Akdeniz Bölgesinde kuraklık analizi

Year 2019, Volume: 25 Issue: 6, 665 - 671, 25.11.2019

Ülker Güner Bacanlı , Gözde Nur Akşan

Abstract

Kuraklık
gizlice gelişen bir doğal afettir. Bu çalışmada Standartlaştırılmış Yağış Evapotranspirasyon
İndeksi (SPEI) Türkiye’nin Akdeniz Bölgesi’nde ilk kez uygulanmıştır. 8
meteoroloji gözlem istasyonun sıcaklık ve yağış verileri kullanılmıştır.
Verilere göre 8 istasyon (Adana, Antalya, Burdur, Hatay/Antakya, Isparta,
Kahramanmaraş, Mersin ve Osmaniye) 1970-2018 yılları arasında gözlem
yapılmıştır. Her bir istasyon için 1, 3, 6, 9 ve 12 aylık SPEI değerlerinin
frekans analizleri hesaplanmıştır. Aylık (1, 3, 6, 9 ve 12 aylık) frekans
değerleri arasında kulak ve sulak dönemlerin dağılımlarının
karşılaştırılmasının yapılması amaçlanmıştır. Bulunan SPEI değerlerinin
kuraklık sınıflarında ne kadar mevcut olduğu ve bu mevcudiyet üzerinden
karşılaştırmalar yapılmıştır. Sonuç olarak Akdeniz Bölgesindeki tüm
istasyonlarda elde edilen veriler hafif kuraklık ile normale yakınlık
arasındadır. Hem normale yakın hem de kurak durumlarda Mersin maximum değerler
almıştır. Minimum değerlere bakıldığında ise diğer istasyonlara kıyasla Adana
hem sulak hem de kurak durumlarda en az yüzdelik değerlerine sahiptir.

Keywords

Kuraklık, Sıcaklık, Yağış, Standartlaştırılmış yağış evapotranspirasyon indeksi (SPEI)

Drought analysis in Mediterranean Region

Abstract

Drought
is a natural disaster developing secretly. In this study, Standardized
Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) has been applied for in Turkey's
Mediterranean Region. Temperature and precipitation data were used for 8
meteorological observation stations. According to the data, 8 stations (Adana,
Antalya, Burdur, Hatay/Antakya, Isparta, Kahramanmaras, Mersin and Osmaniye)
were observed between 1970-2018. Frequency analyzes of SPEI values of 1, 3, 6, 9 and 12 months were calculated for each station. Monthly (1, 3, 6, 9 and 12 months) frequency values between the distribution of ear and
wetlands is intended to make a comparison. Comparisons were made on how long
the SPEI values were found in drought classes and on this availability. As a
result, the data obtained from all stations in the Mediterranean region are
between mild dry and near to normal. Mersin has the maximum value both in near
to normal and dry conditions. When the minimum values are considered, Adana has
the least percentage values in both wetness and dryness conditions compared to
other stations.

Keywords

Drought, Temperature, Precipitation, Standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI)

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