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Heatwave Vulnerability: Concepts and Criteria

Yıl 2025, Cilt: 34 Sayı: 3, 209 - 215, 11.07.2025

Öz

Heatwaves are among the effects of climate change that create adverse health impacts on societies. It is shown that the frequency, duration, and severity of heatwaves, which are extreme weather events, have increased in the last decades, and this increase is expected to continue in the future. Heatwaves create a significant mortality and morbidity burden with their direct and indirect effects. It also affects the quality, capacity, and continuity of healthcare services.
The vulnerability of a region to heatwaves is defined as “the propensity or predisposition to be adversely affected” by heat waves and varies across geographies and societies of the world. In the context of climate change, heatwave vulnerability is conceptualized as a function of exposure, susceptibility, and adaptive capacity components.
In recent years, a risk-based approach has been recommended to combat the effects of climate change. One of the most important public health policies and interventions for the coming years would be for countries to develop national and local heatwave action plans. In challenging the health effects of heatwaves, it is necessary to recognize their impact on public health, identify regions and populations with high vulnerability, and develop effective public health interventions in the management of heatwave periods.

Kaynakça

  • IPCC. Global Warming of 1.5°C. An IPCC Special Report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change, sustainable development, and efforts to eradicate poverty. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA, 2018.
  • Weather and Climate Extreme Events in a Changing Climate In: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. United Kingdom and New York: Cambridge University Press; 2021. pp. 1513–1766.
  • Dosio A, Mentaschi L, Fischer EM, Wyser K. Extreme heat waves under 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming. Environ. Res. Lett 2018;13:054006. DOI 10.1088/1748-9326/aab827.
  • World Meteorological Organization. Heatwaves. Available at: https://wmo.int/topics/heatwave. Accessed October 10, 2024
  • U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. Climate Change Indicators: Heat Waves. Available at: https://www.epa.gov/climate-indicators/climate-change-indicators-heat-waves. Accessed October 10, 2024
  • Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü. Isı Dalgası (Heat Wave). Available at: https://www.mgm.gov.tr/genel/meteorolojisozlugu.aspx?m=I&k=aa11. Accessed October 10, 2024
  • Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü. Meteorolojik hadiselerin şiddetlerine ait sınıflandırma. Available at: https://www.mgm.gov.tr/site/yardim1.aspx?=HadSid. Accessed October 8, 2024
  • T.C. Çevre, Şehircilik ve İklim Değişikliği Bakanlığı Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü Araştırma Dairesi Başkanlığı Klimatoloji Şube Müdürlüğü. Yeni Senaryolarla Türkiye İçin İklim Değişikliği Projeksiyonları (Rapor) TR2015-CC. Available at: https://www.mgm.gov.tr/FILES/iklim/iklim-degisikligi-projeksiyon2015.pdf. Accessed October 8, 2024
  • Ecmel E, Türkeş M, Aydin-Kandemir F.  Observed changes and trends in heatwave characteristics in Turkey since 1950. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 2021;145(1-2):137-57.
  • Zhao Q, Guo Y, Ye T, Gasparrini A, Tong S, Overcenco A, et al. Global, regional, and national burden of mortality associated with non-optimal ambient temperatures from 2000 to 2019: A three-stage modelling study. The Lancet Planet Health 2021;5(7):e415-e425.
  • World Meteorological Organization. 2023 State of Climate Services Health. Available at: https://library.wmo.int/records/item/68500-2023-state-of-climate-services-health. Accessed October 10, 2024
  • Pan American Health Organization, Regional Office for the Americas of the World Health Organization. Heatwaves: A Guide for Health-based Actions, 2021. Available at: https://iris.paho.org/handle/10665.2/54979. Accessed October 9, 2024
  • National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH). Heat-related illnesses. Available at: https://www.cdc.gov/niosh/heat-stress/about/illnesses.html?CDC_AAref_Val=https://www.cdc.gov/niosh/topics/heatstress/heatrelillness.html. Accessed October 9, 2024
  • Güler Ç. Sıcaklık. In: Güler Ç, ed. Çevre Sağlığı (Çevre ve Ekoloji Bağlantılarıyla). 1. Baskı. Ankara: Yazıt Yayıncılık; 2012. P. 819–36.
  • WHO. Heat and health. Available at: https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/climate-change-heat-and-health. Accessed October 10, 2024
  • World Health Organization. Operational framework for building climate resilient health systems. Geneva, 2015. Available at: https://iris.who.int/handle/10665/189951. Accessed October 10, 2024
  • Mason H, C King J, E Peden A, C Franklin R. Systematic review of the impact of heatwaves on health service demand in Australia. BMC Health Serv Res 2022;22(1):960.
  • WMO and WHO. Heatwaves and health: Guidance on warning-system development, 2015. Available at: https://www.who.int/publications/m/item/heatwaves-and-health--guidance-on-warning-system-development. Accessed October 9, 2024
  • Sharma J, Ravindranath NH. Applying IPCC 2014 framework for hazard-specific vulnerability assessment under climate change. Environmental Research Communications 2019;1(5):051004.
  • Szagri D, Nagy B, Szalay Z. How can we predict where heatwaves will have an impact? – A literature review on heat vulnerability indexes. Urban Climate 2023;52:101711.
  • Sidiqui P, Roös PB, Herron M, Jones DS, Duncan E, Jalali A, et al. Urban Heat Island vulnerability mapping using advanced GIS data and tools. J Earth Syst Sci 2022;131:266.
  • Romero-Lankao P, Qin H, Dickinson K. Urban vulnerability to temperature-related hazards: A meta-analysis and meta-knowledge approach. Global Environmental Change 2012;22(3):670-83
  • AR4 Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability, Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 2007.
  • Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 2014.
  • Romanello M, Di Napoli C, Drummond P. The 2022 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: health at the mercy of fossil fuels. The Lancet 2022;400(10363):1619-54.
  • Junzhe B, Xudong L, Chuanhua Y. The construction and validation of the Heat Vulnerability Index, a review. Int J Environ Res Public Health 2015;12(7):7220-34.
  • Niu Y, Li Z, Gao Y, Liu X, Xu L, Vardoulakis S, et al. A systematic review of the Development and Validation of the Heat Vulnerability Index: Major factors, methods, and spatial units. Curr Clim Change Rep 2021;7(3):87-97.
  • Krstica N, Yuchia W, Hob HC, Walkerc BB, Knudbyd AJ, Henderson SB. The Heat Exposure Integrated Deprivation Index (HEIDI): A data-driven approach to quantifying neighborhood risk during extreme hot weather. Environment International 2017;109:42-52.
  • D’Ambrosio V, Di Martino F, MiragliaV. A GIS-based framework to assess heatwave vulnerability and impact scenarios in urban systems. Sci Rep 2023;13(1):13073.

