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ARKTİK BÖLGESİNDE İŞBİRLİĞİ VE ÇATIŞMA ARASINDA KURULMAYA ÇALIŞILAN DENGE: RUSYA ODAKLI BİR DEĞERLENDİRME

Yıl 2021, Sayı: 39, 260 - 294, 30.12.2021
https://doi.org/10.14520/adyusbd.932483

Öz

Arktik bölgesinde buzulların erimesine paralel olarak çatışma riskinden sıklıkla söz edilmektedir. Deniz yetki alanı, deniz kaynaklarına erişim ve uluslararası ulaşım gibi alanlarda Arktik’te ne gibi gelişmelerin yaşanabileceği ve bölge aktörleri arasında çatışma ya da işbirliği seçeneklerinden hangisinin ön plana çıkacağı cevabı aranan sorular arasındadır. Bu çalışma Rusya merkezli olarak vaka incelemesi yöntemini kullanarak; teorik bağlamda ise Karmaşık Bağımlılık tezinden yararlanarak, Arktik’te ihtilaf-işbirliği dengesine dair bir projeksiyon ortaya koymaktadır. Ulaşılan sonuç olarak, Karmaşık Bağımlılık tezi ekseninde bölgesel dinamiklerin süreç tarafına yakın durduğu saptanmaktadır. Bu kapsamda, tarafların müşterek sorunlara çözüm üretme noktasında bir arada çalışma ve bunu gerektiğinde işbirliği çabalarını kurumsallaştırarak gerçekleştirme yönünde bir irade ortaya koydukları tespit edilmektedir.

