Sarhoş Yürüyüşü Modeli Çerçevesinde 15 Temmuz Darbe Girişimi Sonrası Türkiye-Avrupa Birliği (AB) İlişkileri

Abstract

Bu çalışma, 15 Temmuz 2016'da Türkiye'deki darbe girişiminin ardından Türkiye-AB ilişkilerini incelemektedir. Çalışma, karar alma modellerden biri olan Sarhoş Yürüyüşü Modeli ile ele alınmıştır. Çalışmada, AB ve Türk karar vericilerin 15 Temmuz darbe girişiminden sonra birbirlerine karşı söylemlerinin, kaldırımda yürüyen bir sarhoş gibi zikzak çizerek yapıldığı iddia edilmektedir. AB karar vericileri tarafından Türkiye'ye yönelik iyi söylemler sağa, kötü söylemler ise sola adım atılarak gösterilecektir. Sağa atılan adımlar A, sola atılan adımlar ise B olarak değerlendirilecek, ilişkilerin nasıl devam edeceği ve ilişkilerin nasıl zikzaklar çizdiği anlatılacaktır. Şüphesiz sosyal bilimlerde her olay eşit değerde olmayabilir. Burada eşit değerler verilmesi olayların nedenlerinin ve sonuçlarının önceden belirlenemediğini ve tahmin edilemeyen farklı sonuçların olabileceğini göstermek için yapılmıştır.

Keywords

• Türkiye
• Avrupa Birliği
• Rastgele Yürüyüş
• Darbe Girişimi
• 15 Temmuz

Turkey-European Union (EU) Relations after the July 15 Coup Attempt within the Framework of the Random Walk Model

Abstract

This study examines Turkey-EU Relations after the coup attempt in Turkey on July 15, 2016. The study was conducted using one of the decision-making models, the Random Walk Model. The study claims that the rhetoric of EU and Turkish decision-makers against each other after the July 15 coup attempt was made by zigzagging like a drunk walking on the pavement. Good rhetoric by EU decision-makers to Turkey will be shown by stepping to the right, and bad rhetoric will be shown by stepping to the left. The steps taken to the right will be evaluated as A, and the steps to the left will be evaluated as B. Then, inference will be made on how the relations will continue and how the relations will be evaluated. It will be explained that it draws zags. Undoubtedly, every event may not be of equal value in social sciences. Giving equal values here is to show that the causes and consequences of the events cannot be determined beforehand and that there may be different unpredictable results.

Keywords

• Turkey
• European Union
• Random Walk
• Coup Attempt
• July 15

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