Research Article

Determining the Predictors of Mathematics Performance in Türkiye: Implications for Low and High Performing Learners from PISA 2022

Volume: 21 Number: 49 March 24, 2026
TR EN

Determining the Predictors of Mathematics Performance in Türkiye: Implications for Low and High Performing Learners from PISA 2022

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to identify the variables that predict low and high mathematics performance among learners in the PISA 2022 Türkiye sample and to investigate how these variables operate within each group. Using a correlational method, the study found that, based on regression analysis of learners' perceptions of school, social and emotional skills, academic environment, and emotions, as well as family and socioeconomic status, the variables predicting achievement levels differ between low and high math performers. While factors such as the disciplinary environment of the course, curiosity, and feeling secure significantly predicted the achievement of high-performing learners, traits like curiosity, empathy, patience, and socioeconomic status were also significant predictors of low-performing learners. Furthermore, the Chow Test indicated that the regression analyses for the low- and high-achievement groups were substantial, suggesting that the groups should be evaluated separately. The study results show that numerous variables influence learners' math performance, the predictors for low and high achievers differ, and this should be considered when analysing learners' achievement levels.

Keywords

References

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Details

Primary Language

English

Subjects

National and International Success Comparisons, Mathematics Education

Journal Section

Research Article

Publication Date

March 24, 2026

Submission Date

July 3, 2025

Acceptance Date

January 29, 2026

Published in Issue

Year 2026 Volume: 21 Number: 49

APA
Yüksel, M., & Kayır, G. (2026). Determining the Predictors of Mathematics Performance in Türkiye: Implications for Low and High Performing Learners from PISA 2022. Bayburt Eğitim Fakültesi Dergisi, 21(49), 355-385. https://doi.org/10.35675/befdergi.1733554
AMA
1.Yüksel M, Kayır G. Determining the Predictors of Mathematics Performance in Türkiye: Implications for Low and High Performing Learners from PISA 2022. Bayburt Eğitim Fakültesi Dergisi. 2026;21(49):355-385. doi:10.35675/befdergi.1733554
Chicago
Yüksel, Muammer, and Gökhan Kayır. 2026. “Determining the Predictors of Mathematics Performance in Türkiye: Implications for Low and High Performing Learners from PISA 2022”. Bayburt Eğitim Fakültesi Dergisi 21 (49): 355-85. https://doi.org/10.35675/befdergi.1733554.
EndNote
Yüksel M, Kayır G (March 1, 2026) Determining the Predictors of Mathematics Performance in Türkiye: Implications for Low and High Performing Learners from PISA 2022. Bayburt Eğitim Fakültesi Dergisi 21 49 355–385.
IEEE
[1]M. Yüksel and G. Kayır, “Determining the Predictors of Mathematics Performance in Türkiye: Implications for Low and High Performing Learners from PISA 2022”, Bayburt Eğitim Fakültesi Dergisi, vol. 21, no. 49, pp. 355–385, Mar. 2026, doi: 10.35675/befdergi.1733554.
ISNAD
Yüksel, Muammer - Kayır, Gökhan. “Determining the Predictors of Mathematics Performance in Türkiye: Implications for Low and High Performing Learners from PISA 2022”. Bayburt Eğitim Fakültesi Dergisi 21/49 (March 1, 2026): 355-385. https://doi.org/10.35675/befdergi.1733554.
JAMA
1.Yüksel M, Kayır G. Determining the Predictors of Mathematics Performance in Türkiye: Implications for Low and High Performing Learners from PISA 2022. Bayburt Eğitim Fakültesi Dergisi. 2026;21:355–385.
MLA
Yüksel, Muammer, and Gökhan Kayır. “Determining the Predictors of Mathematics Performance in Türkiye: Implications for Low and High Performing Learners from PISA 2022”. Bayburt Eğitim Fakültesi Dergisi, vol. 21, no. 49, Mar. 2026, pp. 355-8, doi:10.35675/befdergi.1733554.
Vancouver
1.Muammer Yüksel, Gökhan Kayır. Determining the Predictors of Mathematics Performance in Türkiye: Implications for Low and High Performing Learners from PISA 2022. Bayburt Eğitim Fakültesi Dergisi. 2026 Mar. 1;21(49):355-8. doi:10.35675/befdergi.1733554