Kaynakça

  • Arctic Council. (2021a). Russian Federation: Quick Facts, 2021. https://arctic-council.org/en/about/states/russian-federation/, (Erişim Tarihi: 27.04.2021).
  • Arctic Council. (2021b). The History of the Arctic Council. https://arctic-council.org/en/about/timeline/, (Erişim Tarihi:27.04.2021).
  • Art, R. J. (1980). “To What Ends Military Power”. International Security, 4(4): 3-35.
  • Atland, K. (2017). The Building up of Russia’s Military Potential in the Arctic Region and Possible Elements of its Deterrence. http://r-studies.org/cms/index.php?action=news/view_details&news_id=43590&lang=eng, (Erişim Tarihi:30.04.2021).
  • Baev, P. K. (2018). “Russia’s Ambivalent Status-Quo/Revisionist Policies in the Arctic”. Arctic Review on Law and Politics, 9: 408-424.
  • Barents Cooperation. Environmental Hot Spots. https://www.bar entscooperation.org/en/Barents-Regional Council/Barents- Success-Stories/hotspots, (Erişim Tarihi:29.04.2021).
  • Barents Euro-Arctic Region. (2020). Fourteenth Meeting of Environment Ministers, Declaration. https://www.barentsinfo.fi/beac/docs/14thmi nisterialdeclaration,Feb5th2020.pdf, (Erişim Tarihi:28.04.2021).
  • Barents Euro-Arctic Region. (2021). Barents Cooperation. https://www.barentsinfo.fi/beac/docs/Barents_Cooperation_OnePager_2019.pdf, (Erişim Tarihi:19.04.2021).
  • Basu, N. (2021). India, Japan cooperating in Bangladesh, Sri Lanka to strengthen Quad — envoy Suzuki. https://theprint.in/diplomacy/india-japan-cooperating-in-bangladesh-sri-lanka-to-strengthen-quad-envoy-suzuki/601791/, (Erişim Tarihi:30.04.2021).
  • Bertelsen, R. G. (2020). What is the Arctic to The Kingdom of Denmark and the Russian Federation?. Danish-Russian Interfaces: The Arctic and The Baltic Sea Region. Copenhagen: The Danish Foreign Policy Society.
  • Bergsten, F., Keohane, R. O. ve Nye, J. S. (1975). “International Economics and International Politics: A Framework for Analysis”. International Organization, 29(1): 3-36.
  • Byers, M. (2009). Who Owns the Arctic? Understanding Sovereinty Disputes in the North. Vancouver: D&M Publishers Inc. (Kindle Edition).
  • Drollette, D. (2019). “What if the Arctic melts, and we lose the great white shield? Interview with environmental policy expert Durwood Zaelke”. Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, 75(5): 239-246.
  • Goble, P. (2019). “Moscow Worried About Chinese Dominance of Northern Sea Route”. Eurasia Daily Monitor, 16(117).
  • Gorbachev, M. (1987). Mikhail Gorbachev's Speech in Murmansk. https://www.barentsinfo.fi/docs/Gorbachev_speech.pdf, (Erişim Tarihi:24.04.2021).
  • Henriques, M. (2020). The rush to claim an undersea mountain range. https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200722-the-rush-to-claim-an-undersea-mountain-range, (Erişim Tarihi:29.04.2021).
  • Hønneland, G. (2014). Arctic Politics, the Law of the Sea and Russian Identity: The Barents Sea Delimitation Agreement in Russian Public Debate. Basingstoke: Palgrave Macmillan.
  • Kamrul, H. ve Morris, K. (2017). “Protecting Arctic Ocean Marine Biodiversity in the Area Beyond National Jurisdiction”. The Future of the Law of the Sea. (Der). Gemma Andreone. Springer: Cham. 105-126.
  • Josephson, P. R. (2014). The Conquest of the Russian Arctic. Massachusetts: Harvard University Press. Keohane, R. O. ve Nye, J. S. (1971a). “Transnational Relations and World Politics: An Introduction”. International Organization, 25(3): 329-349.
  • Keohane, R. O. ve Nye, J. S. (1971b). “Transnational Relations and World Politics: A Conclusion”. International Organization, 25(3): 721-748.
  • Keohane, R. O. ve Nye, J. S. (1974). “Transgovernmental Relations and International Organizations”. World Politics, 27(1): 39-62.
  • Keohane, R. O. ve Nye, J. S. (1985). “Two Cheers for Multilateralism”. Foreign Policy, 60: 148-167.
  • Keohane, R. O. ve Nye, J. S. (1987). “Review: Power and Interdependence Revisited”. International Organization, 41(4): 725-753.
  • Keohane, R. O. ve Nye, J. S. (2011). Power and Interdependence. 4. Baskı. Boston: Longman.
