ENERJİ TÜKETİMİ, EKONOMİK BÜYÜME VE LOJİSTİK ARASINDAKİ İLİŞKİ: TÜRKİYE ÖRNEĞİ

Abstract

Bu çalışma Türkiye’de 1974-2019 döneminde ekonomik büyüme, birincil enerji kaynakları tüketimi ve lojistik arasındaki ilişkiyi test etmeyi amaçlamaktadır. Seriler arasındaki eşbütünleşme ilişkisini belirlemek için Bayer-Hanck yöntemi uygulanmıştır. Ampirik analiz uzun dönemde ekonomik büyüme, birincil enerji kaynakları tüketimi ve lojistik arasında eşbütünleşme ilişkisi olduğunu göstermektedir. Uzun dönem katsayılarını belirlemek için tam değiştirilmiş en küçük kareler, dinamik en küçük kareler ve kanonik eşbütünleşme regresyonu tahmincileri kullanılmıştır. Sonuçlar birincil enerji kaynaklarının ve lojistiğin ekonomik büyüme üzerindeki etkisinin pozitif, ekonomik büyümenin ve lojistiğin birincil enerji kaynakları üzerindeki etkisinin sırasıyla pozitif ve negatif olduğunu göstermektedir. Ekonomik büyüme ve birincil enerji kaynakları tüketimi arasında Türkiye’de geri bildirim hipotezi geçerlidir. Enerji tüketimi ve ekonomik büyüme arasındaki karşılıklı bağımlılık, birincil enerji kaynaklarının ekonomik büyüme için önemli olduğunu ve aynı şekilde ekonomik büyümenin de birincil enerji kaynaklarının kullanımını teşvik ettiğini göstermektedir. Bununla birlikte lojistik sektöründe yenilenemez kaynaklara ikame olarak yenilenebilir enerji kaynaklarının kullanımı arttırılmalıdır.

Keywords

• Ekonomik büyüme
• Birincil enerji tüketimi
• Lojistik

The Relationshıp between Energy Consumption, Economic Growth and Logıstic: The Case of Turkey

Abstract

The aim of this study is to analyze the relationship between economic growth, primary energy consumption and logistics in Turkey during 1974-2019. Bayer-Hanck approach is used to assess the cointegration between variables. The empirical analysis confirms the presence of a long-run relationship between primary energy consumption, economic growth and logistics. Fully modified ordinary least squares, dynamic ordinary least squares and canonical cointegrating regression are used to estimate the long-term coefficients. The results demonstrate that the effect of primary energy consumption and logistics on economic growth is positive, the effect of economic growth and logistic on energy consumption is positive and negative, respectively. Feedback hypothesis between economic growth and consumption of primary energy resources in Turkey is valid. The interdependence between energy consumption and economic growth suggests that primary energy sources are important for economic growth and likewise economic growth promotes the use of primary energy sources. In addition, the use of renewable energy sources should be increased as a substitute for non-renewable sources in the logistics sector.

Keywords

• Economic growth
• Primary energy consumption
• Logistics

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