Heat-wave associated vibriosis in Russia, 2003-2021
Abstract
Objectives: Noteworthy peaks of non-cholera vibriosis occurred in Russia’s Rostov and Volgograd regions in 2007 and 2010. The origins of these emergent vibrio cases have not been fully understood. Here, we investigate a possible link between the heat wave event and disease emergence.
Methods: This study employed Pearson correlation and regression analyses to identify the linkage between ambient temperature and Vibrio cases.
Results: The correlation test between the mean summer air temperatures for both regions and the Vibrio-infectious cases per year, shows a significant correlation between the mean summer temperature and the infection: r= 0.62 (p=0.023) for the Rostov region and r = 0.78 (p=0.012) for the Volgograd region.
Conclusion: The heat waves in the summers of 2007 and 2010 suggest having facilitated the upsurge of V. cholerae non-cholera diseases. The warming tendency has to be considered in predicting outbreaks.
Keywords
References
- Baker-Austin C, Trinanes J, Salmenlinna S, Löfdahl M, Siitonen A, Taylor N, et al. Heat Wave–Associated Vibriosis, Sweden and Finland, 2014. Emerg Infect Dis. 2016; 22(7):1216-1220. https://doi.org/10.3201/eid2207.151996
- Galanis E, Otterstatter M, Taylor M. Measuring the impact of sea surface temperature on the human incidence of Vibrio sp. infection in British Columbia, Canada, 1992–2017. Environ Health. 2020; 9, 58. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12940-020-00605-x
- Gildas Hounmanou Y, Engberg J, Bjerre K, Holt H, Olesen B, Voldstedlund M, et al. Correlation of High Seawater Temperature with Vibrio and Shewanella Infections, Denmark, 2010–2018. Emerg Infect Dis. 2023; 29(3):605-608. https://doi.org/10.3201/eid2903.221568
- Martinez-Urtaza J, Trinanes J, Abanto M, Lozano-Leon A, Llovo-Taboada J, Garcia-Campello M, et al. Epidemic Dynamics of Vibrio parahaemolyticus Illness in a Hotspot of Disease Emergence, Galicia, Spain. Emerg Infect Dis. 2018;24(5):852-859. https://doi.org/10.3201/eid2405.171700
- Paz S, Bisharat, N, Paz E., Kidar O, Cohen D. Climate change and the emergence of Vibrio vulnificus disease in Israel. Environ Res. 2007;103(3):390-6. doi: 10.1016/j.envres.2006.07.002.
- RStudio Team RStudio: Integrated Development for R. RStudio, PBC, Boston, MA, 2020 URL http://www.rstudio.com/
- Beck H, Zimmermann N, McVicar T. et al. Present and future Köppen-Geiger climate classification maps at 1-km resolution. Sci Data. 2018; 5, 180214 https://doi.org/10.1038/sdata.2018.214
- Bedritsky AI. (Ed.) Russian Hydrometeorological Encyclopedia; Letnii Sad SPB: Moscow, Russia; 2008;1: 336p. [In Russ.]
- Barriopedro D, Fischer EM, Luterbacher J, Trigo RM, García-Herrera R. The hot summer of 2010: redrawing the temperature record map of Europe. Science. 2011;332(6026), 220–224, doi:10.1126/science.1201224
- Vezzulli L. Global expansion of Vibrio spp. in hot water. Environ Microbiol. Rep. 2022; 15(2):77-79. doi: 10.1111/1758-2229.13135. 151996