Do Agriculture, Industry and Economic Growth Cause Environmental Degradation in E-7 Countries?

Year 2025, Volume: 12 Issue: 1, 28 - 39

Mücahit Ülger

Abstract

This study analyzes the effects of agriculture, industry, and economic growth on environmental degradation in the E-7 country group using annual data from the 1992-2020 period. Carbon emissions, one of the most significant indicators of environmental degradation, were used as the key metric. The analysis, conducted using the Panel ARDL method, reveals that economic growth, agricultural value-added, and industrial value-added have statistically significant long-term effects on carbon emissions. According to the long-term results, a 1% increase in agricultural value-added reduces carbon emissions by 0.54%, while a 1% increase in industrial value-added raises carbon emissions by 1.55%. Furthermore, a 1% increase in economic growth leads to a 0.61% increase in carbon emissions. In the short-term analysis, economic growth significantly increases carbon emissions, while the effects of agricultural and industrial value-added on carbon emissions are found to be insignificant. These findings provide important insights for policymakers. The study emphasizes the need to promote the use of renewable energy and cleaner production techniques in the agricultural sector. For the industrial sector, policies encouraging the transition to green technologies, supporting R&D activities, and implementing regulatory measures such as carbon taxes are recommended. These policy suggestions are essential for achieving sustainable development and environmental sustainability goals in the E-7 countries.

Keywords

Agricultural value added, industrial value added, economic growth, carbon emissions

E-7 Ülkelerinde Tarım, Sanayi ve Ekonomik Büyüme Çevresel Bozulmaya Neden Olur Mu?

Abstract

Bu çalışma, 1992-2020 dönemi yıllık verileri kullanarak E-7 ülke grubunda tarım, sanayi ve ekonomik büyümenin çevresel bozulma üzerindeki etkilerini analiz etmektedir. Çevresel bozulmanın en önemli göstergelerinden biri olan karbon emisyonu göstergesi kullanılmıştır. Panel ARDL yöntemiyle yapılan analiz sonucunda, ekonomik büyüme, tarımsal katma değer ve sanayi katma değerinin uzun dönemde karbon emisyonu üzerinde istatistiksel olarak anlamlı etkileri olduğu belirlenmiştir. Uzun dönem analiz sonuçlarına göre, tarımsal katma değerdeki %1’lik artış, karbon emisyonunu %0.54 oranında azaltırken; sanayi katma değerindeki %1’lik artış, karbon emisyonunu %1.55 oranında artırmaktadır. Ayrıca, ekonomik büyümede %1’lik artış, karbon emisyonunu %0.61 oranında artırmaktadır. Kısa dönem analiz sonuçlarına göre, ekonomik büyüme karbon emisyonunu anlamlı şekilde artırırken, tarımsal ve sanayi katma değerlerinin karbon emisyonu üzerindeki etkisi anlamlı bulunmamıştır. Bu bulgular, politika yapıcılar için önemli ipuçları sunmaktadır. Çalışmada, tarım sektöründe yenilenebilir enerji kullanımı ve daha temiz üretim tekniklerinin teşvik edilmesi gerektiği vurgulanmaktadır. Sanayi sektöründe ise yeşil teknolojilere geçişin teşvik edilmesi, AR-GE faaliyetlerinin desteklenmesi ve karbon vergisi gibi düzenleyici önlemler önerilmektedir. Bu politika önerileri, E-7 ülkelerinde sürdürülebilir kalkınma ve çevresel sürdürülebilirlik hedeflerine ulaşmak için önem arz etmektedir.

Keywords

Tarımsal katma değer, sanayi katma değeri, ekonomik büyüme, karbon emisyonu

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