Piyasa Değeri ve Piotroski F Skor İlişkisi: Panel Veri Analizi
Yıl 2024,
Cilt: 26 Sayı: 3, 1079 - 1090, 27.09.2024
Sumeyra Uzun
,
Arif Saldanlı
,
İbrahim Sırma
Öz
Bir şirketin piyasa değerindeki artış ve azalış çok sayıda faktörden etkilenir. Halka açık şirketlerin piyasa değerleri ve buna bağlı olarak getirilerinin tahmini finans literatüründe üzerinde çalışılan önemli bir konulardandır. Çünkü şirketlerin değerini doğru bir şekilde belirleyebilmek yatırımcıların kararlarını etkileyecektir. Joseph Piotroski tarafından finans literatürüne kazandırılan F Skoru (0-9 arası) uygulaması zamanla yatırımcılar tarafından pay ve şirket değerlemesi konusunda önemli bir gösterge olarak kabul edilmiştir. Bu çalışmada 2014-2020 yılları arasında Borsa İstanbul Pay Piyasası’nda işlem göre 298 şirketlerin 27 çeyrek dönemlik piyasa değerleri ile F-Skorları arasındaki ilişki gözlemlenmiştir. Çalışma sonucunda F skordaki 1 birimlik artış piyasa değerini yaklaşık %6,14 birim arttırdığı sonucuna ulaşılmıştır. Bu sonuca göre Piotroski F-Skor değerlerinin yatırımcıların pay senedi yatırım kararlarında dikkate alabilecek bir temel analiz göstergesi olduğu sonucuna ulaşılmıştır
Kaynakça
- Asmadi, D., Izzaty, N., & Erwan, F. (2021). Performance Analysis Of Sharia Share Companies Using The Piotroski F-Score Method. Amwaluna: Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Keuangan Syariah, 5(1), 67–75. https://doi.org/10.29313/amwaluna.v5i1.5926
- Chaudhari, A., & Ghorpade, P. (2020). Forecasting a firm’s position based on Piotroski’s F-score using ARIMA. 2020 International Conference on Data Analytics for Business and Industry: Way Towards a Sustainable Economy, ICDABI 2020. https://doi.org/10.1109/ICDABI51230.2020.9325695
- Cukierman, A., & Izhakian, Y. (2015). Bailout uncertainty in a microfounded general equilibrium model of the financial system. Journal of Banking and Finance, 52, 160–179. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2014.08.018
- Deng, X. (2016). Piotroski’s F-Score in the Chinese A-Share market. https://open.uct.ac.za/handle/11427/24520
- Driscoll, J. C., & Kraay, A. C. (1998). Consistent covariance matrix estimation with spatially dependent panel data. Review of Economics and Statistics, 80(4), 549–559. https://doi.org/10.1162/003465398557825
- Durán-Vázquez, R., Lorenzo-Valdés, A., & Castillo-Ramírez, C. E. (2014). Effectiveness of corporate finance valuation methods: Piotroski score in an Ohlson model: The case of Mexico. Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science, 19(37), 104–107. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jefas.2014.04.003
- Fama, E. F. ., & French, K. R. (1992). The Cross‐Section of Expected Stock Returns. The Journal of Finance, 47(2), 427–465. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1992.tb04398.x
- Hyde, C. E. (2018). The Piotroski F-score: evidence from Australia. Accounting and Finance, 58(2), 423–444. https://doi.org/10.1111/acfi.12216
- Jeong, T., & Kim, K. (2019). Effectiveness of F-SCORE on the Loser Following Online Portfolio Strategy in the Korean Value Stocks Portfolio. American Journal of Theoretical and Applied Business, 5(1), 1. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajtab.20190501.11
- Johnson, G., Ericson, S., & Srimuthy, V. (2007). An empirical analysis of 130/30 strategies: Domestic and international 130/30 strategies add value over long-only strategies. Journal of Alternative Investments, 10(2), 31–42. https://doi.org/10.3905/jai.2007.695265
- Krauss, C. ;, Krüger, T. ;, & Beerstecher, D. (2015). The Piotroski F-Score: A fundamental value strategy revisited from an investor’s perspective. No. 13/2015. https://www.econstor.eu/handle/10419/121238
- Mohr, J.-H. M. (2012). Utility of Piotroski F-Score for predicting growth-stock returns. Working Paper, MFIE Capital, 1–30. https://www.valuesignals.com/documents/Utility_of_Piotroski_F-Score_for_predicting_Growth-Stock_Returns.pdf
- Oyebode, A. (2016). Application of the Altman Z-EM-Score and Piotroski F-Score to the Johannesburg Securities Exchange as short selling instrument. (Issue November). https://repository.up.ac.za/handle/2263/59746
- Pesaran, M. H. (2021). General diagnostic tests for cross-sectional dependence in panels. Empirical Economics, 60(1), 13–50. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-020-01875-7
- Piotroski, J. D. (2000). Value Investing: The Use of Historical Financial Statement Information to Separate Winners from Losers,. Journal of Accounting Research, 38(Supplement: Studies on Accounting Information and the Economics of the Firm), 1–41.
