Validity of Exponential Distribution for Modelling Inter-failure Arrival Times of Windows based Industrial Process Control Data Exchange

Year 2022, , 1 - 8, 21.06.2022

Ongun Yucesan , Altan Özkil , Mehmet Efe Özbek

https://doi.org/10.53525/jster.1017004

Cited By: 1

Abstract

Using a reliability function with a known classical distribution, at an instance in time, the chances of an activity success can be predicted. Based on this curve, a proper reset period can be appointed. This would help to keep the risk under control. For this purpose, a test bed mimicking the machine to machine (M2M) communication of a Digital Oil Rig is employed. It contains an Embedded Computer Server and an ordinary computer acting as a client querying data from the server. On this testbed, as the communication protocol Open Platform Communications - Unified Architecture (OPC UA) is run. In “most occasions, the arrival processes are assumed as a Poisson Arrival Process. The Question of a concern: "Is this assumption valid in case of an Embedded Computer responding to queries?". Our results indicate that the failure arrivals are independent identically distributed (IID) and can be modeled with an Exponential Distribution by accepting a reasonable error.

Keywords

Inter-Failure Arrival Times and distribution, Markovian Arrival Processes, Poisson Arrival Process, Test for Sample Independence, Goodness of Fit Test

Supporting Institution

TUBİTAK

Project Number

KAMAK 115G007

Thanks

To everyone, whom without, wouldnt be this

Windows işletim sistemi tabanlı Endüstriyel Proses denetimleri için veri değiştokuşunda Exponansiyel Rassal Değişkenin Güvenirlik modeli olarak geçerliği

Abstract

Bilinen bir klasik güvenirlik dağılımı kullanılarak gelecekteki faaliyetler için hata olasılıklarının tahmini mümkündür. Eksponansiyel ve Normal değişkenin, windows tabanlı bir endüstriyel iletişim için geçerliliği gösterilmiştir.

Keywords

hatalar arası zaman, MArkov Varış Süreçleri, Exponensiyel Varış süreci, Örnek bağımsızlığı testleri, uyumun iyliği testleri

Project Number

KAMAK 115G007

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