  • Kondratenko, T. (2021). Spill it: Why Russia has so many oil leaks. https://www.dw.com/en/russia-oil-spills-far-north/a-56916148, (Erişim Tarihi:27.04.2021).
  • Konyshev, V. ve Sergunin, A. (2014). “Is Russia a revisionist military power in the Arctic?”. Defense & Security Analysis, 30(4): 323-335.
  • Kozyrev, A. (2019). Fire Bird: The Elusive Fate of Russian Democracy. Pittsburgh: University of Pittsburgh Press.
  • Lackenbauer, P. W. ve Lalonde, S. (2019). Breaking the Ice Curtain? Russia, Canada, and Arctic Security in a Changing Circumpolar World. Calgary: Canadian Global Affairs Institute.
  • Laruelle, M. (2014), Russia’s Arctic Strategies and the Future of the Far North. New York: M.E.Sharpe.
  • Lavrov, S. (2017). Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov’s statement and answers to media questions following the Arctic Council Ministerial Meeting, Fairbanks. https://www.mid.ru/en/arkticeskijsovet//asset_publisher/0vP3hQoCPRg5/content/id/2752061, (Erişim Tarihi:28.04.2021).
  • Luna, R. C. (2019). “Russia, the Arctic and Northeast Asia”. CEJISS, 13(3): 101-132.
  • Mearsheimer, J. J. (2014). The Tragedy of Great Power Politics. Güncellenmiş Baskı. New York: W. W Norton & Company.
  • Pezard, S. (2018). The New Geopolitics of the Arctic: Russia’s and China’s Evolving Role in the Region. Santa Monica: Rand Cooperation.
  • Pezard, S, Tingstad, A., Van Abel, K. ve Stephenson, S. (2017). Maintaining Arctic Cooperation with Russia. Santa Monica: Rand Cooperation.
  • Port News. (2021). Arctic Economic Council welcomes new members from Russia. https://en.portnews.ru/news/308418/, (Erişim Tarihi:27.04.2021).
  • Putin, V. (2011). Vladimir Putin's speech at the second International Arctic Forum. https://narfu.ru/en/media/news/21110/, (Erişim Tarihi:28.04.2021).
  • Rahbek-Clemmensen, J. (2011). “Denmark in the Arctic”. Atlantisch Perspectief , 35(3): s. 9-14.
  • Rahbek-Clemmensen, J. (2016). “An Arctic Great Power?”. Arctic Yearbook, 5: 387-399.
  • Rumer, A., Sokolsky, R. ve Stronski, P. (2021). Russia in the Arctic—A Critical Examination. Washington, DC: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
  • Sakwa, R. (2015., Frontline Ukraine: Crisis in the Borderlands. London: I.B. Tauris (Kindle Edition).
  • Skobelev, D., Guseva, T., Chechevatova, O., Begak, M, ve Tsevelev, V. (2018). Chartered Experts in Best Available Techniques in Russia: Key Principles and First Practices. https://sgem.org/sgemlib/spip.php?article12728, (Erişim Tarihi:26.04.2021).
  • Staalesen, A. (2020). The two companies are jointly to develop license areas in Russia's far northern Gydan Peninsula. https://thebarentsobserver.com /en/industry-and-energy/2020/12/shell-teams-gazprom-neft-remote-arctic-tundra, (Erişim Tarihi:28.04.2021).
  • TASS. (2017). Lavrov says Russia open to mutually beneficial collaboration with its Arctic neighbors. https://tass.com/politics/929652, (Erişim Tarihi:02.05.2021).
  • The Local. (2019). Norway decides against participation in Nato missile defence system. https://www.thelocal.no/20191008/norway-decides-against-participation-in-nato-missile-defence-system/, (Erişim Tarihi:29.04.2021).
  • The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation. (2016). Foreign Policy Concept of the Russian Federation. http://www.mid.ru/en/foreign_p olicy/official_documents/-/asset_publisher/CptICkB6BZ29/c ontent/id/2542248, (Erişim Tarihi:29.04.2021).
  • Turner, J. (2020). The cold thaw: inside Russia’s $300bn Arctic oil and gas investment. https://www.offshore-technology.com/features/the-cold-thaw-inside-russias-300bn-arctic-oil-and-gas-investment/, (Erişim Tarihi:01.05.2021).
  • U.S Department of State. (2013). Pollution-Marine Oil in the Arctic. https://2009-2017.state.gov/documents/organization/264791.pdf, (Erişim Tarihi:27.04.2021).
  • Waltz, K. N. (1979). Theory of International Politics. Massachusetts: Addison-Wesley Publishing Company.
  • Zellen, B. S. (2009). Arctic Doom, Arctic Boom: The Geopolitics of Climate Change in the Arctic. Santa Barbara: ABD Clio.

