Türkiye’de Bölgesel Enflasyon Yakınsaması: Nahar-Inder Yakınsama Testinden Kanıtlar

Year 2024, , 495 - 521, 28.10.2024

Reşat Ceylan , Şekip Yazgan , Cihat Karademir

https://doi.org/10.17233/sosyoekonomi.2024.04.23

Abstract

Çalışmada, 2004:1-2022:1 döneminde Türkiye’de İstatistiki Bölge Birimleri Sınıflaması (İBBS) bazında 26 Düzey-2 bölgenin enflasyon oranları için yakınsama hipotezinin varlığının Nahar-Inder(2002) yakınsama testi yaklaşımı ile sınanması amaçlanmaktadır. Bu yaklaşım, incelenen serilerin durağan olmaması durumunda bile yakınsamanın varlığını tespit edebilen ve incelenen grup içerisinde farklı davranış biçimleri gösteren birimlerin belirlenmesine imkân sağlayan polinom tipi bir yakınsama tekniği olarak tanımlanmaktadır. İlgili literatürde söz konusu tekniğin ilk defa kullanıldığı çalışmada elde edilen bulgular, inceleme döneminde Türkiye’de bölgeler arasında güçlü bir enflasyon yakınsaması bulunduğunu ve uygulanan para politikasının etkin bir şekilde kullanılabileceğini göstermektedir.

Keywords

Bölgesel Enflasyon, Para Politikası, Yakınsama

Supporting Institution

Destekleyen Kurum Bulunmamaktadır.

Project Number

Çalışma bir projeden türetilmemiştir.

Regional Inflation Convergence in Türkiye: Evidence from Nahar-Inder Convergence Test

Abstract

This study aims to test the existence of the convergence hypothesis for the inflation rates of 26 NUTS-2 regions based on the Nomenclature of Territorial Units for Statistics (NUTS) in Türkiye in the period 2004:1-2022:1 using the Nahar-Inder (2002) convergence test approach. This approach is defined as a polynomial-type convergence technique that can detect the presence of convergence even when the series studied are not stationary and allow the determination of units that show different behaviour patterns within the examined group. The study’s findings, in which this technique was used for the first time in the relevant literature, indicate a strong inflation convergence among regions in Türkiye during the review period and that the implemented monetary policy can be effectively used.

Keywords

Regional Inflation, Monetary Policy, Convergence

Project Number

Çalışma bir projeden türetilmemiştir.

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