The Future of the European Union on the Basis of Flexible Integration and the Place of Turkey: Possible Scenarios

Abstract

The concept of flexible integration is essential for more efficient and effective management of diversity in the European Union (EU). In this study, it is anticipated that as a result of the crises in the EU, it will evolve into more flexible structure that pragmatically implements different flexible integration models without depending on a single model in the future. This study aims to emphasize the need for flexible integration in the future of the EU and to reveal Turkey’s place in the future of the EU. In this direction, Turkey’s place in the future of the EU was examined through possible scenarios. The paper concludes that the Trade Partnership scenario, in which the full membership goal of Turkey is maintained, provides opportunities for both sides.

Keywords

• Flexible (differentiated) integration,multi-speed Europe,a la carte Europe,European Union,Turkey-EU relations

ESNEK ENTEGRASYON TEMELİNDE AVRUPA BİRLİĞİ’NİN GELECEĞİ VE TÜRKİYE’NİN YERİ: MUHTEMEL SENARYOLAR

Öz

Esnek entegrasyon kavramı, Avrupa Birliği’nde (AB) çeşitliliğin daha etkin ve etkili yönetilmesi açısından önemlidir. Bu çalışmada, AB’nin krizler neticesinde, gelecekte tek bir modele bağlı kalmadan; farklı esnek entegrasyon modellerini pragmatik bir şekilde uygulayan daha esnek bir yapıya evirileceği öngörülmektedir. Bu kapsamda çalışmanın amacı, AB’nin geleceğinde esnek entegrasyonun gerekliliğini vurgulamak ve AB’nin söz konusu geleceğinde Türkiye’nin yerini değerlendirmektir. Bu doğrultuda Türkiye’nin AB’nin geleceğindeki yeri, muhtemel senaryolar üzerinden incelenmiştir. Sonuç olarak, tam üyelik hedefinin korunduğu Ticaret Ortaklığı senaryosunun her iki tarafa fırsatlar sağladığı görülmüştür.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Esnek (farklılaştırılmış) entegrasyon,çok vitesli Avrupa,a la kart Avrupa,Avrupa Birliği,Türkiye-AB ilişkiler

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