Türkiye Ekonomisinde Büyümenin Dinamiği Olarak Enerji

Year 2017, , 103 - 129, 20.11.2017

Abdullah Emre Çağlar , Yeşim Kubar , Adil Korkmaz

https://doi.org/10.25294/auiibfd.357619

Cited By: 3

Abstract

Altyapı niteliğinde bir
faktör olan enerji tüketiminin büyüme üzerindeki etkisini öngörebilmek için söz
konusu iki değişken arasındaki ilişkiyi belirlemek gerekir. Bu çalışmada
Türkiye’nin 1960-2014 yıllarındaki verilerine dayalı olarak anılan ilişki
incelenmiştir. Analiz sonucunda büyüme ve enerji tüketimi arasında güçlü
ölçülerde olumlu bir ilişki olduğu saptanmış ve Türkiye’de yüksek ölçülerde büyüme sağlayabilmek için büyüme oranına
yakın yükseklikte enerji tüketiminin gerekli olduğu saptanmıştır. Dolayısıyla,
politika yapıcılar Türkiye için sürekli büyüme hedefliyorsa, enerji çeşitliliği
arttırılarak enerji tüketimindeki dalgalanmalar en aza indirilmelidir.

Keywords

Ekonomik Büyüme, Enerji Tüketimi, Yapısal Kırılmalı Eşbütünleşme

Energy, As The Dynamic of Growth in Turkish Economy

Abstract

In order to foresee the
effect of energy consumption, which can be considered as part of infrastructure,
on growth, it is necessary to determine the relation between these two
variables. In this study, the aim is to examine the abovementioned relation
based on the data between the years 1960-2014 in Turkey. Findings of the analysis
suggest that there is strong and positive relationship between growth and
energy consumption; and it is also found out that in order to ensure high-level
growth in Turkey, energy consumption must be close to the growth rate. For
this reason, if policy-makers aim a continuous development for Turkey,
energy variety must be increased, and the fluctuations in the energy
consumption must be reduced.

Keywords

Economic Growth, Energy Consumption, Cointegration Test with Structural Breaks

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