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GLOBAL COOPERATION: IMPACT OF PANDEMICS AND GLOBAL CRISES ON TRADE AND ECONOMIC STABILITY

Year 2024, Volume: 15 Issue: 30, 744 - 773, 30.12.2024
https://doi.org/10.36543/kauiibfd.2024.029

Abstract

This study examines the impact of pandemics on trade and economic stability, emphasizing the need for global cooperation and the involvement of least developed and developing countries in decision-making. Investigates the impact of pandemics, trade disruptions, and geopolitical tensions shape global economic dynamics, identifies the key factors influencing trade volumes and economic stability, and the strategies for fostering global cooperation to manage these complexities and promote resilience. A case study approach was used, focusing on COVID-19. Reports from 2009 to 2022 of the IMF, WTO were analyzed. All documents were subjected to a comprehensive, holistic analysis in accordance with predefined criteria. The findings of the study reveal the adverse effects of trade protectionism on international trade and global welfare, with a particular focus on the disproportionate impact on developing and least developed countries. In conclusion, the study emphasizes the necessity for reform of the international financial architecture to ensure fair representation and effective global cooperation.

References

  • Acemoğlu, D., & Robinson, J. (2014). Ulusların düşüşü, güç, zenginlik ve yoksulluğun kökenleri (3 b.). (V. F. R., Çev.) İstanbul: Doğan Egmont Yayıncılık ve Yapımcılık Tic. A.Ş.
  • Alpago, H., & Oduncu, D. (2020). ‘Koronavirüs salgınının sosyoekonomik sonuçları’, IBAD Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi (8). 99-114. 10.21733/ibad.716444.
  • Aybet, G. (2020). COVID-19 sonrası uluslararası ilişkiler teorisi ve dünya düzeni. İçinde A. Özer, M. Şeker, ve C. Korkut (Ed.), Küresel salgının anatomisi insan ve toplumun geleceği (s. 299-318). Ankara: Türkiye Bilimler Akademisi.
  • Creswell, J. W. (2013). Qualitative inquiry and research design : choosing among five approaches (3rd. ed.). Los Angeles: Sage Publications.
  • Collier, R. (1996). The plague of the Spanish lady (1st ed.). London: Allison & Busby.
  • Donaldson, D., & Keniston, D. (2016). Dynamics of a malthusian economy: India in the aftermath of the 1918 influenza. Chicago: Becker Friedman Institute for Research in Economics, University of Chicago.
  • Davies, P. (2000). The devil's flu: The World's deadliest influenza epidemic and the scientific hunt for the virus that caused it (1st. ed.). New York: Holt Paperbacks.
  • DeWitte, S. (2014). Mortality risk and survival in the aftermath of the medieval black death. PLoS One, 9(5), 1-8.
  • Diamond, J. (1997). Guns, germs and steel (1st ed.). New York: W.W. Norton Publishing.
  • Dieppe, A. (Ed.). (2020). Global productivity: trends, drivers, and policies. Washington, DC: World Bank.
  • Domingo, P., & Barquet, N. (1997). Smallpox: The triumph over the most terrible of the ministers of death. Annals of Internal Medicine, 128(9), 635-642.
  • Erdoğdu, M. M. (2020, June 24). Covid-19 and the end of the road for neoliberalism [Sözlü Bildiri]. 11. International Conference of Political Economy: Global Inequalities, IJOPEC, İstanbul.
  • Federal Reserve System. (1958). Federal reserve bulletin. Retrieved from https://fraser.stlouisfed.org/files/docs/publications/FRB/pages/1955-1959/14330_1955-1959.pdf
  • Fenn, E. (2001). Pox Americana: The great smallpox epidemic (1st ed.). New York: Hill and Wang.
  • Frieden, J., Pettis, M., Rodrik, D., & Zedillo, L. E. (Eds.). (2012). After the fall: The future of global cooperation: Geneva reports on the World economy 14. London: CEPR Press.
  • Garrett, T. A. (2007). Economic effects of the 1918 influenza pandemic implications for a modern-day pandemic. (Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working paper No. CA0721. Retrieved from https://files.stlouisfed.org/files/htdocs/publications/review/08/03/Garrett.pdf
  • Gaspar, V., Hagan, S., & Obstfeld, M. (2018, September 6). Steering the world toward more cooperation, not less. International Monetary Fund. Retrieved from https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2018/09/06/blog-global-cooperation
  • Genç, Ö. (2011). Kara ölüm: 1348 veba salgını ve ortaçağ Avrupasına etkileri. Tarih Okulu, Mayıs - Ağustos 2011(X), 123-150.
  • Giroux, H. (2020). The Covid-19 pandemic is exposing the plague of neoliberalism. Praxis Educativa, 14(2), 1-11.
  • Hancock, D. R., Algozzine, B., & Lim, J. H. (2021). Doing case study research: A practical guide for beginning researchers (4th ed.). Teachers' College Press.
  • IMF. (2019). Global financial stability report, October 2019: Lower for longer (Global Financial Stability Report series). International Monetary Fund-Monetary and Capital Markets Department. https://doi.org/10.5089/9781498324021.082
  • James, S., & Sargent, T. (2007). The economic impact of an influenza pandemic, Department of Finance of Canada Working Paper 2007/4.
