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The Effect of Key Macroeconomic Variables on Market Capitalization in Selected Emerging Markets: Post 2007-08 Crisis Era

Yıl 2021, Cilt: 3 Sayı: 1, 1 - 9, 25.01.2021
https://doi.org/10.47103/bilturk.768362

Öz

Stock market developments are of high importance both for developed and developing countries. Determinants of stock market development are studied under two main approaches in the literature in terms of macroeconomics: institutional structure and key macroeconomic variables. While the studies regarding the first provided rather consistent results, the studies regarding the second have not come to a well-accepted consensus, at least for the majority of the key macroeconomic variables. This study aims to find out post-crisis determinants of stock market development in 2009-2017 for selected 31 emerging markets, using generalized method of moments (GMM) technique in two separate models. The estimation results show that for the countries in hand and for the period specified, the level of openness and the exchange rate have been the key macroeconomic determinants of market capitalization.

Kaynakça

  • Arellano, M. and Bond, S. (1991). Some tests of specification for panel data: Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations, Review of Economic Studies 58: 277–297.
  • Arellano, M. and Bover, O. (1995). Another look at the instrumental variable estimation of error-components models, Journal of Econometrics 68: 29–51.
  • Asprem, M. (1989). Stock prices, asset portfolios and macroeconomic variables in ten European countries. Journal of Banking and Finance 13(4): 589-612.
  • Barsky, R. (1989). Why don't the prices of stocks and bonds move together? American Economic Review 79(5): 1132-1145.
  • Bhide, A. (1993). The hidden costs of stock market liquidity, Journal of Financial Economics 34: 1-51.
  • Blundell, R., and Bond, S. (1998). Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models, Journal of Econometrics 87: 115–143.
  • Boyd, J. H., Levine, R. and Smith, B.D. (1996). Inflation and financial market performance, Manuscript, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
  • Boyd, J. H. and Smith, B. D. (1998). Capital market imperfections in a monetary growth model, Economic Theory 11: 241-273.
  • Boyd, J. H., Levine, R., & Smith, B. D. (2001). The impact of inflation on financial sector performance. Journal of Monetary Economics, 47(2), 221-248.‏
  • Choi, S., Smith, B. and Boyd, J. H. (1996). Inflation, Financial Markets, and Capital Formation. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review 78, 41- 58.
  • DeAngelo, H. and Rice, E. (1983). Anti-takeover amendments and stockholder wealth, Journal of Financial Economics 11: 329-360.
  • Dornbusch, R. and S. Fisher, (1980). Exchange Rates and the Current Account, American Economic Review 70, No. 5, December 960-971.
  • Eisenhauer, J. G. (2003) Regression through the origin, Teaching Statistics 25:3.
  • Gavin, M. (1989). The stock market and exchange rate dynamics, Journal of International Money and Finance Vol 8: 2, Elsevier.
  • Greenwood, J. and Smith, B. (1997). Financial markets in development, and the development of financial markets, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 21(1): 145-181.
  • Ho, Sin-Yu. and Iyke, N. B. (2017). Determinants of stock market development: a review of the literature, Studies in Economics and Finance 34(1): 143-164.
  • Jensen, M. C. and Murphy, K. J. (1990). Performance pay and top-management incentives, Journal of Political Economy 98(2): 225-264.
  • Levine, R. (1991). Stock markets, growth, and tax policy, Journal of Finance 46, pages 1445-1465.
  • Levine, R. (1997). Financial development and economic growth: Views and agenda, Journal of Economic Literature 35: 688-726.
  • Levine, R. (2005). Finance and growth: Theory and evidence. Philippe Aghion and Steven Durlauf (ed.), 2005. Handbook of Economic Growth, vol. 1:1.
  • Mok, H. M. K. (1993). Causality of interest rate, exchange rate and stock prices at stock market open and close in Hong Kong. Asia Pacific Journal of Management 10: 123-143.
  • Niroomand, F., Hajilee, M. and Al-Nasser, O. M. (2014). Financial market development and trade openness: evidence from emerging economies, Applied Economics 46(13): 1490-1498.
  • Roodman, D. (2009). How to do Xtabond2: An Introduction to Difference and System GMM in Stata, The STATA Journal 9: 1.
  • Shiller, R. J. (1988). Causes of changing in financial market volatility, The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City 2(1): 1-22.
  • Spiro, P. S. (1990). The impact of interest rate changes on stock prices volatility, Journal of Portfolio Management 16(2): 63-68.
  • Stiglitz, J. E. (1985). Credit markets and the control of capital, Journal of Money, Credit, Banking 17(2): 133-152.

