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The European Union’s Arctic Policy and Russia’s Threat Perception: Reflections of The Ukraine War

Year 2024, Volume: 13 Issue: 2, 68 - 79, 26.12.2024

Abstract

The European Union (EU) and the Russian Federation (Russia) are two important actors that have developed and implemented policies towards the Arctic region since the 2000s. The Ukrainian War brought these two sides face to face in the Arctic. The war caused a shift in the EU's Arctic policy from cooperation and environmental issues to security-oriented policies. This article examines the EU's Arctic policies leading up to the Ukrainian War and analyzes which steps Russia perceived as threats by the EU. The EU's policies are evaluated within the framework of neoliberalism and Russia's policies within the framework of realism from international relations theories. The article considers the parties' perceptions of threat towards each other and the evolution of these perceptions into conflict in the light of primary and secondary sources. As a result, the EU's expansion policy and neighborhood policy caused Russia's perceptions of threat, and the process that began with the occupation of Crimea increased the activities of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) in the region and brought the two sides face to face with Finland's NATO membership. The Ukraine War has also disrupted the balance of power in the Arctic region of the EU and Russia, making cooperation difficult and creating an environment of conflict. Ending the war as soon as possible and having the parties come together at the table with new political and military solutions will ensure the establishment of peace in the Arctic.

References

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  • Blivas, A. (2021, Haziran). Sino-Russian millitary exercises signal a growing alliance. U.S. Naval Institute. https://www.usni.org/magazines/proceedings/2021/june/sino-russian-military-exercises-signal-growing-alliance
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  • European Union. (2022, Mart). A strategic compass for security and defence. https://www.eeas.europa.eu/sites/default/files/documents/strategic_compass_en3_web.pdf International Energy Agency. (2023). Russia’s war on Ukraine. https://www.iea.org/topics/russias-war-on-ukraine
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  • Kirby, J. (2022, 10 Mayıs). Biden administration sent weapons to Ukraine ‘well before’ ınvansion. Fox News. https://www.foxnews.com/media/biden-administration-weapons-ukraine-invasion-pentagon-press-secretary
  • Kuzio, T. (2019). Peace will not come to Europe’s War. Federal Academy for Security Working Paper No.14. https://www.baks.bund.de/sites/baks010/files/working_paper_2019_14.pdf
  • Labykin, A. (2014, 14 Mart ). Rogozin dünyadaki en pahalı buz altı petrol üretimini devraldı (Рогозин занялся самой дорогой в мире подлёдной нефтедобычей.). Pro-arctic. https://pro-arctic.ru/28/03/2014/press/7488?ysclid=lwyw6et1zj755697179
  • Lavrov, S. (2016, 30 Mart). Russia’s foreign policy in a historical perspective. Russia in Global Affairs. https://eng.globalaffairs.ru/articles/russias-foreign-policy-in-a-historical-perspective/
  • Lenta.ru. (2021, 17 Aralık). Rusya, NATO ve ABD’ye güvenlik garantileriyle ilgili taslak anlaşma teklifinde bulundu. (Россия предложила НАТО и США проекты договоров по гарантиям безопасности). https://lenta.ru/news/2021/12/17/security_planss/?ysclid=lyyqhz2uxz769056018
  • Marocchi, T. (2017, 03 Temmuz). Eu-Russian relations: Towards an ıncreasingly geopolitical paradigm. Heinrich Böll Stiftung European Union. https://eu.boell.org/sites/default/files/uploads/2017/07/eu-russia-relations_towards-an-increasingly-geopolitical-paradigm.pdf
  • NATO(2021,19 Temmuz). NATO ships exercise in the Black Sea. https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/news_185879.htm
  • Noreen E., & Sjöstedt R. (2024). From Cold War ‘neutrality’ to the West: Finland’s route to the European Union and NATO. N. Karl, T.Habtom (Ed.), Neutrality After 1989 içinde (s. 22-35) E- International Relations Publishing.
  • Notre Dame International Security Center. (2022, 21 Temmuz). An ıntroduction to realism in ınternational relations. https://ndisc.nd.edu/news-media/news/an-introduction-to-realism-in-international-relations/
  • Pakkasvirta J., & Tuominen H. (2024).From cold war ‘neutrality’ to the West: Finland’s route to the European Union and NATO. N. Karl, T.Habtom (Ed.), Neutrality After 1989 içinde (s. 22-35) E- International Relations Publishing.
  • President of Russia. (2014, 18 Mart ). Adress by president of Russian Federation. http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/20603
  • Riekeles, G. (2022, 5 Nisan ). Will the strategic compass be a game-changer for EU security and defence?. European Policy Centre. https://www.epc.eu/en/Publications/Will-the-Strategic-Compass-be-a-game-changer-for-EU-security-and-defen~479820
  • Rochold, V. & Biebow, N. (2022, Mart). EU engagement in the Arctic. Alfred-Wegener-Institut.https://www.arctic-office.de/fileadmin/user_upload/www.arctic- office.de/PDF_uploads/Fact_Sheets/FactSheet_EU_englisch_neu.pdf
  • Rusya Dışişleri Bakanlığı. (2022, 17 Mayıs). Baltık Devletleri Konseyi’nden çekilme açıklaması. https://mid.ru/en/foreign_policy/rso/sovet-gosudarstv-baltijskogo-mora-sgbm-/1813674/
  • Rusya Dışişleri Bakanlığı. (2023a, 10 Temmuz). Bağımsız devletler topluluğu hakkında. https://www.mid.ru/ru/foreign_policy/integracionnye-struktury-prostranstva-sng/sng/1813264/
  • Rusya Dışişleri Bakanlığı. (2023b, 18 Ağustos). Barent Avrupa-Arktik Konseyi’nden çekilmeye dair açıklama. https://www.mid.ru/ru/foreign_policy/news/1904899/
  • Türkiye Dışişleri Bakanlığı. (2015, 12 Şubat ). Ukrayna Krizi’ne çözüm bulunmasına yönelik 12 Şubat tarihli Minsk Anlaşması hakkında Dışişleri Bakanlığı açıklaması. https://www.mfa.gov.tr/no_-56_-12-subat-2015_-ukrayna-krizi_ne-cozum-bulunmasina-yonelik-12-subat-tarihli-minsk-anlasmasi-hk_.tr.mfa
  • Yıldız, U. B. (2014). Avrupa Birliği- Rusya karşılıklı bağımlılığında kuzey boyutu ortaklığının rolü. Ankara Avrupa Çalışmaları Dergisi. 13(2). 153-183. https://doi.org/10.1501/Avraras_0000000212