  • Jordà, Ò., Singh, S. R., & Taylor, A. M. (2020). Longer-run economic consequences of pandemics. (Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Working Paper No. 2020-09). Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.24148/wp2020-09
  • Karlsson, M., Nilsson, T., & Pichler, S. (2014). The impact of the 1918 Spanish flu epidemic on economic performance in Sweden: An investigation into the consequences of an extraordinary mortality shock. Journal of Health Economics, 36, 1-19.
  • Köse, A. M., & Sugawara, N. (2020 June 15). Understanding the depth of the 2020 global recession in 5 charts. Retrieved from https://blogs.worldbank.org/opendata/understanding-depth-2020-global-recession-5-charts
  • Kuckartz, U. (2014). Qualitative text analysis (1st ed.). London, Thousand Oaks, New Delhi, Singapore: Sage Publications.
  • Lewis, M., & Bell, C. (2004). The economic implications of epidemics old and new. World Economics, 5(4), 137-174.
  • Madley, B. (2015). Reexamining the American genocide debate: meaning, historiography, and new methods. The American Historical Review, 120(1), 98–139.
  • Manning, P. (1990). Slavery and African life (1st ed.). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
  • Milas , C. (2020, March 23). COVID-19 and economic lessons from previous pandemics. Retrieved from https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy/covid-19-and-economic-lessons-from-previous-pandemics/
  • Nunn, N. (2008). The long-term effects of Africa’s slave trades. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 123(1), 139-76.
  • Obrizan, M., Karlsson, M., Matvieiev, M. (2020). The macroeconomic impact of the 1918–19 influenza pandemic in Sweden, MPRA Paper 98910, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • OECD. (2022). International trade during the COVID-19 pandemic: Big shifts and uncertainty. OECD Publishing. Retrieved from https://www.oecd.org/trade/international-trade-during-the-covid-19-pandemic-big-shifts-and-uncertainty.htm
  • Pirenne, H. (2009). Ortaçağ Avrupa’sının ekonomik ve sosyal tarihi. (U. Kocabaşoğlu, Çev.) İstanbul: İletişim Yayınları.
  • Qiu, W., Rutherford, S., Mao, A., & Chu, C. (2017). The pandemic and its impacts. Health, Culture and Society, 9, 1-11. doi:10.5195/HCS.2017.221.
  • Ranald, P. (2020). Covid-19 pandemic slows global trade and exposes flaws in neoliberal trade policy. Journal of Australian Political Economy, (85), 108-114.
  • Rogers, K. (2020, July 23). 1957 flu pandemic. Encyclopaedia Britannica Online. Retrieved from https://www.britannica.com/event/1957-flu-pandemic
  • Senir, G., & Büyükkeklik, A. (2020). The effects of COVID-19 outbreak on supply chains and logistics activities. In M. Şeker, A. Özer, & C. Korkut (Eds.), Reflections on the Pandemic in the Future of the World (pp. 623-640). TÜBA. doi:10.53478/TUBA.2020.100
  • Statista. (2023, March 30). Impact of the influenza pandemic of 1918 on hourly wages in select industries in the United States from 1900 to 1928. Retrieved from https://www.statista.com/statistics/1103413/us-wages-spanish-flu/
  • Stepek , J. (2020, April 11). What can the 1957 stockmarket crash teach us about the coronavirus crisis? Money Week. Retrieved from https://moneyweek.com/investments/stockmarkets/601152/what-can-the-1957-stockmarket-crash-teach-us-about-the-coronavirus
  • Strauss, A. L. (2003). Qualitative analysis for social scientists (14th ed.). Cambridge, New York: Cambridge University Press.
  • Subaşı, M. & Okumuş, K. (2017). Bir araştırma yöntemi olarak durum çalışması. Atatürk Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, 21(2), 419-426.
  • Taşkın, E., & Akıncı, Ö. S. (2021). COVID-19 küresel salgınının uluslararası ticarete etkileri. Alanya Akademik Bakış Dergisi, 5(2), 749-771.
  • Tuchman, B. (1978). A distant mirror – the calamitous 14th century (1st ed.). New York: Ballantine Books.
  • Velarde, J. (2015). Global imbalances and multilateral coordination. In M. Uzan (Ed.), Bretton Woods: The next 70 years (pp. 387 -393). New York: Reinventing Bretton Woods Committee.
  • Watson, O. J., vd. (2022). Global impact of the first year of COVID-19 vaccination: a mathematical modelling study. Lancet Infect Dis, 22(9), 1293-1302.
  • World Trade Organization. (2020). World trade statistical review. Retrieved from https://www.wto.org/english/res_e/publications_e/wtsr_2022_e.htm
  • Yamin, A. E., Grogan, J., & Villarreal, P. (Eds.). (2021). International pandemic lawmaking: Conceptual and practical issues report. Petrie-Flom Center and Max Planck Institute. https://petrieflom.law.harvard.edu/resources/article/internationalpandemic-lawmaking
  • Yaya, S., Sanni, Y., Otu, A., & Labonté, R. (2020). Globalisation in the time of COVID-19: repositioning Africa to meet the immediate and remote challenges. Globalization and Health, 16. doi:10.1186/s12992-020-00581-4
  • Yıldırım, A. ve Şimşek, H. (2008). Sosyal bilimlerde nitel araştırma yöntemleri (6. Baskı). Ankara: Seçkin Yayınları.
  • Yin, R. K. (2016). Qualitative research from start to finish (2nd ed.). New York & London: The Guilford Press.