The Effect of Key Macroeconomic Variables on Market Capitalization in Selected Emerging Markets: Post 2007-08 Crisis Era

Yıl 2021, Cilt: 3 Sayı: 1, 1 - 9, 25.01.2021
https://doi.org/10.47103/bilturk.768362

Öz

Stock market developments are of high importance both for developed and developing countries. Determinants of stock market development are studied under two main approaches in the literature in terms of macroeconomics: institutional structure and key macroeconomic variables. While the studies regarding the first provided rather consistent results, the studies regarding the second have not come to a well-accepted consensus, at least for the majority of the key macroeconomic variables. This study aims to find out post-crisis determinants of stock market development in 2009-2017 for selected 31 emerging markets, using generalized method of moments (GMM) technique in two separate models. The estimation results show that for the countries in hand and for the period specified, the level of openness and the exchange rate have been the key macroeconomic determinants of market capitalization.

Kaynakça

  • Arellano, M. and Bond, S. (1991). Some tests of specification for panel data: Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations, Review of Economic Studies 58: 277–297.
  • Arellano, M. and Bover, O. (1995). Another look at the instrumental variable estimation of error-components models, Journal of Econometrics 68: 29–51.
  • Asprem, M. (1989). Stock prices, asset portfolios and macroeconomic variables in ten European countries. Journal of Banking and Finance 13(4): 589-612.
  • Barsky, R. (1989). Why don't the prices of stocks and bonds move together? American Economic Review 79(5): 1132-1145.
  • Bhide, A. (1993). The hidden costs of stock market liquidity, Journal of Financial Economics 34: 1-51.
  • Blundell, R., and Bond, S. (1998). Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models, Journal of Econometrics 87: 115–143.
  • Boyd, J. H., Levine, R. and Smith, B.D. (1996). Inflation and financial market performance, Manuscript, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
  • Boyd, J. H. and Smith, B. D. (1998). Capital market imperfections in a monetary growth model, Economic Theory 11: 241-273.
  • Boyd, J. H., Levine, R., & Smith, B. D. (2001). The impact of inflation on financial sector performance. Journal of Monetary Economics, 47(2), 221-248.‏
  • Choi, S., Smith, B. and Boyd, J. H. (1996). Inflation, Financial Markets, and Capital Formation. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review 78, 41- 58.
  • DeAngelo, H. and Rice, E. (1983). Anti-takeover amendments and stockholder wealth, Journal of Financial Economics 11: 329-360.
  • Dornbusch, R. and S. Fisher, (1980). Exchange Rates and the Current Account, American Economic Review 70, No. 5, December 960-971.
  • Eisenhauer, J. G. (2003) Regression through the origin, Teaching Statistics 25:3.
  • Gavin, M. (1989). The stock market and exchange rate dynamics, Journal of International Money and Finance Vol 8: 2, Elsevier.
  • Greenwood, J. and Smith, B. (1997). Financial markets in development, and the development of financial markets, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 21(1): 145-181.
  • Ho, Sin-Yu. and Iyke, N. B. (2017). Determinants of stock market development: a review of the literature, Studies in Economics and Finance 34(1): 143-164.
  • Jensen, M. C. and Murphy, K. J. (1990). Performance pay and top-management incentives, Journal of Political Economy 98(2): 225-264.
  • Levine, R. (1991). Stock markets, growth, and tax policy, Journal of Finance 46, pages 1445-1465.
  • Levine, R. (1997). Financial development and economic growth: Views and agenda, Journal of Economic Literature 35: 688-726.
  • Levine, R. (2005). Finance and growth: Theory and evidence. Philippe Aghion and Steven Durlauf (ed.), 2005. Handbook of Economic Growth, vol. 1:1.
  • Mok, H. M. K. (1993). Causality of interest rate, exchange rate and stock prices at stock market open and close in Hong Kong. Asia Pacific Journal of Management 10: 123-143.
  • Niroomand, F., Hajilee, M. and Al-Nasser, O. M. (2014). Financial market development and trade openness: evidence from emerging economies, Applied Economics 46(13): 1490-1498.
  • Roodman, D. (2009). How to do Xtabond2: An Introduction to Difference and System GMM in Stata, The STATA Journal 9: 1.
  • Shiller, R. J. (1988). Causes of changing in financial market volatility, The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City 2(1): 1-22.
  • Spiro, P. S. (1990). The impact of interest rate changes on stock prices volatility, Journal of Portfolio Management 16(2): 63-68.
  • Stiglitz, J. E. (1985). Credit markets and the control of capital, Journal of Money, Credit, Banking 17(2): 133-152.
Toplam 26 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil İngilizce
Konular Ekonomi
Bölüm Research Articles
Yazarlar

Çağlar Karaduman 0000-0002-4956-6684

Yayımlanma Tarihi 25 Ocak 2021
Kabul Tarihi 2 Aralık 2020
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2021 Cilt: 3 Sayı: 1

Kaynak Göster

APA Karaduman, Ç. (2021). The Effect of Key Macroeconomic Variables on Market Capitalization in Selected Emerging Markets: Post 2007-08 Crisis Era. BİLTÜRK Ekonomi Ve İlişkili Çalışmalar Dergisi, 3(1), 1-9. https://doi.org/10.47103/bilturk.768362

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