Türkiye Ekonomisinde Büyümenin Dinamiği Olarak Enerji

Öz

Altyapı niteliğinde bir faktör olan enerji tüketiminin büyüme üzerindeki etkisini öngörebilmek için söz konusu iki değişken arasındaki ilişkiyi belirlemek gerekir. Bu çalışmada Türkiye’nin 1960-2014 yıllarındaki verilerine dayalı olarak anılan ilişki incelenmiştir. Analiz sonucunda büyüme ve enerji tüketimi arasında güçlü ölçülerde olumlu bir ilişki olduğu saptanmış ve Türkiye’de yüksek ölçülerde büyüme sağlayabilmek için büyüme oranına yakın yükseklikte enerji tüketiminin gerekli olduğu saptanmıştır. Dolayısıyla, politika yapıcılar Türkiye için sürekli büyüme hedefliyorsa, enerji çeşitliliği arttırılarak enerji tüketimindeki dalgalanmalar en aza indirilmelidir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Ekonomik Büyüme,Enerji Tüketimi,Yapısal Kırılmalı Eşbütünleşme

Energy, As The Dynamic of Growth in Turkish Economy

Öz

In order to foresee the effect of energy consumption, which can be considered as part of infrastructure, on growth, it is necessary to determine the relation between these two variables. In this study, the aim is to examine the abovementioned relation based on the data between the years 1960-2014 in Turkey. Findings of the analysis suggest that there is strong and positive relationship between growth and energy consumption; and it is also found out that in order to ensure high-level growth in Turkey, energy consumption must be close to the growth rate. For this reason, if policy-makers aim a continuous development for Turkey, energy variety must be increased, and the fluctuations in the energy consumption must be reduced.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Economic Growth,Energy Consumption,Cointegration Test with Structural Breaks

Kaynakça

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