AŞILAMA ORANLARI İLE COVID-19 ÖLÜM ORANLARI ARASINDAKİ PARADOKSU AÇIKLAMADA SOSYOEKONOMİK VE ÇEVRESEL FAKTÖRLERİN ETKİSİ ÜZERİNE BİR İNCELEME

Yıl 2024, Cilt: 11 Sayı: 26, 119 - 146, 30.12.2024

Bilal Kargı

https://doi.org/10.58884/akademik-hassasiyetler.1554568

Öz

Bu çalışma, 150'den fazla ülkede COVID-19 ölümlerini azaltmak için birincil strateji olarak aşılamanın etkinliğini incelemektedir. Çalışma, Ocak 2022'deki tam aşılama oranları ile ölüm oranları arasındaki korelasyonu analiz ederek, başlangıçta pozitif bir ilişki bulmuştur (r = 0,65, p değeri < .01). Ancak, daha ileri regresyon analizi daha karmaşık bir ilişki ortaya koymaktadır. Tam aşılamada %1'lik bir artış, GSYİH farklılıkları dikkate alındığında bile, beklenmedik bir şekilde 100.000 kişi başına beklenen ölümlerde %0,7'lik bir artışla (p değeri < .001) bağlantılıdır. Bu, sosyoekonomik koşullar, virüs mutasyonları ve sağlık kaynakları (örneğin, kişi başına ventilatör) gibi aşılamanın ötesindeki faktörlerin, ölüm oranlarını belirlemede önemli bir rol oynadığını göstermektedir. Çalışmanın bulguları, aşılamanın tek başına COVID-19'u ortadan kaldırabileceği fikrine meydan okumaktadır. Aşılama önemli bir araç olmakla birlikte, virüsün yayılmasına ve ekonomik etkisine katkıda bulunan daha geniş faktörleri, özellikle yüksek aşılama oranlarına sahip ancak kalıcı ölüm oranına sahip ülkelerde ele almak esastır. Bu kapsamlı yaklaşım, salgının etkin bir şekilde yönetilmesi ve uzun vadeli sonuçlarının en aza indirilmesi açısından hayati önem taşıyor.

Anahtar Kelimeler

COVID-19, Aşılama, Ölüm oranı, Korelasyon, Sosyoekonomik faktörler.

A REVIEW OF THE EFFECTS OF SOCIOECONOMIC AND ENVIRONMENTAL FACTORS IN EXPLANING THE PARADOX BETWEEN VACCINATION RATES AND COVID-19 RELATED MORTALITY RATES

Öz

This study evaluates vaccination as a primary strategy to reduce COVID-19 deaths across 150 countries. By analyzing the correlation between full vaccination rates and mortality rates in January 2022, the study initially finds a positive association (r = 0.65, p-value < .01). However, further regression analysis reveals a more complex relationship. A 1% increase in full vaccination correlates with a 0.7% rise in deaths per 100,000 people (p-value < .001), even when considering GDP differences. This suggests that factors beyond vaccination, such as socioeconomic conditions, virus mutations, and healthcare resources (e.g., ventilators per capita), play a substantial role in determining mortality rates. The study's findings challenge the notion that vaccination alone can eradicate COVID-19. While vaccination is a crucial tool, it's essential to address the broader factors contributing to the virus's spread and its economic impact, particularly in countries with high vaccination rates but persistent mortality. This comprehensive approach is vital for effectively managing the pandemic and minimizing its long-term consequences.

Anahtar Kelimeler

COVID-19, Vaccination, Mortality, Correlation, Socioeconomic factors

Kaynakça

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