Avrupa Birliği’nin Arktik Politikası ve Rusya’nın Tehdit Algısı: Ukrayna Savaşı’nın Yansımaları

Year 2024, Volume: 13 Issue: 2, 68 - 79, 26.12.2024

Abstract

Avrupa Birliği (AB) ve Rusya, 2000’li yıllardan itibaren Arktik bölgesine yönelik politikalar geliştiren ve uygulayan iki önemli aktördür. Ukrayna Savaşı, bu iki tarafı Arktik’ te karşı karşıya getirmiştir. Savaş, AB’nin Arktik politikasında iş birliği ve çevre konuları ağırlıklı gündemden güvenlik odaklı politikalara doğru bir değişime neden olmuştur. Bu makale, Ukrayna Savaşı’na giden süreçte AB’nin Arktik politikalarını incelemekte ve Rusya’nın AB’nin hangi adımlarını tehdit olarak algıladığını analiz etmektedir. Uluslararası ilişkiler teorilerinden neoliberalizm çerçevesinde AB’nin politikaları, realizm çerçevesinde ise Rusya’nın politikaları değerlendirilmektedir. Makale, tarafların birbirlerine yönelik tehdit algılarını ve bu algıların çatışmaya evrilmesini birincil ve ikincil kaynaklar ışığında değerlendirmektedir. Sonuç olarak, AB’nin genişleme politikası ve komşuluk politikası, Rusya’nın tehdit algılamalarına neden olmuş, Kırım’ın işgali ile başlayan süreç ise NATO’nun bölgedeki faaliyetlerini artırmıştır. Ukrayna Savaşı, AB ve Rusya’nın Arktik bölgesindeki güç dengelerini de bozmuş ve iş birliklerini zorlaştırarak bir çatışma ortamı yaratmıştır.

