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THE IMPACT OF SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC FACTORS ON FERTILITY FEATURES: A CROSS-COUNTRY ANALYSIS

Year 2022, Volume: 13 Issue: 26, 993 - 1012, 27.12.2022
https://doi.org/10.36543/kauiibfd.2022.041

Abstract

Doğurganlık davranışı, özellikle son otuz yılda daha da gözlemlenebilir duruma gelerek tüm dünyada insanların yaşamları üzerinde önemli bir etki oluşturmaktadır. Bir hanede doğum yapma kararı, yetiştirilen çocuğun zaman maliyeti, sosyal yapı, kadının istihdam durumu ve toplam aile geliri gibi birçok ekonomik ve sosyal değişkenden etkilenmektedir. Çalışmamızın amacı doğurganlık özelliklerinin sosyal ve ekonomik değişkenlerden nasıl etkilendiğini ortaya koymaktır. Modelimiz 1990-2018 döneminde 49 ülke gelir düzeylerine göre üç gruba ayrılarak uygulanmıştır. Çalışmanın sonuçları, doğurganlık özelliklerinin tüm ülke gruplarında sosyal değişkenlerden daha fazla ekonomik değişkenlerden etkilendiğini ortaya koymakta ve ekonomik değişkenlerde meydana gelen bir artış düşük gelirli ülkeler beşeri sermaye sayısını artırırken yüksek gelirli ülkelerde beşeri sermayenin kalitesini iyileştirmektedir. Sağlık değişkeni bütün ülke gruplarında doğurganlık üzerinde pozitif etkiye sahiptir.

