Siyasi İstikrar ve Küreselleşmenin Petrol Üreten ve Üretmeyen Afrika Ülkelerinde Çevre Kalitesi Üzerindeki Etkisi

Abstract

Bu çalışmada, 2002-2022 yılları arasında petrol üreten ve petrol üretmeyen Afrika ülkelerinde politik istikrar ve küreselleşmenin çevresel kalite üzerindeki etkisini araştırılmıştır. Panel nedensellik testinin kullanıldığı çalışma sonuçları, hem petrol üreten hem de petrol üretmeyen ülkelerde kısa vadede yalnızca küreselleşme ile çevresel kalite arasında nedensellik olduğunu, ancak uzun vadede politik istikrar, küreselleşme ve genel olarak çevresel kalite arasında nedensellik bulunduğunu göstermektedir. Buna ek olarak çalışmanın bir diğer sonucu emtia üretmeyen ülkelerde kısa vadeli dengesizliklerin daha kısa sürede ortadan kalktığını göstermektedir. Panel tahmincilerine göre ise küreselleşmenin her iki ülke grubunda da çevresel kalite üzerindeki etkisi politik istikrardan daha büyük olduğu ortaya konmuştur. Bu sonuçlar ışığında çevresel kalite kapsamında düşünüldüğünde, petrol üreten ülkelerin emtia gelirlerinden beklenen faydaları elde edemediği yorumu yapılabilir. Sonuç olarak, çevresel kalitenin arttırılması amacıyla ulus devletler karmaşık sosyo-ekonomik sorunları çözmede yetersiz kaldığı için, kamu egemenliğinin paylaşılması mevcut çevresel sorunların çözülmesine yardımcı olacaktır.

Keywords

• Siyasi istikrar
• Küreselleşme
• Çevresel Kalite
• Afrika Ülkeleri

Impact of Political Stability and Globalization on Environmental Quality in Oil-Producing and Non-Oil Producing African Countries

Abstract

In this study, we use the panel cointegration and causality tests to investigate the impact of political stability (PS) and globalization on environmental quality (EQ) in oil-producing and non-oil-producing African countries from 2002 to 2022. The panel causality test results indicate that, in both oil-producing and non-oil-producing countries, there is short-term causality only between globalization and EQ but long-term causality between PS and globalization and EQ overall. Interestingly, in non-commodity-producing countries, short-run imbalances are eliminated in a much shorter period of time. According to the panel estimators, globalization has a greater impact on EQ than PS in both country groups. Oil-producing countries fail to reap the expected benefits from commodity revenues. In conclusion, since nation-states are insufficient in solving complex socio-economic problems, sharing public sovereignty will help to solve existing problems.

Keywords

• Political stability
• Globalization
• Environmental quality
• African countries

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