References

  • Anka Enstitüsü (2016, 03 Ocak). AB- Ukrayna serbest ticaret anlaşması yürürlüğe girdi. https://ankaenstitusu.com/ab-ukrayna-serbest-ticaret-anlasmasi-yururluge-girdi/
  • Behr, H. &Heath, A. (2009). Misreading in ınternational relations theory and ıdeology critique: Morgenthau, Waltz and neo-realism. Review of International Studies, 35(2), 327-349. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0260210509008547
  • Blivas, A. (2021, Haziran). Sino-Russian millitary exercises signal a growing alliance. U.S. Naval Institute. https://www.usni.org/magazines/proceedings/2021/june/sino-russian-military-exercises-signal-growing-alliance
  • Ciolan, I. (2022, 11 Nisan). The EU’s geopolitical awakening in the Arctic. European Policy Centre. https://www.epc.eu/en/publications/~47c318
  • Council of the European Union (2024, 8 Şubat). A market mechanism to limit excessive gas price spikes. https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/infographics/a-market-mechanism-to-limit-excessive-gas-price-spikes/
  • Council of the European Union, (2024, 21 Mart). Where does the EU’s gas come from?. https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/infographics/eu-gas-supply/#0 Costea, C. A. (2020). Rusya’nın Ukrayna’daki hibrid savaşı 2014-2018. SETA. https://www.setav.org/assets/uploads/2020/02/R152.pdf
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  • Demirağ Y., & Tangör, B. (2011). 2008 Gürcistan krizi ve Avrupa güvenlik yönetimi yeteneklerinin sınırları (ГрузинскийКризис 2008 года и ПределыВозможностейУправленияЕвропейскойБезопасностю). Orta Asya ve Kafkasya ( ЦентральнаяАзия и Кавказ), 14(2), 39-61.
  • Ecologic Institute (2010). EU Arctic footprint and policy asessment final report. https://arctic-footprint.eu/sites/default/files/AFPA_Final_Report.pdf
  • European Commission (2005, 18 Mart). EU\ Russia: The four: 'common spaces'. https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/MEMO_05_103
  • European Commission (2016, 27 Nisan). An integrated European Union policy for The Arctic. Joint communication to The European Parliament and The Council. https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal- content/EN/TXT/? uri=CELEX %3A52016JC0021
  • European Commission (2021, 13 Ekim ). A stronger EU engagement for a peaceful, sustainable and prosperous Arctic. Brussels. https://www.eeas.europa.eu/sites/default/files/2_en_act_part1_v7.pdf
  • European Commission, (2024, 11 Kasım). State of the energy union report 2024. https://energy.ec.europa.eu/document/download/bd3e3460-2406-47a1-aa2e-c0a0ba52a75a_en?filename =State%20of%20the%20Energy%20Union%20Report%202024.pdf
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  • European Council (2024, 18 Mart). EU solidarity with Ukraine. Council of the EU and the European Council. https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/infographics/eu-solidarity-ukraine/#0
  • European Parliament (2014, 12 Mart ). Integrated Arctic policy. Legislative train schedule European Parliament. https://www.europarl.europa.eu/legislative-train/theme-europe-as-a-stronger-global-actor/file-integrated-arctic- policy#:~:text=In%20its%20resolution%20of%2012,socio%2Deconomic%20and%20 environment al%20issues.
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  • European Union. (2012). Developing a European Union policy towards the Arctic Region: Progress since 2008 and next steps. Joint Communication to the European Parliament and The Council. https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/en/TXT/?uri=CELEX%3A52012JC0019
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  • Keohane, R. O. & Nye J. S. (2011). Power and interdependence (4. baskı). Longman.
  • Kirby, J. (2022, 10 Mayıs). Biden administration sent weapons to Ukraine ‘well before’ ınvansion. Fox News. https://www.foxnews.com/media/biden-administration-weapons-ukraine-invasion-pentagon-press-secretary
  • Kuzio, T. (2019). Peace will not come to Europe’s War. Federal Academy for Security Working Paper No.14. https://www.baks.bund.de/sites/baks010/files/working_paper_2019_14.pdf
