbir saldırı düzenlememiş olmasına rağmen Japon halkının önemli bir bölümü, IŞİD’i ülkeleri için önemli bir tehlike olarak görmektedirler. Bu sonuç, IŞİD gibi bir terör örgütünün, internet stratejilerini etkili kullanarak hedefi olmayan ülke vatandaşlarını dahi nasıl olumsuz yönde etkilediğinin en güzel örneklerinden biridir. Bu araştırma Japonya’daki yüksek IŞİD korkusunun yumuşak terörizm kavramı ile nasıl açıklanabileceğini göstermektedir. Bu çalışmada Japonya vakası, R bilgisayar programı yardımıyla Google Trends analizi ile incelenmiştir. Analizler sonucunda, IŞİD’in yumuşak terörizm faaliyetlerinin Japonlar üzerinde hem kısa hem de uzun süreli olumsuz etkilerinin bulunduğu ve bu etkilerin arkasındaki temel nedenin ise yumuşak terörizm kavramının da önerdiği gibi IŞİD’in internette yayınladığı vahşet görüntüleri olduğu sonucuna varılmıştır.

References

  • Barceló, J. and Labzina, E. (2020). Do Islamic State’s Deadly Attacks Disengage, Deter, or Mobilize Supporters?. British Journal of Political Science, 50(4), 1539-1559.
  • Bertram, L. (2016). Terrorism, the Internet and the Social Media Advantage: Exploring How Terrorist Organizations Exploit Aspects of the Internet, Social Media and How These Same Platforms Could Be Used to Counter-Violent Extremism. Journal for deradicalization, 1(7), 225-252.
  • Braithwaite, A. (2013). The Logic of Public Fear in Terrorism and Counterterrorism. Journal of police and criminal psychology, 28(2), 95-101.
  • Brück, T. and Müller, C. (2010). Comparing the determinants of concern about terrorism and crime. Global Crime, 11(1), 1-15.
  • Byman, D. (2016). ISIS Goes Global: Fight the Islamic State by Targeting its Affiliates. Foreign Affairs, 95(2), 76-85.
  • Ceron, A., Curini, L. and Iacus, S. M. (2019). ISIS at its Apogee: The Arabic Discourse on Twitter and What We Can Learn from that About ISIS Support and Foreign Fighters. Sage, 9(1), 215-229.
  • Cheung, Y. W. and Lai, K. S. (1995). Lag Order and Critical Values of the Augmented Dickey–Fuller test. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 13(3), 277-280.
  • Cohen-Almagor, R. (2016). Hate and Racist Speech in the United States: A Critique. Philosophy and Public Issues, 6(1), 77-123.
  • Eichenauer, V. Z., Indergand, R., Martínez, I. Z. and Sax, C. (2021). Obtaining Consistent Time Series from Google Trends. Economic Inquiry, 60(2), 694-705.
  • Finseraas, H. and Listhaug, O. (2013). It Can Happen Here: The Impact of the Mumbai Terror Attacks on Public Opinion in Western Europe. Public Choice, 156(1), 213-228.
  • Gaissmaier, W. and Gigerenzer, G. (2012). 9/11, Act II: A Fine-Grained Analysis of Regional Variations in Traffic Fatalities in the Aftermath of the Terrorist Attacks. Psychological science, 23(12), 1449-1454.
  • Hamiti, U. (2016). The War of US against ISIS in Psychological Warfare and Internet as the New Frontline. European Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies, 4(2), 129-134.
  • Hoffman, B. and McCormick, G. H. (2004). Terrorism, Signaling, and Suicide Attack. Studies in Conflict & Terrorism, 27(4), 243-281.
  • Hoffman, B. (2006). Insurgency and Counterinsurgency in Iraq. Studies in Conflict & Terrorism, 29(2), 103-121.
  • Hoffman, Y. (2017). Who is Afraid of ISIS? ISIS Anxiety and Its Correlates. Stress and Health, 34(1), 84-92.
  • Kaakinen, M., Oksanen, A., Gadarian, S. K., Solheim, Ø. B., Herreros, F., Winsvold, M. S., and Steen‐Johnsen, K. (2021). Online Hate and Zeitgeist of Fear: A Five‐ Country Longitudinal Analysis of Hate Exposure and Fear of Terrorism After the Paris Terrorist Attacks in 2015. Political Psychology, 42(6), 1019-1035.
  • Lavanco, G., Romano, F. and Milio, A. (2008). Terrorism’s Fear: Perceived Personal and National Threats. International Journal of Human and Social Sciences, 3(4), 305-308.
  • Lin, Y. R., Margolin, D. and Wen, X. (2017). Tracking and Analyzing Individual Distress Following Terrorist Attacks Using Social Media Streams. Risk analysis, 37(8), 1580-1605.
