Risk Assessment in Paddy Rice Cultivation: The Case of Gihanga, Burundi.

Abstract

This study was carried out in the Imbo plain of the Gihanga region in Burundi. The primary objective of this research is to analyze the main risks associated with rice production. To achieve the study's objectives, face-to-face surveys were conducted using the KoboCollect application. Once the surveys were completed, a statistical analysis was carried out using SPSS 25, and the Fine-Kinney method has been used to assess the severity of the identified risks. The results reveal that rice cultivation is predominant in Gihanga, with an average production of 3,878.95 kg per enterprise and per year. The average area allocated for rice cultivation was 1.4 hectares. The risks observed in the examined farms, with severity values exceeding 400, include drought, lack of agricultural insurance, plant diseases, inadequate irrigation infrastructure, and limited access to quality inputs. Major challenges identified include difficulties in accessing financial resources, insufficient agricultural oversight, and poor water management. On the other hand, in Imbo, it was found that the semi-intensive production system of small farms neither weakened nor strengthened their competitive advantage. It is imperative to consider agricultural risks when making production decisions, and the formulation of policies aimed at developing the rice sector is strongly recommended.

Keywords

• Risk Analysis
• Fine-Kinney Method
• Agricultural Enterprises

Çeltik Yetiştiriciliğinde Risk Değerlendirilmesi: Gihanga Örneği, Burundi.

Abstract

Bu çalışma Burundi'nin Gihanga bölgesindeki Imbo ovasında yürütülmüştür. Bu araştırmanın amacı pirinç üretiminde karşılaşılan başlıca riskleri analiz etmektir. Çalışmanın amaçlarına ulaşabilmek için KoboCollect uygulaması kullanılarak anket yüz yüze yapılmış, anketler tamamlandıktan sonra SPSS 25 programı ile istatistiksel analiz yapılmış ve ayrıca risklerin şiddet derecesini değerlendirmek amacıyla Fine-Kenney yöntemi kullanılmıştır. Sonuçlar Gihanga'da pirinç ekiminin baskın olduğunu, işletme başına ortalama üretimin 3.878,95 kg/yıl olduğunu ortaya konulmuştur. Çeltik için kullanılan alan ortalama 1,4 ha. İncelenen işletmelerde kuraklık, tarım sigortasının olmaması, bitki hastalıkları, yetersiz sulama altyapısı ve kaliteli girdiler 400'den büyük şiddet değeri ile gözlenen risklerdir. Finansal kaynaklara erişimin zorluğu, yetersiz tarımsal denetim ve suyun kontrolünün zayıf olması başlıca handikapları oluşturmaktadır. Öte yandan, İmbo'da küçük çiftliklerin yarı-yoğun üretim sisteminin rekabet gücünü zayıflattığı ya da güçlendirdiği görülmemiştir. Üretim kararları alınırken tarımsal risklerin göz önünde bulundurulması öncelikli olup, pirinç sektörünün geliştirilmesine yönelik politikaların belirlenmesi önemle tavsiye edilmektedir.

Keywords

• Risk Analizleri
• Fine-Kinney Yöntemi
• Tarım İşletmeleri

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