  • Labykin, A. (2014, 14 Mart ). Rogozin dünyadaki en pahalı buz altı petrol üretimini devraldı (Рогозин занялся самой дорогой в мире подлёдной нефтедобычей.). Pro-arctic. https://pro-arctic.ru/28/03/2014/press/7488?ysclid=lwyw6et1zj755697179
  • Lavrov, S. (2016, 30 Mart). Russia’s foreign policy in a historical perspective. Russia in Global Affairs. https://eng.globalaffairs.ru/articles/russias-foreign-policy-in-a-historical-perspective/
  • Lenta.ru. (2021, 17 Aralık). Rusya, NATO ve ABD’ye güvenlik garantileriyle ilgili taslak anlaşma teklifinde bulundu. (Россия предложила НАТО и США проекты договоров по гарантиям безопасности). https://lenta.ru/news/2021/12/17/security_planss/?ysclid=lyyqhz2uxz769056018
  • Marocchi, T. (2017, 03 Temmuz). Eu-Russian relations: Towards an ıncreasingly geopolitical paradigm. Heinrich Böll Stiftung European Union. https://eu.boell.org/sites/default/files/uploads/2017/07/eu-russia-relations_towards-an-increasingly-geopolitical-paradigm.pdf
  • NATO(2021,19 Temmuz). NATO ships exercise in the Black Sea. https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/news_185879.htm
  • Noreen E., & Sjöstedt R. (2024). From Cold War ‘neutrality’ to the West: Finland’s route to the European Union and NATO. N. Karl, T.Habtom (Ed.), Neutrality After 1989 içinde (s. 22-35) E- International Relations Publishing.
  • Notre Dame International Security Center. (2022, 21 Temmuz). An ıntroduction to realism in ınternational relations. https://ndisc.nd.edu/news-media/news/an-introduction-to-realism-in-international-relations/
  • Pakkasvirta J., & Tuominen H. (2024).From cold war ‘neutrality’ to the West: Finland’s route to the European Union and NATO. N. Karl, T.Habtom (Ed.), Neutrality After 1989 içinde (s. 22-35) E- International Relations Publishing.
  • President of Russia. (2014, 18 Mart ). Adress by president of Russian Federation. http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/20603
  • Riekeles, G. (2022, 5 Nisan ). Will the strategic compass be a game-changer for EU security and defence?. European Policy Centre. https://www.epc.eu/en/Publications/Will-the-Strategic-Compass-be-a-game-changer-for-EU-security-and-defen~479820
  • Rochold, V. & Biebow, N. (2022, Mart). EU engagement in the Arctic. Alfred-Wegener-Institut.https://www.arctic-office.de/fileadmin/user_upload/www.arctic- office.de/PDF_uploads/Fact_Sheets/FactSheet_EU_englisch_neu.pdf
  • Rusya Dışişleri Bakanlığı. (2022, 17 Mayıs). Baltık Devletleri Konseyi’nden çekilme açıklaması. https://mid.ru/en/foreign_policy/rso/sovet-gosudarstv-baltijskogo-mora-sgbm-/1813674/
  • Rusya Dışişleri Bakanlığı. (2023a, 10 Temmuz). Bağımsız devletler topluluğu hakkında. https://www.mid.ru/ru/foreign_policy/integracionnye-struktury-prostranstva-sng/sng/1813264/
  • Rusya Dışişleri Bakanlığı. (2023b, 18 Ağustos). Barent Avrupa-Arktik Konseyi’nden çekilmeye dair açıklama. https://www.mid.ru/ru/foreign_policy/news/1904899/
  • Türkiye Dışişleri Bakanlığı. (2015, 12 Şubat ). Ukrayna Krizi’ne çözüm bulunmasına yönelik 12 Şubat tarihli Minsk Anlaşması hakkında Dışişleri Bakanlığı açıklaması. https://www.mfa.gov.tr/no_-56_-12-subat-2015_-ukrayna-krizi_ne-cozum-bulunmasina-yonelik-12-subat-tarihli-minsk-anlasmasi-hk_.tr.mfa
  • Yıldız, U. B. (2014). Avrupa Birliği- Rusya karşılıklı bağımlılığında kuzey boyutu ortaklığının rolü. Ankara Avrupa Çalışmaları Dergisi. 13(2). 153-183. https://doi.org/10.1501/Avraras_0000000212
There are 40 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language Turkish
Subjects Eu Regional Policy , European and Region Studies
Journal Section Research Articles
Authors

Hasibe Tuğçe Taşık 0000-0001-8985-3584

Publication Date December 26, 2024
Submission Date October 17, 2024
Acceptance Date November 26, 2024
Published in Issue Year 2024 Volume: 13 Issue: 2

Cite

APA Taşık, H. T. (2024). Avrupa Birliği’nin Arktik Politikası ve Rusya’nın Tehdit Algısı: Ukrayna Savaşı’nın Yansımaları. Paradigma: İktisadi Ve İdari Araştırmalar Dergisi, 13(2), 68-79.