GEN İFADE PROGRAMLAMA İLE GÖKSU NEHRİ’NİN AKIM TAHMİNİ

Abstract

Bu çalışmada, Gen İfade Programlama (GEP) yöntemi kullanılarak Doğu Akdeniz havzasında bulunan Göksu Nehri’nin akım tahmini yapılmıştır. Akım tahmini için Göksu Nehri’nde bulunan Bucakkışla, Karahacılı, Kırkkavak, Hamam, Yeşilköy ve Gravga akım gözlem istasyonlarından 2006–2010 yıllarına ait günlük akım değerleri kullanılarak modeller geliştirilmiştir. Karahacılı istasyonuna ait modeller geliştirilirken diğer istasyonların akım değerleri ve Karahacılı istasyonunun önceki günlerine ait akım değerleri girdi kullanılarak çeşitli kombinasyonlar denenmiştir. Modellerin performansları değerlendirildiğinde, akım tahmininde GEP yönteminin başarılı sonuçlar verdiği görülmüştür.

Keywords

• Gen İfade Programlama,Günlük akım,Göksu Nehri,Doğu Akdeniz Havzası

STREAMFLOW ESTIMATION OF GÖKSU RIVER WITH GENE EXPRESSION PROGRAMMING

Abstract

In this study, Gene Expression Programming (GEP) technique was used to forecast the river flow of Göksu River, located in Doğu Akdeniz Basin. Various models were developed using the daily river flow data of Bucakkışla, Karahacılı, Kırkkavak, Hamam, Yeşilköy and Gravga stations, located on Göksu River, for the period of 2006-2010. While the models of Karahacılı station were developed, several combinations were tried using the flow data of other stations and also the previous flow data of Karahacılı station as input. When the performances of the models are evaluated, it is seen that GEP is a successful method in the forecast of river flow.

Keywords

• Gene Expression Programming,Daily flow,Göksu River,Eastern Mediterranean Basin,Streamflow estimation

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