Dış Ticaret-Çevre Kirliliği İlişkisi: Türkiye Ekonomisi Üzerinden Analiz

Year 2024, Volume: 8 Issue: 2, 474 - 489, 31.05.2024

İbrahim Çütcü , Özge Yavuz Selçuk Gökhan Gerlikhan

https://doi.org/10.29023/alanyaakademik.1339779

Abstract

Çalışmada, Türkiye ekonomisi üzerinden dış ticaret ile çevre arasındaki ilişki 1960-2015 dönemi yıllık verileri ile incelenmektedir. Çevresel gösterge ekolojik ayak izi kullanılmaktadır. Dış ticaret göstergeleri olarak ise ihracat ithalat verileri modele dahil edilmiştir. Yapısal kırılmaya izin veren zaman serisi analizlerinin kullanıldığı çalışmada; Maki eşbütünleşme testine göre değişkenler arasında yapısal kırılmalar ile birlikte uzun dönemli ilişki görülmektedir. Zamanla Değişen Nedensellik Analizi sonuçlarına göre GDP’den ekolojik ayak izine doğru herhangi bir nedensellik ilişkisi yakalanmamış olup diğer tüm değişkenlerin bağımlı değişken olan ekolojik ayak izi ile belirtilen tarih aralıklarında çift yönlü nedensellik ilişkisi görülmüştür.

Keywords

Dış Ticaret, Ekolojik Ayak İzi, Enerji Tüketimi

Supporting Institution

TUBİKTAK

Project Number

1919B012215338

Foreign Trade-Environmental Pollution Relationship: An Analysis over the Turkish Economy

Abstract

This study examines the relationship between foreign trade and the environment through the Turkish economy using annual data for the period 1960-2015. For environmental indicators, the study employs the ecological footprint. Export and import data are included in the model as foreign trade indicators. In the study, time series analyses that allow for structural breaks are used, and according to the Maki cointegration test, a long-term relationship with structural breaks between the variables is observed. However, the results of Time-Varying Causality Analysis show that there is no causality relationship from GDP to the ecological footprint, while all other variables exhibit a bidirectional causality relationship with the dependent variable, the ecological footprint, in the specified time intervals.

Keywords

Foreign Trade, Ecological Footprint, Energy Consumption

Project Number

1919B012215338

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