References

  • Ashraf, Q. H., Weil, D. N., & Wilde, J. (2013). The effect of fertility reduction on economic growth. Population and development review, 39(1), 97-130.
  • Becker, G. S. (1992). Fertility and the Economy. Journal of Population Economics, 5(3), 185-201.
  • Becker, G. S. (2009). Human capital: A theoretical and empirical analysis, with special reference to education. University of Chicago press.
  • Becker, G. S., & Barro, R. J. (1986). Altruism and the economic theory of fertility. Population and Development Review, 12, 69-76.
  • Becker, G. S., & Lewis, H. G. (1973). On the Interaction between the Quantity and Quality of Children. Journal of political Economy, 81(2, Part 2), S279-S288.
  • Becker, G. S., Murphy, K. M., & Tamura, R. (1990). Human capital, fertility, and economic growth. Journal of political economy, 98(5, Part 2), S12-S37.
  • Berger, M. C., & Black, D. A. (1992). Child care subsidies, quality of care, and the labor supply of low-income, single mothers. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 635-642.
  • Bhat, P. M. (2002). Returning a favor: Reciprocity between female education and fertility in India. World development, 30(10), 1791-1803.
  • Boldrin, M., & Jones, L. E. (2002). Mortality, fertility, and saving in a Malthusian economy. Review of Economic Dynamics, 5(4), 775-814.
  • Borg, M. O. M. (1989). The income-fertility relationship: Effect of the net price of a child. Demography, 26(2), 301-310.
  • Caldwell, J. C. (1976). Fertility and the household economy in Nigeria. Journal of Comparative family studies, 7(2), 193-253.
  • Chatterjee, S., & Vogl, T. (2018). Escaping Malthus: Economic growth and fertility change in the developing world. American Economic Review, 108(6), 1440-67.
  • Chicoine, L. (2020). Free Primary Education, Fertility, and Women's Access to the Labor Market: Evidence from Ethiopia. The World Bank.
  • Diebolt, C., Menard, A. R., & Perrin, F. (2017). Behind the fertility–education nexus: what triggered the French development process?. European Review of Economic History, 21(4), 357-392.
  • Fashina, O. A., Asaleye, A. J., Ogunjobi, J. O., & Lawal, A. I. (2018). Foreign aid, human capital and economic growth nexus: Evidence from Nigeria. Journal of International Studies, 11(2), 104-117.
  • Franck, R., & Galor, O. (2015). Industrialization and the fertility decline (No. 2015-6). Working paper.
  • Freedman, D. S., & Thornton, A. (1982). Income and fertility: The elusive relationship. Demography, 19(1), 65-78.
  • Guo, Z., Wu, Z., Schimmele, C. M., & Li, S. (2012). The effect of urbanization on China’s fertility. Population Research and Policy Review, 31(3), 417-434.
  • Güneş, P. M. (2016). The impact of female education on teenage fertility: evidence from Turkey. The BE journal of economic analysis & policy, 16(1), 259-288.
  • Hotelling, H. (1933). Analysis of a complex of statistical variables into principal components. Journal of educational psychology, 24(6), 417.
  • Jain, A. K. (1981). The effect of female education on fertility: A simple explanation. Demography, 18(4), 577-595.
  • Jolliffe, I. T. (1986). Principal components in regression analysis. In Principal component analysis (pp. 129-155). Springer, New York, NY.
  • Kalwij, A. S. (2000). The effects of female employment status on the presence and number of children. Journal of population economics, 13(2), 221-239.
  • Lam, D., & Duryea, S. (1999). Effects of schooling on fertility, labor supply, and investments in children, with evidence from Brazil. Journal of Human Resources, 160-192.
  • Malthus, T. R. (1872). An Essay on the Principle of Population.
  • Nguyen-Dinh, H. (1997). A socioeconomic analysis of the determinants of fertility: The case of Vietnam. Journal of Population Economics, 10(3), 251-271.
  • Pearson, K. (1901). LIII. On lines and planes of closest fit to systems of points in space. The London, Edinburgh, and Dublin Philosophical Magazine and Journal of Science, 2(11), 559-572.
  • Pesaran, M. H., & Smith, R. (1995). Estimating long-run relationships from dynamic heterogeneous panels. Journal of econometrics, 68(1), 79-113.
  • Preston, S. H., & Hartnett, C. S. (2010). The future of American fertility. In Demography and the Economy (pp. 11-36). University of Chicago Press.
  • Ridker, R. G., & Muscat, R. J. (1973). Incentives for family welfare and fertility reduction: An illustration for Malaysia. Studies in family planning, 4(1), 1-11. Schultz, T. P. (2006). Fertility and income. Understanding poverty, 125-142.
  • Siddiqui, A., & Rehman, A. U. (2017). The human capital and economic growth nexus: in East and South Asia. Applied Economics, 49(28), 2697-2710.
  • Silva, E. (2014). Essays on Income and Fertility: Sweden 1968-2009 (Doctoral dissertation, Lund University).
  • Simon, J. L. (1969). The effect of income on fertility. Population Studies, 23(3), 327-341.
  • Strulik, H. (2004). Economic growth and stagnation with endogenous health and fertility. Journal of Population Economics, 17(3), 433-453.
  • Su, Y., & Liu, Z. (2016). The impact of foreign direct investment and human capital on economic growth: Evidence from Chinese cities. China Economic Review, 37, 97-109.
  • Wanamaker, M. H. (2012). Industrialization and fertility in the nineteenth century: Evidence from South Carolina. The Journal of Economic History, 168-196.
  • Wang, Q., & Sun, X. (2016). The role of socio-political and economic factors in fertility decline: a cross-country analysis. World Development, 87, 360-370.
  • Weinberger, M. B. (1987). The relationship between women's education and fertility: selected findings from the World Fertility Surveys. International Family Planning Perspectives, 35-46.
  • White, M. J., Muhidin, S., Andrzejewski, C., Tagoe, E., Knight, R., & Reed, H. (2008). Urbanization and fertility: An event-history analysis of coastal Ghana. Demography, 45(4), 803-816.
  • Willis, R. J. (1973). A new approach to the economic theory of fertility behavior. Journal of political Economy, 81(2, Part 2), S14-S64.