KÜRESEL İŞBİRLİĞİNİN YENİDEN DEĞERLENDİRİLMESİ: SALGIN VE KÜRESEL KRİZLERİN TİCARET VE EKONOMİK İSTİKRAR ÜZERİNDEKİ ETKİSİ

Year 2024, Volume: 15 Issue: 30, 744 - 773, 30.12.2024
https://doi.org/10.36543/kauiibfd.2024.029

Abstract

Çalışma, salgın hastalıkların ticaret ve ekonomik istikrar üzerindeki etkisini incelemekte, küresel iş birliğine ve az gelişmiş ve gelişmekte olan ülkelerin karar alma süreçlerine katılımına duyulan ihtiyacı vurgulamaktadır. Küresel ekonomik dinamikleri şekillendiren salgın hastalıkların, ticari aksaklıkların ve jeopolitik gerilimlerin etkisini araştırmakta, ticaret hacimlerini ve ekonomik istikrarı etkileyen temel faktörleri ve bu karmaşıklıkları yönetmek ve dayanıklılığı teşvik etmek için küresel iş birliğini teşvik etme stratejilerini tanımlamaktadır. COVID-19'a odaklanan bir durum çalışması yaklaşımı kullanılmıştır. IMF ve WTO'nun 2009-2022 yılları arasındaki raporları analiz edilmiştir. Tüm belgeler, önceden belirlenmiş kriterlere uygun olarak kapsamlı ve bütüncül bir analize tabi tutulmuştur. Çalışmanın bulguları, özellikle gelişmekte olan ve az gelişmiş ülkeler üzerindeki orantısız etkiye odaklanarak, ticari korumacılığın uluslararası ticaret ve küresel refah üzerindeki olumsuz etkilerini ortaya koymaktadır. Sonuç olarak çalışma, adil temsil ve etkin küresel iş birliğinin sağlanması için uluslararası finansal mimaride reform yapılması gerekliliğini vurgulamaktadır.

