Artificial Intelligence in Future Wars

Year 2023, , 145 - 166, 24.11.2023

Kıvılcım Romya Bilgin

https://doi.org/10.17752/guvenlikstrtj.1394924

Abstract

The discussions surrounding the potential impact of technological advancements, particularly in artificial intelligence-based technologies, on strategic, operational, and tactical dimensions of future wars are a topic of interest. Some of these discussions propose that as artificial intelligence continues to evolve, not only the character but also the nature of the war will undergo substantial changes, suggesting that war in the future will experience a profound transformation. The distinction between the nature and the character of the war is blurred, making it challenging to comprehend the direction of artificial intelligence’s impact on the war. In this context, Carl von Clausewitz’s trinity regarding the nature and character of the war can be employed. While the trinity provides a framework for contemplating future wars, it also allows for an understanding of the transformative influence of artificial intelligence not on the nature but on the character of the war. Based on Clausewitz’s trinity, this study addresses the question of whether artificial intelligence is a technology that will change the nature of the war or will determine the structure of future wars by affecting the character of the war.

Keywords

Artificial Intelligence, Future War, Nature of War, Clausewitz, War Studies

Geleceğin Savaşlarında Yapay Zekâ

Abstract

Başta yapay zekâ tabanlı teknolojiler olmak üzere teknolojik gelişmelerin gelecekteki savaşların stratejik, operasyonel ve taktik boyutları üzerindeki potansiyel etkisine ilişkin tartışmalar ilgi çeken bir konudur. Tartışmaların bir kısmı yapay zekânın gelişimi ile sadece savaşın karakterinin değil, doğasının da değişeceğini değerlendirerek gelecekte savaşların derin bir dönüşüm geçireceğini iddia ederken, yapay zekânın savaşın doğasını ve karakterini etkileyip etkilemeyeceği önemli bir soru olarak alandaki yerini almaktadır. Savaşın doğası ve karakteri arasındaki ayrımın net çizilmesinin zorluğu, yapay zekânın savaşa etkisinin ne yönde olacağının anlaşılmasını da karmaşıklaştırmaktadır. Bu noktada, Carl von Clausewitz’in üçleme ile savaşın doğası ve karakterine ilişkin çizdiği çerçeve kullanılabilir. Üçleme bir yandan geleceğin savaşları hakkında düşünmek için bir çerçeve sunarken, öte yandan yapay zekânın savaşın doğası üzerinde değil, savaşın karakteri üzerindeki dönüştürücü etkisinin anlaşılmasına imkân sağlamaktadır. Çalışmada, Clausewitz’in üçlemesi kuramsal niteliğiyle temel alınarak, yapay zekâ savaşın doğasını değiştirecek bir teknoloji midir; yoksa savaşın karakteri üzerinde yaratacağı etkilerle geleceğin savaşlarının yapısını mı belirleyecektir sorusu ele alınmıştır.

Keywords

Yapay Zekâ, Geleceğin Savaşı, Savaşın Doğası, Clausewitz, Savaş Çalışmaları

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