THE BALANCE BETWEEN COOPERATION AND CONFLICT IN THE ARCTIC: A RUSSIA-FOCUSED ASSESSMENT

Yıl 2021, Sayı: 39, 260 - 294, 30.12.2021
https://doi.org/10.14520/adyusbd.932483

Öz

The melting of the ice mass in the Arctic is often viewed as a potential source of conflict. In the light of the issues related to maritime jurisdiction, marine resources and international shipping, questions are often raised as to which way the pendulum between cooperation and conflict will swing in the region. While this paper addresses this question, it employs the case study methodology with a specific focus on Russia, and draws upon the theory of Complex Interdependence. By way of conclusion, it is stipulated that between the two alternatives of “processes” and “capabilities”, regional dynamics tend closer to “processes” in the Arctic. This means that actors are inclined to collaborate to tackle common problems in the Arctic, which is, when required, implemented through the institutionalization of their cooperation.

Kaynakça

  • Arctic Council. (2021a). Russian Federation: Quick Facts, 2021. https://arctic-council.org/en/about/states/russian-federation/, (Erişim Tarihi: 27.04.2021).
  • Arctic Council. (2021b). The History of the Arctic Council. https://arctic-council.org/en/about/timeline/, (Erişim Tarihi:27.04.2021).
  • Art, R. J. (1980). “To What Ends Military Power”. International Security, 4(4): 3-35.
  • Atland, K. (2017). The Building up of Russia’s Military Potential in the Arctic Region and Possible Elements of its Deterrence. http://r-studies.org/cms/index.php?action=news/view_details&news_id=43590&lang=eng, (Erişim Tarihi:30.04.2021).
  • Baev, P. K. (2018). “Russia’s Ambivalent Status-Quo/Revisionist Policies in the Arctic”. Arctic Review on Law and Politics, 9: 408-424.
  • Barents Cooperation. Environmental Hot Spots. https://www.bar entscooperation.org/en/Barents-Regional Council/Barents- Success-Stories/hotspots, (Erişim Tarihi:29.04.2021).
  • Barents Euro-Arctic Region. (2020). Fourteenth Meeting of Environment Ministers, Declaration. https://www.barentsinfo.fi/beac/docs/14thmi nisterialdeclaration,Feb5th2020.pdf, (Erişim Tarihi:28.04.2021).
  • Barents Euro-Arctic Region. (2021). Barents Cooperation. https://www.barentsinfo.fi/beac/docs/Barents_Cooperation_OnePager_2019.pdf, (Erişim Tarihi:19.04.2021).
  • Basu, N. (2021). India, Japan cooperating in Bangladesh, Sri Lanka to strengthen Quad — envoy Suzuki. https://theprint.in/diplomacy/india-japan-cooperating-in-bangladesh-sri-lanka-to-strengthen-quad-envoy-suzuki/601791/, (Erişim Tarihi:30.04.2021).
  • Bertelsen, R. G. (2020). What is the Arctic to The Kingdom of Denmark and the Russian Federation?. Danish-Russian Interfaces: The Arctic and The Baltic Sea Region. Copenhagen: The Danish Foreign Policy Society.
  • Bergsten, F., Keohane, R. O. ve Nye, J. S. (1975). “International Economics and International Politics: A Framework for Analysis”. International Organization, 29(1): 3-36.
  • Byers, M. (2009). Who Owns the Arctic? Understanding Sovereinty Disputes in the North. Vancouver: D&M Publishers Inc. (Kindle Edition).
  • Drollette, D. (2019). “What if the Arctic melts, and we lose the great white shield? Interview with environmental policy expert Durwood Zaelke”. Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, 75(5): 239-246.
  • Goble, P. (2019). “Moscow Worried About Chinese Dominance of Northern Sea Route”. Eurasia Daily Monitor, 16(117).
  • Gorbachev, M. (1987). Mikhail Gorbachev's Speech in Murmansk. https://www.barentsinfo.fi/docs/Gorbachev_speech.pdf, (Erişim Tarihi:24.04.2021).
  • Henriques, M. (2020). The rush to claim an undersea mountain range. https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200722-the-rush-to-claim-an-undersea-mountain-range, (Erişim Tarihi:29.04.2021).
  • Hønneland, G. (2014). Arctic Politics, the Law of the Sea and Russian Identity: The Barents Sea Delimitation Agreement in Russian Public Debate. Basingstoke: Palgrave Macmillan.
  • Kamrul, H. ve Morris, K. (2017). “Protecting Arctic Ocean Marine Biodiversity in the Area Beyond National Jurisdiction”. The Future of the Law of the Sea. (Der). Gemma Andreone. Springer: Cham. 105-126.
  • Josephson, P. R. (2014). The Conquest of the Russian Arctic. Massachusetts: Harvard University Press. Keohane, R. O. ve Nye, J. S. (1971a). “Transnational Relations and World Politics: An Introduction”. International Organization, 25(3): 329-349.
  • Keohane, R. O. ve Nye, J. S. (1971b). “Transnational Relations and World Politics: A Conclusion”. International Organization, 25(3): 721-748.
  • Keohane, R. O. ve Nye, J. S. (1974). “Transgovernmental Relations and International Organizations”. World Politics, 27(1): 39-62.
  • Keohane, R. O. ve Nye, J. S. (1985). “Two Cheers for Multilateralism”. Foreign Policy, 60: 148-167.
