Türkiye'de Yenilenebilir Enerji Tüketimini Etkileyen Faktörlerinin MARS Metodolojisi İle Belirlenmesi

Year 2020, Volume: 2 Issue: 1, 1 - 14, 25.04.2020

Serhat Yuksel , Gözde Gülseven Ubay

https://doi.org/10.38009/ekimad.694300

Cited By: 14

Abstract

Bu çalışmanın amacı Türkiye’deki yenilenebilir enerji tüketimini etkileyen faktörlerin belirlenmesidir. Bu bağlamda, ilk olarak, literatürdeki benzer çalışmalar incelenmiştir. Yapılan inceleme neticesinde, yenilenebilir enerji kullanımını etkileyebilecek olan 11 farklı değişken belirlenmiştir. Bahsi geçen değişkenlere ait 1990-2018 dönem aralığındaki yıllık veriler dikkate alınmıştır. Öte yandan, çalışmanın analiz sürecinde MARS yönteminden faydalanılmıştır. Netice itibarıyla, ülkedeki nüfusun arttığı durumda, yenilenebilir enerji kullanımının da arttığı belirlenmiştir. Buradan anlaşılabileceği üzere, artan nüfus ile birlikte enerjiye yönelik talepte de artış yaşanmıştır. Bunun sonucunda da yenilenebilir enerji de daha fazla kullanılmaya başlanmıştır. Ayrıca, doğalgaz fiyatlarındaki artışın da yenilenebilir enerji kullanımını arttırdığı tespit edilmiştir. Doğalgazın daha pahalı bir hale geldiği durumda, insanların başka alternatiflere yöneldiği anlaşılmaktadır. Ülkedeki kredi miktarı da yenilenebilir enerji tüketimi üzerinde etkili olan başka bir faktördür. Kredi miktarı belirli bir oranı aştığı durumda, bu kredilerin yenilenemez enerji kaynakları üzerinde yoğunlaştığı görülmektedir. Ek olarak, ülkedeki karbon emisyonu ile yenilenebilir enerji kullanımı arasında da negatif yönlü bir ilişki olduğu belirlenmiştir. Bu çalışmadan elde edilen sonuçlardan anlaşılabileceği üzere, Türkiye’deki yenilenebilir enerjinin talep artması ve doğalgaz fiyatlarının yükselmesi gibi mecburi nedenlerden dolayı arttığı tespit edilmiştir. Bu durum, yenilenebilir enerji kullanımına yönelik Türkiye’de yeterli bilincin oluşmadığını göstermektedir. Bu yüzden, yenilenebilir enerji kullanımının daha cazip hali gelebilmesi için devlet tarafından vergi avantajı gibi gerekli teşviklerin sağlanması önem arz etmektedir.

Keywords

Yenilenebilir Enerji;, Ekonomik Kalkınma, MARS

Identifying The Influencing Factors of Renewable Energy Consumption in Turkey With MARS Methodology

Abstract

The aim of this study is to determine the factors affecting the renewable energy consumption in Turkey. In this context, firstly, similar studies in the literature have been examined. As a result of the investigation, 11 different variables have been identified that may affect the use of renewable energy. Annual data of the mentioned variables in the period of 1990-2018 are taken into consideration. On the other hand, MARS method is used in the analysis process of the study. As a result, it has been determined that renewable energy use increases when the population in the country goes up. As can be seen from here, with the increasing population, the demand for energy has also increased. As a result, renewable energy has started to be used more. In addition, it is also determined that the increase in natural gas prices leads to higher consumption of renewable energy. In the event that natural gas becomes more expensive, it is understood that people are turning to other alternatives. The loan amount in the country is another factor that has an impact on renewable energy consumption. In case the loan amount exceeds a certain rate, it is seen that these loans are concentrated on non-renewable energy sources. In addition, it has been determined that there is a negative relationship between carbon emissions in the country and renewable energy use. It can be understood that renewable energy usage can be increased mainly because of the obligatory reasons, such as higher demand for energy and natural gas prices increase. This indicates that no sufficient consciousness is formed in Turkey for renewable energy. Therefore, it is important to provide the necessary incentives such as tax advantage by the state to make renewable energy use more attractive.

Keywords

Renewable Energy, , Economic Development, MARS

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