  • Lowe, D. (2015). The Threat Islamist Groups Pose to the Security of European Union Member States: Time to Consider Re‐Introducing the EU’s Directive on the Use of Passenger Name Record Data. International Journal of Terrorism & Political Hot Spots, 10(3), 77–94.
  • Mahat-Shamir, M., Hoffman, Y., Pitcho-Prelorentzos, S., Hamama-Raz, Y., Lavenda, O., Ring, L., and Ben-Ezra, M. (2018). Truck Attack: Fear of ISIS and Reminder of Truck Attacks in Europe as Associated with Psychological Distress and PTSD Symptoms. Psychiatry research, 267(2), 306-312.
  • Mansour, S. (2018). Social Media Analysis of User’s Responses to Terrorism Using Sentiment Analysis and Text Mining. Procedia Computer Science, 140(1), 95-103.
  • Marin, L. (2016). Introduction: The Criminalization of Migration and European (Dis)Integration. European Journal of Migration and Law, 18(2), 147–156.
  • Mellon, J. (2013). Where and When Can We Use Google Trends to Measure Issue Salience?. PS: Political Science & Politics, 46(2), 280-290.
  • Milton, D. (2018). Pulling Back the Curtain: An Inside Look at the Islamic State’s Media Organization. Combating Terrorism Center West Point United States.
  • Misis, M. L., Bush, M. D. and Hendrix, N. (2017). An Examination of College Students’ Fears About Terrorism and the Likelihood of a Terrorist Attack. Behavioral sciences of terrorism political aggression, 9(2), 125-138.
  • Nye, J. (2005, 12 October). How to Counter Terrorism’s Online Generation. The Financial Times. http://belfercenter.hks.harvard.edu/publication/1470/how_to_counter_terrorisms_online_generation.html.
  • Poushter, J. and Huang, C. (2019). Climate Change Still Seen as the Top Global Threat, But Cyberattacks a Rising Concern. Pew Research Center, 10(1), 1-37.
  • Poushter, J. and Manevich, D. (2017). Globally, People Point to ISIS and Climate Change as Leading Security Threats. Pew Research Center, 1.
  • Qin, J., Zhou, Y., Reid, E., Lai, G. and Chen, H. (2006). Analyzing Terror Campaigns on the Internet: Technical Sophistication, Content Richness, and Web Interactivity. International Journal of Human-Computer Studies, 65(1), 71-84.
  • Scharkow, M. and Vogelgesang, J. (2011). Measuring the Public Agenda Using Search Engine Queries. International Journal of Public Opinion Research, 23(1), 104-113.
  • Siegel, D. A. and Young, J. K. (2009). Simulating terrorism: Credible commitment, costly signaling, and strategic behavior. PS: Political Science & Politics, 42(4), 765-771.
  • Simons, G. (2020). Policy and Political Marketing: Promoting Conflict as Policy. Journal of Political Marketing, 17(2), 1-28.
  • START (National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism). (2022). Global Terrorism Database 1970-2020. https://www.start.umd.edu/gtd.
  • Tsfati, Y. and Weimann, G. (2002). www. terrorism. com: Terror on the Internet. Studies in Conflict and Terrorism, 25(5), 317-332.
  • Tulga, A. Y. (2020). The Role of Mass Media in Terrorism and Its Effect on Individuals. İnsan ve İnsan, 7(25), 47-64.
  • Tulga, A. Y. (2022). New Page in Terrorism: An Explanation of the “Soft” Terrorism Concept with Isis Case In Turkey. Unpublished Doctorate Dissertation. National Sun Yat-sen University, Kaohsiung.
  • Tulga, A. Y. (2023). The Effects of Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) Soft-Terrorism Strategies on Turkish Public Opinion Using Google Data. Journal of Global and Area Studies (JGA), 7(4), 193-212.
  • Weinberg, L. and Eubank, W. (2008). Problems with the Critical Studies Approach to the Study of Terrorism. Critical studies on terrorism, 1(2), 185-195.
  • Wojtasik, K. (2017). How and Why Do Terrorist Organizations Use the Internet?. Polish Political Science Yearbook, 46(2), 105-117.
  • Zhang, Y., Bambrick, H., Mengersen, K., Tong, S. and Hu, W. (2015). Using Google Trends and Ambient Temperature to Predict Seasonal Influenza Outbreaks. Environment international, 11(7), 284-291.

