Yapısal Kırılmaların Varlığında Türkiye’de Ekonomik Büyümenin Belirleyicileri

Year 2019, Volume: 27 Issue: 42, 11 - 28, 31.10.2019

Natalya Ketenci , Ebru Tomris Aydoğan

https://doi.org/10.17233/sosyoekonomi.2019.04.01

Cited By: 2

Abstract

Sürdürülebilir ekonomik büyüme, çevresel olarak düzeltilmiş net yerli hasılada sürekli bir artıştır (Bartelmus, 1994). Bu çalışma, 1977-2017 dönemi için doğal gaz tüketiminin ve dışa açıklığın Türkiye’nin ekonomik büyümesindeki rolünü incelemektedir. Türkiye bu dönemde çeşitli siyasi ve ekonomik şoklar geçirdi. Bu nedenle, makale ekonomik büyüme ve belirleyicileri arasındaki ilişkiyi yapısal kırılmaların varlığında araştırmak için Kejriwal ve Perron (2010) yapısal kırılma testini kullanmaktadır. Sonuçlar, değişkenlerin ekonomik büyüme üzerindeki etkilerini alt rejimler yoluyla ayrıntılı bir şekilde göstererek, tahminlerde kırılmanın önemini vurgulamaktadır .

Keywords

Ekonomik Büyüme, Doğal Gaz Tüketimi, Enerji Kullanımı, Eştümleşme, Yapısal Kırılmalar, Türkiye

Determinants of Economic Growth in Turkey in the Presence of Structural Breaks

Abstract

Sustainable economic growth is defined as a continuous increase in environmentally adjusted net domestic product (Bartelmus, 1994). This study investigates the role of natural gas consumption and trade openness in relation with the economic growth of Turkey for the period 1977-2017 throughout which Turkey underwent several political and economic shocks. To accomplish this, the paper employs the Kejriwal and Perron (2010) structural break test to investigate the relationship between economic growth and its determinants in the presence of structural shifts. By demonstrating the impacts of variables on economic growth through different sub-regimes, the outcomes underline the importance of structural breaks in estimations.

Keywords

Economic Growth, Natural Gas Consumption, Energy Use, Cointegration, Structural Breaks, Turkey

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