Abstract
References
- [1] http://www.sabah.com.tr/ekonomi/2011/03/08/yeni_uydularin_faturasi_571_milyon_/ [2] http://www.spacex.com [3] https://www.rocketbuilder.com [4] http://spacenews.com/space-insurers-warn-that-current-low-rates-are-not-sustainable/ [5] M. Nefes, M. Zor, T. Tetik, S. Gulgonul, “Determination of the Evaluation Criteria Weights for a Commercial Communication Satellite Program by Using AHP Method” 1st International Symposium on Critical and Analytical Thinking, April 2015. [6] T. Tetik and G. S. Daş, "Launch vehicle selection for a geostationary communication satellite using data envelopment analysis," 8th International Conference on Recent Advances in Space Technologies (RAST), Istanbul, 2017. [7] Jean-François Gauché, “Space Risks”, Centre d’Etude Actuarielle, December 2011. [8] L. Virine, “Practical project risk management in 60 minutes” PMI Global Congress, North America, Dallas, TX, 2011. [9] P. Ordyna, “Insuring Human Space Flight: An Underwriters Dilemma”, Journal of Space Law 36, 2010. [10] Sullivan, Brook Rowland, “Technical And Economic Feasibility Of Telerobotic On-Orbit Satellite Servicing”, Thesis (Ph.D.) University of Maryland, College Park, 2005. [11] Ted Perez, Daniel Pires, Gregory Singleton, “Methodology for the economic analysis of on-orbit servicing of satellites”, IEEE Systems and Information Design Symposium, University of Virginia, 2002. [12] Franklin J. Stermole and John M. Stermole, “Economic Evaluation and Investment Decision Methods”, 14th Edition, 2014. [13] S. Gulgonul, N. Sozbir, “Propellant budget calculation of geostationary satellites”, International Conference on Energy Systems Engineering, 2017. (Accepted Paper) [14] Falcon 9 Launch Vehicle PAYLOAD USER’S GUIDE, Rev 2, October 21, 2015. [15] ARIANE-5 USER’S MANUAL ISSUE 5 REVISION 2 OCTOBER 2016. [16] PROTON Launch System Mission Planner’s Guide, Revision 7, July 2009.
Abstract
Selection of launch
vehicle for a geostationary satellite is an important decision for satellite
operators. Depending on only to the cost of the launcher may result unexpected
consequences. Lifetime of the satellite is determined by the orbit parameters
of the launcher. Success probability of the launcher can be deduced
statistically by previous launches or using the insurance rate of the market
for the selected launcher. Insurance
rate will be used in this study, which is also added to the cost of the
satellite project besides satellite and launcher costs. Design life time of
communication satellites are currently 15 years, means that manufacturer
warrant the operation of the satellite for 15 years via performance incentive
or warranty payback mechanisms. But satellites continue to generate revenues
during their maneuver lifetime, which is more than 15 years. Expected value
analysis is a powerful tool to include probabilistic nature of satellite
projects. Satellite and launch costs, insurance rate and lifetime parameters
will be utilized in expected value analysis to be able to select the best
launcher for a given satellite program.
References
- [1] http://www.sabah.com.tr/ekonomi/2011/03/08/yeni_uydularin_faturasi_571_milyon_/ [2] http://www.spacex.com [3] https://www.rocketbuilder.com [4] http://spacenews.com/space-insurers-warn-that-current-low-rates-are-not-sustainable/ [5] M. Nefes, M. Zor, T. Tetik, S. Gulgonul, “Determination of the Evaluation Criteria Weights for a Commercial Communication Satellite Program by Using AHP Method” 1st International Symposium on Critical and Analytical Thinking, April 2015. [6] T. Tetik and G. S. Daş, "Launch vehicle selection for a geostationary communication satellite using data envelopment analysis," 8th International Conference on Recent Advances in Space Technologies (RAST), Istanbul, 2017. [7] Jean-François Gauché, “Space Risks”, Centre d’Etude Actuarielle, December 2011. [8] L. Virine, “Practical project risk management in 60 minutes” PMI Global Congress, North America, Dallas, TX, 2011. [9] P. Ordyna, “Insuring Human Space Flight: An Underwriters Dilemma”, Journal of Space Law 36, 2010. [10] Sullivan, Brook Rowland, “Technical And Economic Feasibility Of Telerobotic On-Orbit Satellite Servicing”, Thesis (Ph.D.) University of Maryland, College Park, 2005. [11] Ted Perez, Daniel Pires, Gregory Singleton, “Methodology for the economic analysis of on-orbit servicing of satellites”, IEEE Systems and Information Design Symposium, University of Virginia, 2002. [12] Franklin J. Stermole and John M. Stermole, “Economic Evaluation and Investment Decision Methods”, 14th Edition, 2014. [13] S. Gulgonul, N. Sozbir, “Propellant budget calculation of geostationary satellites”, International Conference on Energy Systems Engineering, 2017. (Accepted Paper) [14] Falcon 9 Launch Vehicle PAYLOAD USER’S GUIDE, Rev 2, October 21, 2015. [15] ARIANE-5 USER’S MANUAL ISSUE 5 REVISION 2 OCTOBER 2016. [16] PROTON Launch System Mission Planner’s Guide, Revision 7, July 2009.
Details
| Primary Language | English |
|---|---|
| Journal Section | Research Articles |
| Authors | |
| Publication Date | October 1, 2018 |
| Submission Date | October 25, 2017 |
| Acceptance Date | May 3, 2018 |
| Published in Issue | Year 2018 Volume: 22 Issue: 5 |
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