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Sektör Düzeyinde Rekabet Edebilirlik ve Dünya Talebine Uyum: Türkiye ve Seçili Ülkeler için Bir Analiz

Year 2018, , 143 - 166, 15.04.2018
https://doi.org/10.17153/oguiibf.372344

Abstract

Bu
çalışmada seçili on sekiz ülkenin farklı teknoloji yoğunluklarındaki alt
endüstrilerinin ticaretinin ihracat payı performanslarını, bunların  dünya ticaret payları ile karşılaştırarak
görmeye çalışmamıza imkân veren Sabit Pazar Payı analizi ile irdeledik. BACI
dış ticaret veri tabanının 1995-2014 dönemini kapsayan bulguları, düşük, orta
ve yüksek teknolojili endüstrilerde birçok gelişmekte olan ülkenin pazar
paylarını, kendi çabaları, yani rekabet edebilirlik etkisi yoluyla hızlı bir
biçimde artırdığını göstermektedir. ABD, Japonya ve Almanya başta olmak üzere,
yüksek gelirli ülkeler cephesinde de bu pazar payları ya azalmakta ya da
durağan bir konumdadır. Bu iki bulgu küresel değer zincirlerinin yayılması
sonucunda üretim sürecindeki birçok aşamanın gelişmiş ülkelerden gelişmekte
olan ülkelere kaydığı şeklinde yorumlanabilir. Öte yandan, Vietnam ve bir
dereceye kadar da Çin bu süreçte dünyada talebi artan mallarda da rekabet
edebilirliklerini güçlü bir şekilde artırabilmiş ve toplam ihracat bakımından
yüksek bir yakınsama performansı gösterebilmişlerdir.

References

  • Athukorala, P. (2005). Product fragmentation and trade patterns in East Asia. Asian Economic Papers, 4 (3), 1-27.
  • Baldwin R. E., (1958). The Commodity composition of trade: Selected industrial countries, 1900-1954. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 40 (1), 50-68.
  • Baldwin, R. E. (2001). The implications of increasing fragmentation and globalization for the World Trade Organization. L. K. Cheng and H. Kierzkowski (Eds) içinde, Global production and trade in East Asia (s. 249-71). Boston: Kluwer Academic Publishers.
  • Banerji, R. (1974). The export performance of less developed countries: a constant market share analysis. Welt wirtschaftliches Archiv, 110, 447-481.
  • Bowen, H. P. and Pelzman, J. (1984). US export competitiveness: 1962-77. Applied Economics, 16 (3), 461-473.
  • Cantwell, J. (1994). The relationship between international trade and international production. D. Green-way and L. A. Winters (Eds.) içinde, Survey in International Trade, (s. 303-28). Oxford: Basil Blackwell.
  • Erlat, G., ve Erlat, H. (2012). Türkiye'nin orta doğu ülkeleri ile olan ticareti, 1990-2012. Tartışma Metni 2012/26, Türkiye Ekonomi Kurumu, Ankara.
  • Fagerberg, J. and Sollie, S. (1987). The method of constant market shares analysis reconsidered. Applied Economics, 19 (12), 1571-1583.
  • Gauiler, G. and Zignango, S. (2010). BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version. CEPII Working Paper 2010-23
  • Jones, R. W. Globalization and the theory of input trade. Cambridge: MIT Press.
  • Klasra, M. A. and Fidan, H. (2007). Competitiveness of major exporting countries and Turkey in the world fishery market: A constant market share analysis. Aquaculture Economics & Management, 9 (3), 125-138.
  • Kotan, Z. (2000). Export performance of Turkey in the European Union market compared to the South Easian countries. Yayınlanmamış Yüksek Lisans Tezi, METU, Department of Economics, Ankara.
