Evaluation of the Transportation Infrastructure Vulnerability in Kaynarca, Sakarya Basin from a Flood Spread Risk Perspective

Year 2022, Volume: 3 Issue: 1, 20 - 31, 27.06.2022

Umut Erol Yiğit Kızmaz Abdulkadir Özden Ahmet Iyad Ceyhunlu

https://doi.org/10.52114/apjhad.1128037

Cited By: 4

Abstract

Natural, technological or man-made disasters caused social, economic and environmental losses in history. These devastating events affect communities by stopping or interrupting normal life and usual daily activities, and the affected community cannot cope by using local opportunities and resources. The topographic, climatic and seismic structure of Turkey allows disasters to be seen frequently in the region. Disasters such as floods, landslides-rock fall and fires are experienced almost all year round in its seasons, including medium-scale earthquakes (with an average magnitude of 5 to 6). Furthermore, transportation infrastructure has been a critical asset in all stages and time frames including mitigation, preparedness, response and recovery in disasters. In this study, the Kaynarca district of Sakarya has been evaluated based on its flood flow recurrence modelling with its effect on transportation infrastructure. With a range between 25-year and 500-year recurrence scenarios, it is found that the local roads and streets are vulnerable in all different cases, while major collectors are significantly affected by flooding in the 500-year recurrence scenario. Major collectors are the transportation infrastructure carrying the transit passengers and loads, as well as emergency aids from disaster logistic centres in case of need; therefore, less disruption increases the resiliency of the infrastructure. On the other hand, local emergency management agencies should prepare a contingency plan for local roads and streets for pinpointing the possible gridlocks, accessibility of critical infrastructure in rural areas, and robustness of major collectors.