References

  • Acemoğlu, D., & Robinson, J. (2014). Ulusların düşüşü, güç, zenginlik ve yoksulluğun kökenleri (3 b.). (V. F. R., Çev.) İstanbul: Doğan Egmont Yayıncılık ve Yapımcılık Tic. A.Ş.
  • Alpago, H., & Oduncu, D. (2020). ‘Koronavirüs salgınının sosyoekonomik sonuçları’, IBAD Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi (8). 99-114. 10.21733/ibad.716444.
  • Aybet, G. (2020). COVID-19 sonrası uluslararası ilişkiler teorisi ve dünya düzeni. İçinde A. Özer, M. Şeker, ve C. Korkut (Ed.), Küresel salgının anatomisi insan ve toplumun geleceği (s. 299-318). Ankara: Türkiye Bilimler Akademisi.
  • Creswell, J. W. (2013). Qualitative inquiry and research design : choosing among five approaches (3rd. ed.). Los Angeles: Sage Publications.
  • Collier, R. (1996). The plague of the Spanish lady (1st ed.). London: Allison & Busby.
  • Donaldson, D., & Keniston, D. (2016). Dynamics of a malthusian economy: India in the aftermath of the 1918 influenza. Chicago: Becker Friedman Institute for Research in Economics, University of Chicago.
  • Davies, P. (2000). The devil's flu: The World's deadliest influenza epidemic and the scientific hunt for the virus that caused it (1st. ed.). New York: Holt Paperbacks.
  • DeWitte, S. (2014). Mortality risk and survival in the aftermath of the medieval black death. PLoS One, 9(5), 1-8.
  • Diamond, J. (1997). Guns, germs and steel (1st ed.). New York: W.W. Norton Publishing.
  • Dieppe, A. (Ed.). (2020). Global productivity: trends, drivers, and policies. Washington, DC: World Bank.
  • Domingo, P., & Barquet, N. (1997). Smallpox: The triumph over the most terrible of the ministers of death. Annals of Internal Medicine, 128(9), 635-642.
  • Erdoğdu, M. M. (2020, June 24). Covid-19 and the end of the road for neoliberalism [Sözlü Bildiri]. 11. International Conference of Political Economy: Global Inequalities, IJOPEC, İstanbul.
  • Federal Reserve System. (1958). Federal reserve bulletin. Retrieved from https://fraser.stlouisfed.org/files/docs/publications/FRB/pages/1955-1959/14330_1955-1959.pdf
  • Fenn, E. (2001). Pox Americana: The great smallpox epidemic (1st ed.). New York: Hill and Wang.
  • Frieden, J., Pettis, M., Rodrik, D., & Zedillo, L. E. (Eds.). (2012). After the fall: The future of global cooperation: Geneva reports on the World economy 14. London: CEPR Press.
  • Garrett, T. A. (2007). Economic effects of the 1918 influenza pandemic implications for a modern-day pandemic. (Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working paper No. CA0721. Retrieved from https://files.stlouisfed.org/files/htdocs/publications/review/08/03/Garrett.pdf
  • Gaspar, V., Hagan, S., & Obstfeld, M. (2018, September 6). Steering the world toward more cooperation, not less. International Monetary Fund. Retrieved from https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2018/09/06/blog-global-cooperation
  • Genç, Ö. (2011). Kara ölüm: 1348 veba salgını ve ortaçağ Avrupasına etkileri. Tarih Okulu, Mayıs - Ağustos 2011(X), 123-150.
  • Giroux, H. (2020). The Covid-19 pandemic is exposing the plague of neoliberalism. Praxis Educativa, 14(2), 1-11.
  • Hancock, D. R., Algozzine, B., & Lim, J. H. (2021). Doing case study research: A practical guide for beginning researchers (4th ed.). Teachers' College Press.
  • IMF. (2019). Global financial stability report, October 2019: Lower for longer (Global Financial Stability Report series). International Monetary Fund-Monetary and Capital Markets Department. https://doi.org/10.5089/9781498324021.082
  • James, S., & Sargent, T. (2007). The economic impact of an influenza pandemic, Department of Finance of Canada Working Paper 2007/4.
  • Jordà, Ò., Singh, S. R., & Taylor, A. M. (2020). Longer-run economic consequences of pandemics. (Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Working Paper No. 2020-09). Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.24148/wp2020-09
  • Karlsson, M., Nilsson, T., & Pichler, S. (2014). The impact of the 1918 Spanish flu epidemic on economic performance in Sweden: An investigation into the consequences of an extraordinary mortality shock. Journal of Health Economics, 36, 1-19.
  • Köse, A. M., & Sugawara, N. (2020 June 15). Understanding the depth of the 2020 global recession in 5 charts. Retrieved from https://blogs.worldbank.org/opendata/understanding-depth-2020-global-recession-5-charts
  • Kuckartz, U. (2014). Qualitative text analysis (1st ed.). London, Thousand Oaks, New Delhi, Singapore: Sage Publications.
  • Lewis, M., & Bell, C. (2004). The economic implications of epidemics old and new. World Economics, 5(4), 137-174.
  • Madley, B. (2015). Reexamining the American genocide debate: meaning, historiography, and new methods. The American Historical Review, 120(1), 98–139.