Sıcak Hava Dalgası Kırılganlığı: Kavram ve Ölçütler

Yıl 2025, Cilt: 34 Sayı: 3, 209 - 215, 11.07.2025

Öz

Sıcak hava dalgaları, iklim değişikliğinin toplumlar üzerinde olumsuz sağlık sonuçları yaratan etkilerinden biridir. Bir aşırı hava olayı olan sıcak hava dalgalarının sıklığı, süresi ve şiddetinde geçtiğimiz on yıllarda artış olduğu görülmektedir ve gelecekte de bu artışın sürmesi beklenmektedir. Sıcak hava dalgaları, doğrudan ve dolaylı etkileriyle önemli bir mortalite ve morbidite yükü yaratmaktadır. Ayrıca sağlık hizmeti sunumu kalitesini, kapasitesini ve devamlığını etkilemektedir.
Bir bölgenin sıcak hava dalgası kırılganlığı, sıcak hava dalgalarından “olumsuz olarak etkilenme yatkınlığı ya da eğilimi” olarak tanımlanmaktadır. Sıcak hava dalgası kırılganlığı, dünyanın farklı bölgelerinde ve farklı topluluklarda heterojen bir dağılım göstermektedir. İklim değişikliği bağlamında sıcak hava dalgası kırılganlığı maruz kalma, duyarlılık ve uyum kapasitesi bileşenlerinin bir fonksiyonu olarak kavramsallaştırılmıştır.
Son yıllarda iklim değişikliğinin etkileriyle mücadelede risk temelli bir yaklaşım önerilmektedir. Ülkelerin ulusal ve yerel sıcak hava dalgası eylem planları oluşturması, gelecek yıllara yönelik en önemli halk sağlığı politika ve müdahalelerinden biridir. Sıcak hava dalgalarının sağlık etkileriyle mücadelede toplum sağlığına olan etkilerinin tanınmasından başlanarak, kırılganlığın yüksek olduğu bölgelerin ve popülasyonların tespit edilmesi ve sıcak hava dalgası dönemlerinin yönetiminde etkili halk sağlığı müdahalelerinin geliştirilmesi gerekmektedir.