Examining the Japanese Fear of ISIS with Soft Terrorism Concept

Year 2024, Volume: 3 Issue: 1, 27 - 48, 30.06.2024

Abstract

Terrorism has emerged as a paramount challenge in recent times. With current terrorist organizations adeptly embracing internet technologies and seamlessly integrating them into their strategies, the landscape of terrorism has evolved into a multifaceted global concern. For instance, the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) has had a negative impact not only on the citizens of the countries they directly target but also on the psychology of individuals in non-targeted countries through their internet-focused strategies.Despite not carrying out any attacks on Japan, the majority of the Japanese perceive ISIS as a significant threat to their nation. This finding serves as a prime example of how a terrorist organization like ISIS, utilizing internet strategies proficiently, can detrimentally affect individuals in non-targeted countries. This study demonstrates how the soft terrorism concept elucidates the heightened fear of ISIS in Japan. By conducting a Google Trends analysis, the Japanese case is examined in this research. The findings indicate that the soft terrorism activities of ISIS have both short-term and long-term adverse effects on the Japanese, primarily attributed to the dissemination of brutal images and videos posted by ISIS on the internet, as posited by the soft terrorism concept.

Supporting Institution

The article was prepared within the scope of the project titled "Comparative Analysis and Explanation of the Fear of Terrorism in Taiwan and Turkey" and is funded by The Scientific and Technological Research Council of Türkiye (TUBITAK).