Keywords

Transportation, resilience, flood risk, disaster management, disaster relief

References

• Faturechi, Reza and Elise Miller-Hooks. "Measuring the performance of transportation infrastructure systems in disasters: A comprehensive review." Journal of infrastructure systems 21, no. 1 (2015): 04014025.
• Kara, Mehmet Akif, and Oğuz Ciğerlioğlu. "Türkiye ekonomisinde ulaşım altyapısının ekonomik büyümeye etkisi." Gaziantep University Journal of Social Sciences 17, no. 2 (2018): 577-591.
• Liao, Tsai-Yun, Ta-Yin Hu, and Yi-No Ko. "A resilience optimization model for transportation networks under disasters." Natural Hazards 93, no. 1 (2018): 469-489.
• Freckleton, Derek, Kevin Heaslip, William Louisell, and John Collura. "Evaluation of resiliency of transportation networks after disasters." Transportation Research Record 2284, no. 1 (2012): 109-116.
• Ceribasi, G., & Ceyhunlu, A. I. (2021). Analysis of total monthly precipitation of Susurluk Basin in Turkey using innovative polygon trend analysis method. Journal of Water and Climate Change, 12(5), 1532-1543.
• Mason, D. C., Guy, J. And Schumann, P. (2010). Flood Detection İn Urban Areas Using Terrasar-X, IEEE T. Geoscı. Remote, 48, 882–894, DOI: 10.1109/TGRS.2009.2029236.
• Kummu M (2016) Over the hills and further away from coast: global geospatial patterns of human and environment over the 20th-21st centuries. Environ Res Letters 11:1–15. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/034010.
• L. Alfieri et al., “Earth’s Future Global projections of river flood risk in a warmer world,” 2016.
• Jongman, B. Effective adaptation to rising flood risk. Nat Commun 9, 1986 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-04396-1
• S. Doocy, A. Daniels, S. Murray, and T. D. Kirsch, “The Human Impact of Floods: A Historical Review of Events 1980-2009 and Systematic Literature Review,” PLoS Curr., no. APR 2013, 2013.
• Hammond, M. J., Chen, A. S., Djordjević, S., Butler, D. And Mark, O. (2015): Urban Flood İmpact Assessment: A State-Of-The-Art Review, Urban Water J., 12, 14–29, DOI: 10.1080/1573062X. 2013.857421
• Konrad C. P. (2014): Effects Of Urban Development On Floods, U. S. Geologıcal Survey, Fact Sheet 076–03.
• Ceribasi, G., & Ceyhunlu, A. I. (2021). Generation of 1D and 2D flood maps of Sakarya river passing through Geyve district of Sakarya city in Turkey. Natural Hazards, 105(1), 631-642.
• Ersoy, P., Börühan, G. Lojistik süreçler açısından afet lojistiğinin önemi. Finans Politik & Ekonomik Yorumlar, 50:578, 2013.
• Tanyaş, M., Günalay, Y, Aksoy, L., Küçük, B., İstanbul İli Afet Lojistik Planı Kılavuzu, Lojistik Derneği, İstanbul, 2013.
• Chang, Stephanie E. "Transportation planning for disasters: an accessibility approach." Environment and Planning A 35, no. 6 (2003): 1051-1072.
• Lunderville, N. (2011). “Irene recovery report: A stronger future.” A Rep. to the Governor of Vermont, State of Vermont.
• Zhu, S., Levinson, D., and Liu, H., and Harder K. (2011). “The traffic and behavioral effects of the I-35W Mississippi River bridge collapse.” Transp. Res. Part A, 44(10), 771–784.
• DPT. (1999). Depremin Ekonomik ve Sosyal Etkileri, Muhtemel Finansman İhtiyacı, Kısa - Orta ve Uzun Vadede Alınabilecek Tedbirler Raporu. Ankara: DPT Yay.
• Bilgen, Gamze, Erdem Balcı, and Muhammed Yasin Kalça. "kastamonu bozkurt ilçesinde 11.08. 2021 tarihinde meydana gelen sel felaketinin yerinde incelenmesi." Tasarım Mimarlık ve Mühendislik Dergisi 2, no. 1: 20-35.
• Alkayiş, M. H., Karslioğlu, A. and Onur, M. I. (2022). "Muğla ili Menteşe yöresi orman yangını risk potansiyeli haritasının coğrafi bilgi sistemleri ile belirlenmesi." Geomatik 7, no. 1: 10-16.
• Oswald Beiler, Michelle R., and Greg Miller. "Sea-Level Rise Vulnerability Assessment of Bicycle and Trail Networks." Journal of Transportation Engineering, Part A: Systems 145, no. 2 (2019): 05018003.
• Mohammadiziazi, Rezvan, Ardeshir Faghri, and Mingxin Li. Impacts of sea-level rise on nonmotorized transportation. No. 18-04905. 2018.
• Vojinovic, Z., & Tutulic, D. (2009). On The Use Of 1D And Coupled 1D-2D Modelling Approaches For Assessment Of Flood Damage İn Urban Areas. Urban Water Journal, 6(3), 183-199.
• Gumrukcuoglu, M., Goodin, D. G., & Martin, C. (2010). Landuse Change İn Upper Kansas River Floodplain: Following The 1993 Flood. Natural Hazards, 55(2), 467-479.
• Uzuntas, Ö..( 2019 ) : Sel Ve Taşkınlarda Uluslararası Yönetmelikler Ve Mühendislik Yaklaşımlar: Trabzon İli Örneği, Gümüşhane Üniversitesi., Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü ., Yayımlanmış Yüksek Lisans Tezi, Gümüşhane.
• Çeliker, M..( 2018 ): Determination Of Flood Areas Of Streams İn Bingöl Province With Geographical İnformation Systems (Gis): Fırat Üniversitesi .,Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü., Yayımlanmış Yüksek Lisans Tezi, Elazığ
• Kızmaz, Yiğit. "Sakarya Kaynarca Havzası Taşkın Yayılım-Tehlike-Risk Haritalarının Modellenmesi: Seyren Deresi." Master's Thesis, Sakarya Üniversitesi, 2020.