  • Keohane, R. O. ve Nye, J. S. (1987). “Review: Power and Interdependence Revisited”. International Organization, 41(4): 725-753.
  • Keohane, R. O. ve Nye, J. S. (2011). Power and Interdependence. 4. Baskı. Boston: Longman.
  • Kondratenko, T. (2021). Spill it: Why Russia has so many oil leaks. https://www.dw.com/en/russia-oil-spills-far-north/a-56916148, (Erişim Tarihi:27.04.2021).
  • Konyshev, V. ve Sergunin, A. (2014). “Is Russia a revisionist military power in the Arctic?”. Defense & Security Analysis, 30(4): 323-335.
  • Kozyrev, A. (2019). Fire Bird: The Elusive Fate of Russian Democracy. Pittsburgh: University of Pittsburgh Press.
  • Lackenbauer, P. W. ve Lalonde, S. (2019). Breaking the Ice Curtain? Russia, Canada, and Arctic Security in a Changing Circumpolar World. Calgary: Canadian Global Affairs Institute.
  • Laruelle, M. (2014), Russia’s Arctic Strategies and the Future of the Far North. New York: M.E.Sharpe.
  • Lavrov, S. (2017). Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov’s statement and answers to media questions following the Arctic Council Ministerial Meeting, Fairbanks. https://www.mid.ru/en/arkticeskijsovet//asset_publisher/0vP3hQoCPRg5/content/id/2752061, (Erişim Tarihi:28.04.2021).
  • Luna, R. C. (2019). “Russia, the Arctic and Northeast Asia”. CEJISS, 13(3): 101-132.
  • Mearsheimer, J. J. (2014). The Tragedy of Great Power Politics. Güncellenmiş Baskı. New York: W. W Norton & Company.
  • Pezard, S. (2018). The New Geopolitics of the Arctic: Russia’s and China’s Evolving Role in the Region. Santa Monica: Rand Cooperation.
  • Pezard, S, Tingstad, A., Van Abel, K. ve Stephenson, S. (2017). Maintaining Arctic Cooperation with Russia. Santa Monica: Rand Cooperation.
  • Port News. (2021). Arctic Economic Council welcomes new members from Russia. https://en.portnews.ru/news/308418/, (Erişim Tarihi:27.04.2021).
  • Putin, V. (2011). Vladimir Putin's speech at the second International Arctic Forum. https://narfu.ru/en/media/news/21110/, (Erişim Tarihi:28.04.2021).
  • Rahbek-Clemmensen, J. (2011). “Denmark in the Arctic”. Atlantisch Perspectief , 35(3): s. 9-14.
  • Rahbek-Clemmensen, J. (2016). “An Arctic Great Power?”. Arctic Yearbook, 5: 387-399.
  • Rumer, A., Sokolsky, R. ve Stronski, P. (2021). Russia in the Arctic—A Critical Examination. Washington, DC: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
  • Sakwa, R. (2015., Frontline Ukraine: Crisis in the Borderlands. London: I.B. Tauris (Kindle Edition).
  • Skobelev, D., Guseva, T., Chechevatova, O., Begak, M, ve Tsevelev, V. (2018). Chartered Experts in Best Available Techniques in Russia: Key Principles and First Practices. https://sgem.org/sgemlib/spip.php?article12728, (Erişim Tarihi:26.04.2021).
  • Staalesen, A. (2020). The two companies are jointly to develop license areas in Russia's far northern Gydan Peninsula. https://thebarentsobserver.com /en/industry-and-energy/2020/12/shell-teams-gazprom-neft-remote-arctic-tundra, (Erişim Tarihi:28.04.2021).
  • TASS. (2017). Lavrov says Russia open to mutually beneficial collaboration with its Arctic neighbors. https://tass.com/politics/929652, (Erişim Tarihi:02.05.2021).
  • The Local. (2019). Norway decides against participation in Nato missile defence system. https://www.thelocal.no/20191008/norway-decides-against-participation-in-nato-missile-defence-system/, (Erişim Tarihi:29.04.2021).
  • The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation. (2016). Foreign Policy Concept of the Russian Federation. http://www.mid.ru/en/foreign_p olicy/official_documents/-/asset_publisher/CptICkB6BZ29/c ontent/id/2542248, (Erişim Tarihi:29.04.2021).
  • Turner, J. (2020). The cold thaw: inside Russia’s $300bn Arctic oil and gas investment. https://www.offshore-technology.com/features/the-cold-thaw-inside-russias-300bn-arctic-oil-and-gas-investment/, (Erişim Tarihi:01.05.2021).
  • U.S Department of State. (2013). Pollution-Marine Oil in the Arctic. https://2009-2017.state.gov/documents/organization/264791.pdf, (Erişim Tarihi:27.04.2021).
  • Waltz, K. N. (1979). Theory of International Politics. Massachusetts: Addison-Wesley Publishing Company.
  • Zellen, B. S. (2009). Arctic Doom, Arctic Boom: The Geopolitics of Climate Change in the Arctic. Santa Barbara: ABD Clio.
Toplam 49 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Türkçe
Bölüm Makaleler
Yazarlar

Eray Alım 0000-0001-7543-8021

Erken Görünüm Tarihi 29 Aralık 2021
Yayımlanma Tarihi 30 Aralık 2021
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2021 Sayı: 39

Kaynak Göster

APA Alım, E. (2021). ARKTİK BÖLGESİNDE İŞBİRLİĞİ VE ÇATIŞMA ARASINDA KURULMAYA ÇALIŞILAN DENGE: RUSYA ODAKLI BİR DEĞERLENDİRME. Adıyaman Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi(39), 260-294. https://doi.org/10.14520/adyusbd.932483