References

  • Barceló, J. and Labzina, E. (2020). Do Islamic State’s Deadly Attacks Disengage, Deter, or Mobilize Supporters?. British Journal of Political Science, 50(4), 1539-1559.
  • Bertram, L. (2016). Terrorism, the Internet and the Social Media Advantage: Exploring How Terrorist Organizations Exploit Aspects of the Internet, Social Media and How These Same Platforms Could Be Used to Counter-Violent Extremism. Journal for deradicalization, 1(7), 225-252.
  • Braithwaite, A. (2013). The Logic of Public Fear in Terrorism and Counterterrorism. Journal of police and criminal psychology, 28(2), 95-101.
  • Brück, T. and Müller, C. (2010). Comparing the determinants of concern about terrorism and crime. Global Crime, 11(1), 1-15.
  • Byman, D. (2016). ISIS Goes Global: Fight the Islamic State by Targeting its Affiliates. Foreign Affairs, 95(2), 76-85.
  • Ceron, A., Curini, L. and Iacus, S. M. (2019). ISIS at its Apogee: The Arabic Discourse on Twitter and What We Can Learn from that About ISIS Support and Foreign Fighters. Sage, 9(1), 215-229.
  • Cheung, Y. W. and Lai, K. S. (1995). Lag Order and Critical Values of the Augmented Dickey–Fuller test. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 13(3), 277-280.
  • Cohen-Almagor, R. (2016). Hate and Racist Speech in the United States: A Critique. Philosophy and Public Issues, 6(1), 77-123.
  • Eichenauer, V. Z., Indergand, R., Martínez, I. Z. and Sax, C. (2021). Obtaining Consistent Time Series from Google Trends. Economic Inquiry, 60(2), 694-705.
  • Finseraas, H. and Listhaug, O. (2013). It Can Happen Here: The Impact of the Mumbai Terror Attacks on Public Opinion in Western Europe. Public Choice, 156(1), 213-228.
  • Gaissmaier, W. and Gigerenzer, G. (2012). 9/11, Act II: A Fine-Grained Analysis of Regional Variations in Traffic Fatalities in the Aftermath of the Terrorist Attacks. Psychological science, 23(12), 1449-1454.
  • Hamiti, U. (2016). The War of US against ISIS in Psychological Warfare and Internet as the New Frontline. European Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies, 4(2), 129-134.
  • Hoffman, B. and McCormick, G. H. (2004). Terrorism, Signaling, and Suicide Attack. Studies in Conflict & Terrorism, 27(4), 243-281.
  • Hoffman, B. (2006). Insurgency and Counterinsurgency in Iraq. Studies in Conflict & Terrorism, 29(2), 103-121.
  • Hoffman, Y. (2017). Who is Afraid of ISIS? ISIS Anxiety and Its Correlates. Stress and Health, 34(1), 84-92.
  • Kaakinen, M., Oksanen, A., Gadarian, S. K., Solheim, Ø. B., Herreros, F., Winsvold, M. S., and Steen‐Johnsen, K. (2021). Online Hate and Zeitgeist of Fear: A Five‐ Country Longitudinal Analysis of Hate Exposure and Fear of Terrorism After the Paris Terrorist Attacks in 2015. Political Psychology, 42(6), 1019-1035.
  • Lavanco, G., Romano, F. and Milio, A. (2008). Terrorism’s Fear: Perceived Personal and National Threats. International Journal of Human and Social Sciences, 3(4), 305-308.
  • Lin, Y. R., Margolin, D. and Wen, X. (2017). Tracking and Analyzing Individual Distress Following Terrorist Attacks Using Social Media Streams. Risk analysis, 37(8), 1580-1605.
  • Lowe, D. (2015). The Threat Islamist Groups Pose to the Security of European Union Member States: Time to Consider Re‐Introducing the EU’s Directive on the Use of Passenger Name Record Data. International Journal of Terrorism & Political Hot Spots, 10(3), 77–94.
  • Mahat-Shamir, M., Hoffman, Y., Pitcho-Prelorentzos, S., Hamama-Raz, Y., Lavenda, O., Ring, L., and Ben-Ezra, M. (2018). Truck Attack: Fear of ISIS and Reminder of Truck Attacks in Europe as Associated with Psychological Distress and PTSD Symptoms. Psychiatry research, 267(2), 306-312.
  • Mansour, S. (2018). Social Media Analysis of User’s Responses to Terrorism Using Sentiment Analysis and Text Mining. Procedia Computer Science, 140(1), 95-103.
  • Marin, L. (2016). Introduction: The Criminalization of Migration and European (Dis)Integration. European Journal of Migration and Law, 18(2), 147–156.
  • Mellon, J. (2013). Where and When Can We Use Google Trends to Measure Issue Salience?. PS: Political Science & Politics, 46(2), 280-290.
  • Milton, D. (2018). Pulling Back the Curtain: An Inside Look at the Islamic State’s Media Organization. Combating Terrorism Center West Point United States.
  • Misis, M. L., Bush, M. D. and Hendrix, N. (2017). An Examination of College Students’ Fears About Terrorism and the Likelihood of a Terrorist Attack. Behavioral sciences of terrorism political aggression, 9(2), 125-138.
  • Nye, J. (2005, 12 October). How to Counter Terrorism’s Online Generation. The Financial Times. http://belfercenter.hks.harvard.edu/publication/1470/how_to_counter_terrorisms_online_generation.html.
  • Poushter, J. and Huang, C. (2019). Climate Change Still Seen as the Top Global Threat, But Cyberattacks a Rising Concern. Pew Research Center, 10(1), 1-37.
  • Poushter, J. and Manevich, D. (2017). Globally, People Point to ISIS and Climate Change as Leading Security Threats. Pew Research Center, 1.
  • Qin, J., Zhou, Y., Reid, E., Lai, G. and Chen, H. (2006). Analyzing Terror Campaigns on the Internet: Technical Sophistication, Content Richness, and Web Interactivity. International Journal of Human-Computer Studies, 65(1), 71-84.
  • Scharkow, M. and Vogelgesang, J. (2011). Measuring the Public Agenda Using Search Engine Queries. International Journal of Public Opinion Research, 23(1), 104-113.
  • Siegel, D. A. and Young, J. K. (2009). Simulating terrorism: Credible commitment, costly signaling, and strategic behavior. PS: Political Science & Politics, 42(4), 765-771.
  • Simons, G. (2020). Policy and Political Marketing: Promoting Conflict as Policy. Journal of Political Marketing, 17(2), 1-28.
  • START (National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism). (2022). Global Terrorism Database 1970-2020. https://www.start.umd.edu/gtd.
  • Tsfati, Y. and Weimann, G. (2002). www. terrorism. com: Terror on the Internet. Studies in Conflict and Terrorism, 25(5), 317-332.
  • Tulga, A. Y. (2020). The Role of Mass Media in Terrorism and Its Effect on Individuals. İnsan ve İnsan, 7(25), 47-64.
  • Tulga, A. Y. (2022). New Page in Terrorism: An Explanation of the “Soft” Terrorism Concept with Isis Case In Turkey. Unpublished Doctorate Dissertation. National Sun Yat-sen University, Kaohsiung.
  • Tulga, A. Y. (2023). The Effects of Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) Soft-Terrorism Strategies on Turkish Public Opinion Using Google Data. Journal of Global and Area Studies (JGA), 7(4), 193-212.
  • Weinberg, L. and Eubank, W. (2008). Problems with the Critical Studies Approach to the Study of Terrorism. Critical studies on terrorism, 1(2), 185-195.
  • Wojtasik, K. (2017). How and Why Do Terrorist Organizations Use the Internet?. Polish Political Science Yearbook, 46(2), 105-117.
  • Zhang, Y., Bambrick, H., Mengersen, K., Tong, S. and Hu, W. (2015). Using Google Trends and Ambient Temperature to Predict Seasonal Influenza Outbreaks. Environment international, 11(7), 284-291.
There are 40 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects Asian Cultural Studies, Studies of Asian Society, International Relations (Other)
Journal Section Research Articles
Authors

Ahmet Yiğitalp Tulga 0000-0001-7596-1269

Publication Date June 30, 2024
Submission Date March 25, 2024
Acceptance Date May 6, 2024
Published in Issue Year 2024 Volume: 3 Issue: 1

Cite

APA Tulga, A. Y. (2024). Examining the Japanese Fear of ISIS with Soft Terrorism Concept. Bölge Çalışmaları Dergisi, 3(1), 27-48.