  • Krugman, P., Cooper, R. N. and Srinivasan, T. N. (1995). Growing world trade: Causes and consequences. Brooking Papers on Economic Activity, 1995 (1), 327-377.
  • Lall, S. (2000). The technological structure and performance of developing country manufactured exports, 1985‐98. Oxford Development Studies, 28 (3), 213-243.
  • Lall, S. (2001a). Competitiveness indices and developing countries: an economic evaulation of the Global Competitiveness Report. World Development, 29 (9), 1501-1525.
  • Lall, S. (2001b). Competitiveness, technology and skills. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar.
  • Laursen, K. (1999). The impact of technological opportunity on the dynamics of trade performance. Struc-tural Change and Economic Dynamics, 10 (3-4), 341-357.
  • Leamer, E. E. and Stern, R. M. (1970). Quantitative international economics. Boston: Allyn and Bacon.
  • Lohrmann, A.-M. (2000). On Turkey's export performance: a decomposed constant market shares analysis. Russian and East European Finance and Trade, 36 (4), 80-90.
  • Merkies, A. Q. and Meer, T. (1988). A theoretical foundation for constant market share analysis. Empirical Economics, 13 (2), 65-80.
  • OECD. (1992). Technology and the economy: the key relationships. Paris: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.
  • OECD. (1996). Industrial competitiveness. Paris: OECD.
  • Ongun, Ş. E. (1990). Turkey's fresh fruit and vegetable exports to the European Community: a constant mar-ket shares analysis. Yayınlanmamış Yüksek Lisans Tezi, METU, Department of Economics, Ankara.
  • Porter, M. E. (1990). The competitive advantage of nations. New York: Free Press.
  • Richardson, J. D. (1971a). Constant-market shares analysis of export growth. Journal of International Economics, 1 (2), 227-239.
  • Richardson, J. D. (1971b). Some senstivity tests for a ''constant-market-shares'' analysis of export growth. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 53 (3), 300-304.
  • Spiegelglas, S. (1959). World exports of manufactures, 1957 vs. 1937. Manchester School of Economic and Social Studies, 27 (2), 111-139.
  • Şahan, F. (2012). The impact of technology level and structural change of exports on the dynamics of inter-national competitiveness: a sectoral disaggregated analysis of turkish manufacturing sector. Yayınlanmış Doktora Tezi, Middle East Technical University, The Department of Economics, Ankara.
  • Tatarer, Ö. (2004). The export performance of the Turkish manufacturing industries with respect to selected countries. Yüksek Lisans Tezi, METU, Department of Economics.
  • Taymaz, E., Voyvoda, E. ve Yılmaz, K. (2011). Uluslararası üretim zincirlerinde dönüşüm ve Türkiye'nin ko-numu. TÜSİAD Yayın no:No: T/2011,12; 522, TÜSİAD-Koç Üniversitesi, Ekonomik Araştırma Forumu, İstanbul.
  • Temiz, D. (2002). Turkey's agricultural exports (1989-1998): constant market shares analysis. Yayınlanmamış Yüksek Lisans Tezi, METU, Department of Economics, Ankara.
  • Tyszynski, H. (1951). World trade in manufactured commodities, 1899-1950. The Manchester School, 19 (3), 272-304.