THE IMPACT OF SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC FACTORS ON FERTILITY FEATURES: A CROSS-COUNTRY ANALYSIS

Year 2022, Volume: 13 Issue: 26, 993 - 1012, 27.12.2022
https://doi.org/10.36543/kauiibfd.2022.041

Abstract

Fertility behavior poses a significant impact on people's lives throughout the world, which has become even more observable especially in the last thirty years. The decision to give birth in a household is influenced by many economic and social variables such as the time cost of the raised child, social structure, the employment status of women and total family income. The aim of our study is to reveal how fertility characteristics are affected by social and economic variables. Our model was applied to three groups in 49 countries within the period of 1990-2018 focusing on the income levels of these countries. The outcomes of the study reveal that fertility characteristics are affected more by economic variables than social variables in all country groups, signifying that a positive increase in economic variables improves the quality of human capital in high-income countries while a positive increase in economic variables in low-income countries increases the number of human capital.

References

  • Ashraf, Q. H., Weil, D. N., & Wilde, J. (2013). The effect of fertility reduction on economic growth. Population and development review, 39(1), 97-130.
  • Becker, G. S. (1992). Fertility and the Economy. Journal of Population Economics, 5(3), 185-201.
  • Becker, G. S. (2009). Human capital: A theoretical and empirical analysis, with special reference to education. University of Chicago press.
  • Becker, G. S., & Barro, R. J. (1986). Altruism and the economic theory of fertility. Population and Development Review, 12, 69-76.
  • Becker, G. S., & Lewis, H. G. (1973). On the Interaction between the Quantity and Quality of Children. Journal of political Economy, 81(2, Part 2), S279-S288.
  • Becker, G. S., Murphy, K. M., & Tamura, R. (1990). Human capital, fertility, and economic growth. Journal of political economy, 98(5, Part 2), S12-S37.
  • Berger, M. C., & Black, D. A. (1992). Child care subsidies, quality of care, and the labor supply of low-income, single mothers. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 635-642.
  • Bhat, P. M. (2002). Returning a favor: Reciprocity between female education and fertility in India. World development, 30(10), 1791-1803.
  • Boldrin, M., & Jones, L. E. (2002). Mortality, fertility, and saving in a Malthusian economy. Review of Economic Dynamics, 5(4), 775-814.
  • Borg, M. O. M. (1989). The income-fertility relationship: Effect of the net price of a child. Demography, 26(2), 301-310.
  • Caldwell, J. C. (1976). Fertility and the household economy in Nigeria. Journal of Comparative family studies, 7(2), 193-253.
  • Chatterjee, S., & Vogl, T. (2018). Escaping Malthus: Economic growth and fertility change in the developing world. American Economic Review, 108(6), 1440-67.
  • Chicoine, L. (2020). Free Primary Education, Fertility, and Women's Access to the Labor Market: Evidence from Ethiopia. The World Bank.
  • Diebolt, C., Menard, A. R., & Perrin, F. (2017). Behind the fertility–education nexus: what triggered the French development process?. European Review of Economic History, 21(4), 357-392.
  • Fashina, O. A., Asaleye, A. J., Ogunjobi, J. O., & Lawal, A. I. (2018). Foreign aid, human capital and economic growth nexus: Evidence from Nigeria. Journal of International Studies, 11(2), 104-117.
  • Franck, R., & Galor, O. (2015). Industrialization and the fertility decline (No. 2015-6). Working paper.
  • Freedman, D. S., & Thornton, A. (1982). Income and fertility: The elusive relationship. Demography, 19(1), 65-78.
  • Guo, Z., Wu, Z., Schimmele, C. M., & Li, S. (2012). The effect of urbanization on China’s fertility. Population Research and Policy Review, 31(3), 417-434.
  • Güneş, P. M. (2016). The impact of female education on teenage fertility: evidence from Turkey. The BE journal of economic analysis & policy, 16(1), 259-288.