  • Manning, P. (1990). Slavery and African life (1st ed.). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
  • Milas , C. (2020, March 23). COVID-19 and economic lessons from previous pandemics. Retrieved from https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy/covid-19-and-economic-lessons-from-previous-pandemics/
  • Nunn, N. (2008). The long-term effects of Africa’s slave trades. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 123(1), 139-76.
  • Obrizan, M., Karlsson, M., Matvieiev, M. (2020). The macroeconomic impact of the 1918–19 influenza pandemic in Sweden, MPRA Paper 98910, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • OECD. (2022). International trade during the COVID-19 pandemic: Big shifts and uncertainty. OECD Publishing. Retrieved from https://www.oecd.org/trade/international-trade-during-the-covid-19-pandemic-big-shifts-and-uncertainty.htm
  • Pirenne, H. (2009). Ortaçağ Avrupa’sının ekonomik ve sosyal tarihi. (U. Kocabaşoğlu, Çev.) İstanbul: İletişim Yayınları.
  • Qiu, W., Rutherford, S., Mao, A., & Chu, C. (2017). The pandemic and its impacts. Health, Culture and Society, 9, 1-11. doi:10.5195/HCS.2017.221.
  • Ranald, P. (2020). Covid-19 pandemic slows global trade and exposes flaws in neoliberal trade policy. Journal of Australian Political Economy, (85), 108-114.
  • Rogers, K. (2020, July 23). 1957 flu pandemic. Encyclopaedia Britannica Online. Retrieved from https://www.britannica.com/event/1957-flu-pandemic
  • Senir, G., & Büyükkeklik, A. (2020). The effects of COVID-19 outbreak on supply chains and logistics activities. In M. Şeker, A. Özer, & C. Korkut (Eds.), Reflections on the Pandemic in the Future of the World (pp. 623-640). TÜBA. doi:10.53478/TUBA.2020.100
  • Statista. (2023, March 30). Impact of the influenza pandemic of 1918 on hourly wages in select industries in the United States from 1900 to 1928. Retrieved from https://www.statista.com/statistics/1103413/us-wages-spanish-flu/
  • Stepek , J. (2020, April 11). What can the 1957 stockmarket crash teach us about the coronavirus crisis? Money Week. Retrieved from https://moneyweek.com/investments/stockmarkets/601152/what-can-the-1957-stockmarket-crash-teach-us-about-the-coronavirus
  • Strauss, A. L. (2003). Qualitative analysis for social scientists (14th ed.). Cambridge, New York: Cambridge University Press.
  • Subaşı, M. & Okumuş, K. (2017). Bir araştırma yöntemi olarak durum çalışması. Atatürk Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, 21(2), 419-426.
  • Taşkın, E., & Akıncı, Ö. S. (2021). COVID-19 küresel salgınının uluslararası ticarete etkileri. Alanya Akademik Bakış Dergisi, 5(2), 749-771.
  • Tuchman, B. (1978). A distant mirror – the calamitous 14th century (1st ed.). New York: Ballantine Books.
  • Velarde, J. (2015). Global imbalances and multilateral coordination. In M. Uzan (Ed.), Bretton Woods: The next 70 years (pp. 387 -393). New York: Reinventing Bretton Woods Committee.
  • Watson, O. J., vd. (2022). Global impact of the first year of COVID-19 vaccination: a mathematical modelling study. Lancet Infect Dis, 22(9), 1293-1302.
  • World Trade Organization. (2020). World trade statistical review. Retrieved from https://www.wto.org/english/res_e/publications_e/wtsr_2022_e.htm
  • Yamin, A. E., Grogan, J., & Villarreal, P. (Eds.). (2021). International pandemic lawmaking: Conceptual and practical issues report. Petrie-Flom Center and Max Planck Institute. https://petrieflom.law.harvard.edu/resources/article/internationalpandemic-lawmaking
  • Yaya, S., Sanni, Y., Otu, A., & Labonté, R. (2020). Globalisation in the time of COVID-19: repositioning Africa to meet the immediate and remote challenges. Globalization and Health, 16. doi:10.1186/s12992-020-00581-4
  • Yıldırım, A. ve Şimşek, H. (2008). Sosyal bilimlerde nitel araştırma yöntemleri (6. Baskı). Ankara: Seçkin Yayınları.
  • Yin, R. K. (2016). Qualitative research from start to finish (2nd ed.). New York & London: The Guilford Press.
There are 51 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects International Economics (Other), International Trade (Other)
Journal Section Articles
Authors

Özden Sevgi Akıncı 0000-0002-9250-4446

Ercan Taşkın 0000-0001-8499-1013

Publication Date December 30, 2024
Submission Date May 13, 2024
Acceptance Date August 15, 2024
Published in Issue Year 2024 Volume: 15 Issue: 30

Cite

APA Akıncı, Ö. S., & Taşkın, E. (2024). GLOBAL COOPERATION: IMPACT OF PANDEMICS AND GLOBAL CRISES ON TRADE AND ECONOMIC STABILITY. Kafkas Üniversitesi İktisadi Ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 15(30), 744-773. https://doi.org/10.36543/kauiibfd.2024.029

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