Industry Level Competitiveness and Adaptation to World Demand: An Analysis of Turkey and Selected Countries

Year 2018, , 143 - 166, 15.04.2018
https://doi.org/10.17153/oguiibf.372344

Abstract

In this paper, we examined
the trade shares performance of selected eighteen countries for each sub-sector
under different technology intensities by using Constant Market Share analysis
which allows us to compare this shares with world trade shares. Model findings
based on BACI trade database covering period 1995-2014 showed that most of
developing countries in low-, medium-, and high-tech industries rapidly
increased their market shares through their attempts, competitiveness effect. Among
High-income countries, especially U.S, Japan and Germany, these trade shares
decrease or have stable position. These two fact can be interpreted that as a
result of spreading global value chains many stages of production process in
developed countries was moved to developing countries. On the other hand,
Vietnam and, to a lesser extent China could improve competitiveness in the
products whose world demand increase and thus exhibit a strong total export
convergence.

References

  • Athukorala, P. (2005). Product fragmentation and trade patterns in East Asia. Asian Economic Papers, 4 (3), 1-27.
  • Baldwin R. E., (1958). The Commodity composition of trade: Selected industrial countries, 1900-1954. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 40 (1), 50-68.
  • Baldwin, R. E. (2001). The implications of increasing fragmentation and globalization for the World Trade Organization. L. K. Cheng and H. Kierzkowski (Eds) içinde, Global production and trade in East Asia (s. 249-71). Boston: Kluwer Academic Publishers.
  • Banerji, R. (1974). The export performance of less developed countries: a constant market share analysis. Welt wirtschaftliches Archiv, 110, 447-481.
  • Bowen, H. P. and Pelzman, J. (1984). US export competitiveness: 1962-77. Applied Economics, 16 (3), 461-473.
  • Cantwell, J. (1994). The relationship between international trade and international production. D. Green-way and L. A. Winters (Eds.) içinde, Survey in International Trade, (s. 303-28). Oxford: Basil Blackwell.
  • Erlat, G., ve Erlat, H. (2012). Türkiye'nin orta doğu ülkeleri ile olan ticareti, 1990-2012. Tartışma Metni 2012/26, Türkiye Ekonomi Kurumu, Ankara.
  • Fagerberg, J. and Sollie, S. (1987). The method of constant market shares analysis reconsidered. Applied Economics, 19 (12), 1571-1583.
  • Gauiler, G. and Zignango, S. (2010). BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version. CEPII Working Paper 2010-23
  • Jones, R. W. Globalization and the theory of input trade. Cambridge: MIT Press.
  • Klasra, M. A. and Fidan, H. (2007). Competitiveness of major exporting countries and Turkey in the world fishery market: A constant market share analysis. Aquaculture Economics & Management, 9 (3), 125-138.
  • Kotan, Z. (2000). Export performance of Turkey in the European Union market compared to the South Easian countries. Yayınlanmamış Yüksek Lisans Tezi, METU, Department of Economics, Ankara.
  • Krugman, P., Cooper, R. N. and Srinivasan, T. N. (1995). Growing world trade: Causes and consequences. Brooking Papers on Economic Activity, 1995 (1), 327-377.
  • Lall, S. (2000). The technological structure and performance of developing country manufactured exports, 1985‐98. Oxford Development Studies, 28 (3), 213-243.
  • Lall, S. (2001a). Competitiveness indices and developing countries: an economic evaulation of the Global Competitiveness Report. World Development, 29 (9), 1501-1525.
  • Lall, S. (2001b). Competitiveness, technology and skills. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar.
  • Laursen, K. (1999). The impact of technological opportunity on the dynamics of trade performance. Struc-tural Change and Economic Dynamics, 10 (3-4), 341-357.
  • Leamer, E. E. and Stern, R. M. (1970). Quantitative international economics. Boston: Allyn and Bacon.
  • Lohrmann, A.-M. (2000). On Turkey's export performance: a decomposed constant market shares analysis. Russian and East European Finance and Trade, 36 (4), 80-90.
  • Merkies, A. Q. and Meer, T. (1988). A theoretical foundation for constant market share analysis. Empirical Economics, 13 (2), 65-80.
  • OECD. (1992). Technology and the economy: the key relationships. Paris: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.
  • OECD. (1996). Industrial competitiveness. Paris: OECD.
  • Ongun, Ş. E. (1990). Turkey's fresh fruit and vegetable exports to the European Community: a constant mar-ket shares analysis. Yayınlanmamış Yüksek Lisans Tezi, METU, Department of Economics, Ankara.
  • Porter, M. E. (1990). The competitive advantage of nations. New York: Free Press.
  • Richardson, J. D. (1971a). Constant-market shares analysis of export growth. Journal of International Economics, 1 (2), 227-239.
  • Richardson, J. D. (1971b). Some senstivity tests for a ''constant-market-shares'' analysis of export growth. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 53 (3), 300-304.
  • Spiegelglas, S. (1959). World exports of manufactures, 1957 vs. 1937. Manchester School of Economic and Social Studies, 27 (2), 111-139.
  • Şahan, F. (2012). The impact of technology level and structural change of exports on the dynamics of inter-national competitiveness: a sectoral disaggregated analysis of turkish manufacturing sector. Yayınlanmış Doktora Tezi, Middle East Technical University, The Department of Economics, Ankara.
  • Tatarer, Ö. (2004). The export performance of the Turkish manufacturing industries with respect to selected countries. Yüksek Lisans Tezi, METU, Department of Economics.
  • Taymaz, E., Voyvoda, E. ve Yılmaz, K. (2011). Uluslararası üretim zincirlerinde dönüşüm ve Türkiye'nin ko-numu. TÜSİAD Yayın no:No: T/2011,12; 522, TÜSİAD-Koç Üniversitesi, Ekonomik Araştırma Forumu, İstanbul.
  • Temiz, D. (2002). Turkey's agricultural exports (1989-1998): constant market shares analysis. Yayınlanmamış Yüksek Lisans Tezi, METU, Department of Economics, Ankara.
  • Tyszynski, H. (1951). World trade in manufactured commodities, 1899-1950. The Manchester School, 19 (3), 272-304.
There are 32 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language Turkish
Journal Section Articles
Authors

Uğur Aytun 0000-0002-1622-0046

Yılmaz Kılıçaslan 0000-0003-0222-2259

Publication Date April 15, 2018
Submission Date December 28, 2017
Published in Issue Year 2018

Cite

APA Aytun, U., & Kılıçaslan, Y. (2018). Sektör Düzeyinde Rekabet Edebilirlik ve Dünya Talebine Uyum: Türkiye ve Seçili Ülkeler için Bir Analiz. Eskişehir Osmangazi Üniversitesi İktisadi Ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, 13(1), 143-166. https://doi.org/10.17153/oguiibf.372344