Kaynakça

  • IPCC. Global Warming of 1.5°C. An IPCC Special Report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change, sustainable development, and efforts to eradicate poverty. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA, 2018.
  • Weather and Climate Extreme Events in a Changing Climate In: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. United Kingdom and New York: Cambridge University Press; 2021. pp. 1513–1766.
  • Dosio A, Mentaschi L, Fischer EM, Wyser K. Extreme heat waves under 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming. Environ. Res. Lett 2018;13:054006. DOI 10.1088/1748-9326/aab827.
  • World Meteorological Organization. Heatwaves. Available at: https://wmo.int/topics/heatwave. Accessed October 10, 2024
  • U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. Climate Change Indicators: Heat Waves. Available at: https://www.epa.gov/climate-indicators/climate-change-indicators-heat-waves. Accessed October 10, 2024
  • Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü. Isı Dalgası (Heat Wave). Available at: https://www.mgm.gov.tr/genel/meteorolojisozlugu.aspx?m=I&k=aa11. Accessed October 10, 2024
  • Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü. Meteorolojik hadiselerin şiddetlerine ait sınıflandırma. Available at: https://www.mgm.gov.tr/site/yardim1.aspx?=HadSid. Accessed October 8, 2024
  • T.C. Çevre, Şehircilik ve İklim Değişikliği Bakanlığı Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü Araştırma Dairesi Başkanlığı Klimatoloji Şube Müdürlüğü. Yeni Senaryolarla Türkiye İçin İklim Değişikliği Projeksiyonları (Rapor) TR2015-CC. Available at: https://www.mgm.gov.tr/FILES/iklim/iklim-degisikligi-projeksiyon2015.pdf. Accessed October 8, 2024
  • Ecmel E, Türkeş M, Aydin-Kandemir F.  Observed changes and trends in heatwave characteristics in Turkey since 1950. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 2021;145(1-2):137-57.
  • Zhao Q, Guo Y, Ye T, Gasparrini A, Tong S, Overcenco A, et al. Global, regional, and national burden of mortality associated with non-optimal ambient temperatures from 2000 to 2019: A three-stage modelling study. The Lancet Planet Health 2021;5(7):e415-e425.
  • World Meteorological Organization. 2023 State of Climate Services Health. Available at: https://library.wmo.int/records/item/68500-2023-state-of-climate-services-health. Accessed October 10, 2024
  • Pan American Health Organization, Regional Office for the Americas of the World Health Organization. Heatwaves: A Guide for Health-based Actions, 2021. Available at: https://iris.paho.org/handle/10665.2/54979. Accessed October 9, 2024
  • National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH). Heat-related illnesses. Available at: https://www.cdc.gov/niosh/heat-stress/about/illnesses.html?CDC_AAref_Val=https://www.cdc.gov/niosh/topics/heatstress/heatrelillness.html. Accessed October 9, 2024
  • Güler Ç. Sıcaklık. In: Güler Ç, ed. Çevre Sağlığı (Çevre ve Ekoloji Bağlantılarıyla). 1. Baskı. Ankara: Yazıt Yayıncılık; 2012. P. 819–36.
  • WHO. Heat and health. Available at: https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/climate-change-heat-and-health. Accessed October 10, 2024
  • World Health Organization. Operational framework for building climate resilient health systems. Geneva, 2015. Available at: https://iris.who.int/handle/10665/189951. Accessed October 10, 2024
  • Mason H, C King J, E Peden A, C Franklin R. Systematic review of the impact of heatwaves on health service demand in Australia. BMC Health Serv Res 2022;22(1):960.
  • WMO and WHO. Heatwaves and health: Guidance on warning-system development, 2015. Available at: https://www.who.int/publications/m/item/heatwaves-and-health--guidance-on-warning-system-development. Accessed October 9, 2024
  • Sharma J, Ravindranath NH. Applying IPCC 2014 framework for hazard-specific vulnerability assessment under climate change. Environmental Research Communications 2019;1(5):051004.
  • Szagri D, Nagy B, Szalay Z. How can we predict where heatwaves will have an impact? – A literature review on heat vulnerability indexes. Urban Climate 2023;52:101711.
  • Sidiqui P, Roös PB, Herron M, Jones DS, Duncan E, Jalali A, et al. Urban Heat Island vulnerability mapping using advanced GIS data and tools. J Earth Syst Sci 2022;131:266.
  • Romero-Lankao P, Qin H, Dickinson K. Urban vulnerability to temperature-related hazards: A meta-analysis and meta-knowledge approach. Global Environmental Change 2012;22(3):670-83
  • AR4 Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability, Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 2007.
  • Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 2014.
  • Romanello M, Di Napoli C, Drummond P. The 2022 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: health at the mercy of fossil fuels. The Lancet 2022;400(10363):1619-54.
  • Junzhe B, Xudong L, Chuanhua Y. The construction and validation of the Heat Vulnerability Index, a review. Int J Environ Res Public Health 2015;12(7):7220-34.
  • Niu Y, Li Z, Gao Y, Liu X, Xu L, Vardoulakis S, et al. A systematic review of the Development and Validation of the Heat Vulnerability Index: Major factors, methods, and spatial units. Curr Clim Change Rep 2021;7(3):87-97.
  • Krstica N, Yuchia W, Hob HC, Walkerc BB, Knudbyd AJ, Henderson SB. The Heat Exposure Integrated Deprivation Index (HEIDI): A data-driven approach to quantifying neighborhood risk during extreme hot weather. Environment International 2017;109:42-52.
  • D’Ambrosio V, Di Martino F, MiragliaV. A GIS-based framework to assess heatwave vulnerability and impact scenarios in urban systems. Sci Rep 2023;13(1):13073.
Toplam 29 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Türkçe
Konular Çevre Sağlığı
Bölüm Derleme
Yazarlar

Sevilcan Başak Ünal 0000-0001-8233-2372

Cavit Işık Yavuz 0000-0001-9279-1740

Yayımlanma Tarihi 11 Temmuz 2025
Gönderilme Tarihi 4 Kasım 2024
Kabul Tarihi 10 Temmuz 2025
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2025 Cilt: 34 Sayı: 3

Kaynak Göster

Vancouver Ünal SB, Yavuz CI. Sıcak Hava Dalgası Kırılganlığı: Kavram ve Ölçütler. STED. 2025;34(3):209-15.