  • Hotelling, H. (1933). Analysis of a complex of statistical variables into principal components. Journal of educational psychology, 24(6), 417.
  • Jain, A. K. (1981). The effect of female education on fertility: A simple explanation. Demography, 18(4), 577-595.
  • Jolliffe, I. T. (1986). Principal components in regression analysis. In Principal component analysis (pp. 129-155). Springer, New York, NY.
  • Kalwij, A. S. (2000). The effects of female employment status on the presence and number of children. Journal of population economics, 13(2), 221-239.
  • Lam, D., & Duryea, S. (1999). Effects of schooling on fertility, labor supply, and investments in children, with evidence from Brazil. Journal of Human Resources, 160-192.
  • Malthus, T. R. (1872). An Essay on the Principle of Population.
  • Nguyen-Dinh, H. (1997). A socioeconomic analysis of the determinants of fertility: The case of Vietnam. Journal of Population Economics, 10(3), 251-271.
  • Pearson, K. (1901). LIII. On lines and planes of closest fit to systems of points in space. The London, Edinburgh, and Dublin Philosophical Magazine and Journal of Science, 2(11), 559-572.
  • Pesaran, M. H., & Smith, R. (1995). Estimating long-run relationships from dynamic heterogeneous panels. Journal of econometrics, 68(1), 79-113.
  • Preston, S. H., & Hartnett, C. S. (2010). The future of American fertility. In Demography and the Economy (pp. 11-36). University of Chicago Press.
  • Ridker, R. G., & Muscat, R. J. (1973). Incentives for family welfare and fertility reduction: An illustration for Malaysia. Studies in family planning, 4(1), 1-11. Schultz, T. P. (2006). Fertility and income. Understanding poverty, 125-142.
  • Siddiqui, A., & Rehman, A. U. (2017). The human capital and economic growth nexus: in East and South Asia. Applied Economics, 49(28), 2697-2710.
  • Silva, E. (2014). Essays on Income and Fertility: Sweden 1968-2009 (Doctoral dissertation, Lund University).
  • Simon, J. L. (1969). The effect of income on fertility. Population Studies, 23(3), 327-341.
  • Strulik, H. (2004). Economic growth and stagnation with endogenous health and fertility. Journal of Population Economics, 17(3), 433-453.
  • Su, Y., & Liu, Z. (2016). The impact of foreign direct investment and human capital on economic growth: Evidence from Chinese cities. China Economic Review, 37, 97-109.
  • Wanamaker, M. H. (2012). Industrialization and fertility in the nineteenth century: Evidence from South Carolina. The Journal of Economic History, 168-196.
  • Wang, Q., & Sun, X. (2016). The role of socio-political and economic factors in fertility decline: a cross-country analysis. World Development, 87, 360-370.
  • Weinberger, M. B. (1987). The relationship between women's education and fertility: selected findings from the World Fertility Surveys. International Family Planning Perspectives, 35-46.
  • White, M. J., Muhidin, S., Andrzejewski, C., Tagoe, E., Knight, R., & Reed, H. (2008). Urbanization and fertility: An event-history analysis of coastal Ghana. Demography, 45(4), 803-816.
  • Willis, R. J. (1973). A new approach to the economic theory of fertility behavior. Journal of political Economy, 81(2, Part 2), S14-S64.
There are 40 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Journal Section Articles
Authors

Şerife Kuloğlu 0000-0002-0519-5156

Aynur Kızılırmak 0000-0002-5032-7234

Ayhan Kuloğlu 0000-0003-0027-2893

Publication Date December 27, 2022
Acceptance Date November 22, 2022
Published in Issue Year 2022 Volume: 13 Issue: 26

Cite

APA Kuloğlu, Ş., Kızılırmak, A., & Kuloğlu, A. (2022). THE IMPACT OF SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC FACTORS ON FERTILITY FEATURES: A CROSS-COUNTRY ANALYSIS. Kafkas Üniversitesi İktisadi Ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 13(26), 993-1012. https://doi.org/10.36543/kauiibfd.2022.041

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