Türkiye’de Sektörel Çeşitliliğin ve Bölgesel Uzmanlaşmanın Endüstriyel İstihdam Üzerine Etkileri

Year 2026, Volume: 15 Issue: 1 , 72 - 97 , 12.03.2026

İrfan Kaygalak

https://doi.org/10.65653/ekonomitek.1850152

https://izlik.org/JA37TU24PF

Abstract

Bölgesel uzmanlaşma ve endüstriyel çeşitliliğin yarattığı dışsallıklar nedeniyle ekonomik kalkınma ve gelişme üzerinde olumlu etki ettiğine dair yaygın bir kabul vardır. Bu açıdan endüstriyel uzmanlaşmanın mı yoksa endüstriyel çeşitliliğin mi ekonomik büyüme ve gelişme performansına daha çok etki ettiği önemli bir tartışma konusudur. Bu çalışma da Türkiye’de sektörel uzmanlaşma ve çeşitliliğin illerin imalat sanayi istihdam artışı üzerindeki etkisini sorgulamaktadır. Bu kapsamda illerdeki ilişkili ve ilişkisiz çeşitlilik düzeylerinin büyüme performansı üzerindeki etkisi doğrusal olmayan iki terimli regresyon analiziyle incelemektedir. Bulgular, illerin imalat sanayi istihdam artışındaki başarısını açıklamada endüstriyel çeşitlilikten ziyade bölgesel uzmanlaşmanın daha açıklayıcı olduğunu göstermektedir. Çeşitlilik türlerinin bu anlamda fark yaratan bir etkiye sahip olup olmadıkları illerin ihracat bağlantıları ile iç piyasa bağlantılarının da analize dâhil edilmesiyle test edilmektedir. Bu yönüyle çalışma konuyla ilgili hem metodolojik bir öneri sunmuş olmakta hem de teorik varsayımları sorgulayan ampirik bulgular sunmaktadır.

Keywords

Bölgesel uzmanlaşma , endüstriyel çeşitlilik , istihdam büyümesi , ilişkili çeşitlilik , İmalat Sanayi

Ethical Statement

Bu çalışma bilimsel araştırma ve yayın etiği kurallarına uygun olarak hazırlanmıştır.

Thanks

Yazar, illerin ilişkili ve ilişkisiz çeşitlilik düzeyleri verisini açık kaynak olarak paylaşıp bu çalışmayı mümkün kılan İbrahim Tuğrul Çınar'a ve yapıcı eleştirileri ile çalışmanın daha nitelikli hale gelip yayınlanmasına yardımcı olan hakemlere minnettar olup teşekkür eder.

The Effects of Industrial Diversity and Regional Specialization on Manufacturing Employment Growth in Türkiye

https://izlik.org/JA37TU24PF

Abstract

There is a widespread consensus that regional specialization and industrial diversity have a positive impact on economic development and growth due to the externalities they create. In this respect, whether industrial specialization or industrial diversity has a greater impact on economic growth and development is a significant topic of debate. This study examines the impact of sectoral specialization and diversity on the manufacturing employment growth in Turkish provinces. Using a nonlinear binary logistic regression model, the study analyses the role of industrial diversity by distinguishing between related and unrelated variety. The study reveals that regional specialization is a better explanatory factor than industrial diversity in predicting provincial success in manufacturing employment growth. The study tests the impact of diversity via incorporating provinces' export linkages and domestic market linkages into the analysis. In this regard, it not only offers a methodological contribution to the field but also presents empirical findings that question theoretical assumptions.

Keywords

Regional specialization , industrial diversity , employment growth , related variety , Manufacturing

Thanks

I would like to thank İbrahim Tuğrul Çınar for making this study possible by sharing data on related and unrelated variety levels of the provinces as open-source data.

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