THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 CORONAVIRUS ON STOCK MARKETS: EVIDENCE FROM SELECTED COUNTRIES

Abstract

In this paper, it has been aimed to reveal the possible effects of Covid-19 Coronavirus epidemic on stock markets. In the analysis using daily data between 23 January 2020 and 13 March 2020, possible effects on stock markets has been investigated with Maki (2012) cointegration test using both Covid-19 daily total death and Covid-19 daily total case. According to the results obtained, all stock markets examined with total death act together in the long run. It has been understood that total cases have cointegration relationship of SSE, KOSPI and IBEX35 and do not have cointegration relationship with FTSE MIB, CAC40, DAX30. In this regard, it is considered as one of the optimal option for investors to avoid investments in stock markets, turn to investment in gold markets, which is the safe investment port of each crisis period in long run. Also, considering the possibility of turning all life into an internet environment, turning to cryptocurrencies is seen as another alternative option for investors. In this direction, it will be the preference of investors to turn to derivative markets and to the stock markets of countries where Covid-19 is relatively rare to avoid risk.   

Keywords

• Covid-19 Coronavirus,Stock Markets,Epidemic,Death,Case

COVID-19 CORONAVİRÜSÜN HİSSE SENEDİ PİYASALARINA ETKİSİ: SEÇİLMİŞ ÜLKELERDEN KANITLAR

Abstract

Bu çalışmada, Covid-19 Coronavirüs salgınının borsalar üzerindeki olası etkilerini ortaya koymak amaçlanmıştır. 23 Ocak 2020 ve 13 Mart 2020 arasındaki günlük veriler kullanılarak yapılan analizlerde, hem Covid-19 günlük toplam ölüm hem de Covid-19 günlük toplam vaka sayılarının, Maki (2012) eşbütünleşme testi kullanılarak borsalar üzerindeki olası etkileri araştırılmıştır. Elde edilen sonuçlara göre, toplam ölümle incelenen tüm borsalar uzun vadede birlikte hareket etmektedir. Toplam vakaların SSE, KOSPI ve IBEX35 ile eşbütünleşme ilişkisi içerisinde olduğu ve bu vakaların FTSE MIB, CAC40, DAX30 ile eşbütünleşik olmadığı anlaşılmıştır. Bu bağlamda, yatırımcıların borsa yatırımlarından kaçınmaları, her kriz döneminin güvenli limanı olan altın piyasalarına yönelmeleri uzun vadede en uygun seçeneklerden biri olarak görülmektedir. Ayrıca, tüm hayatın bir internet ortamına dönüşme olasılığı göz önüne alındığında, sanal para birimlerine yönelmek yatırımcılar için bir başka alternatif seçenek olarak görülmektedir. Yine bu doğrultuda riskten kaçınmak için yatırımcıların türev piyasalara ve Covid-19'un nispeten nadir görüldüğü ülkelerin hisse senedi piyasalarına yönelmesi önerilmektedir.

Keywords

• Kovid-19 Koronavirüs,Borsa,Salgın,Ölüm,Vaka

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