- Rahman, M., Sa, C. L., & Masud, M. A. K. (2021). Predicting Firms’ Financial Distress: An Empirical Analysis Using the F-Score Model. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 14(5), 199. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm14050199
- Sakarya, Ş. (2008). Hissedar Değeri ve Hesaplanması Üzerine Bir Uygulama. Muhasebe ve Finansman Dergisi, 40. https://dergipark.org.tr/en/pub/mufad/issue/35615/395774
- Tatoğlu, F. (2012). Panel Veri Ekonometrisi (2nd ed.). Beta Basım Yayın Dağıtım.
- Uluslararası Değerleme Standartları Konseyi. (2017). Uluslararası Değerleme Standartları.
- Walkshäusl, C. (2020). Piotroski’s FSCORE: international evidence. Journal of Asset Management, 21(2), 106–118. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41260-020-00157-2
- Yerdelen Tatoğlu, F. (2017). Panel Zaman Serileri Analizi Stata Uygulamalı (1. Baskı). Beta Basım Yayın Dağıtım. https://avesis.istanbul.edu.tr/yayin/f6c66bd0-2e9e-49d8-90f3-
Relationship Between Market Value And Piotroski F Score:Panel Data Analysis
Yıl 2024,
Cilt: 26 Sayı: 3, 1079 - 1090, 27.09.2024
Sumeyra Uzun
,
Arif Saldanlı
,
İbrahim Sırma
Öz
The increase or decrease in the market value of a company is affected by many factors. The market values of publicly traded companies and the estimation of their returns are one of the important topics studied in the finance literature. Because being able to accurately determine the value of companies will affect the decisions of investors. The F Score (between 0-9) introduced to the finance literature by Joseph Piotroski has been accepted by investors as an important indicator in terms of share and company valuation over time. In this study, the relationship between 27 quarterly market values and F-Scores of 298 companies traded in Borsa Istanbul Equity Market between 2014-2020 was observed. As a result of the study, it was concluded that 1 unit increase in F score increased the market value by 6.14%. According to this result, it is concluded that Piotroski F-Score values are a fundamental analysis indicator that investors can consider in their stock investment decisions.
Kaynakça
- Asmadi, D., Izzaty, N., & Erwan, F. (2021). Performance Analysis Of Sharia Share Companies Using The Piotroski F-Score Method. Amwaluna: Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Keuangan Syariah, 5(1), 67–75. https://doi.org/10.29313/amwaluna.v5i1.5926
- Chaudhari, A., & Ghorpade, P. (2020). Forecasting a firm’s position based on Piotroski’s F-score using ARIMA. 2020 International Conference on Data Analytics for Business and Industry: Way Towards a Sustainable Economy, ICDABI 2020. https://doi.org/10.1109/ICDABI51230.2020.9325695
- Cukierman, A., & Izhakian, Y. (2015). Bailout uncertainty in a microfounded general equilibrium model of the financial system. Journal of Banking and Finance, 52, 160–179. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2014.08.018
- Deng, X. (2016). Piotroski’s F-Score in the Chinese A-Share market. https://open.uct.ac.za/handle/11427/24520
- Driscoll, J. C., & Kraay, A. C. (1998). Consistent covariance matrix estimation with spatially dependent panel data. Review of Economics and Statistics, 80(4), 549–559. https://doi.org/10.1162/003465398557825
- Durán-Vázquez, R., Lorenzo-Valdés, A., & Castillo-Ramírez, C. E. (2014). Effectiveness of corporate finance valuation methods: Piotroski score in an Ohlson model: The case of Mexico. Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science, 19(37), 104–107. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jefas.2014.04.003
- Fama, E. F. ., & French, K. R. (1992). The Cross‐Section of Expected Stock Returns. The Journal of Finance, 47(2), 427–465. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1992.tb04398.x
- Hyde, C. E. (2018). The Piotroski F-score: evidence from Australia. Accounting and Finance, 58(2), 423–444. https://doi.org/10.1111/acfi.12216
- Jeong, T., & Kim, K. (2019). Effectiveness of F-SCORE on the Loser Following Online Portfolio Strategy in the Korean Value Stocks Portfolio. American Journal of Theoretical and Applied Business, 5(1), 1. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajtab.20190501.11
- Johnson, G., Ericson, S., & Srimuthy, V. (2007). An empirical analysis of 130/30 strategies: Domestic and international 130/30 strategies add value over long-only strategies. Journal of Alternative Investments, 10(2), 31–42. https://doi.org/10.3905/jai.2007.695265
- Krauss, C. ;, Krüger, T. ;, & Beerstecher, D. (2015). The Piotroski F-Score: A fundamental value strategy revisited from an investor’s perspective. No. 13/2015. https://www.econstor.eu/handle/10419/121238
- Mohr, J.-H. M. (2012). Utility of Piotroski F-Score for predicting growth-stock returns. Working Paper, MFIE Capital, 1–30. https://www.valuesignals.com/documents/Utility_of_Piotroski_F-Score_for_predicting_Growth-Stock_Returns.pdf
- Oyebode, A. (2016). Application of the Altman Z-EM-Score and Piotroski F-Score to the Johannesburg Securities Exchange as short selling instrument. (Issue November). https://repository.up.ac.za/handle/2263/59746
- Pesaran, M. H. (2021). General diagnostic tests for cross-sectional dependence in panels. Empirical Economics, 60(1), 13–50. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-020-01875-7
- Piotroski, J. D. (2000). Value Investing: The Use of Historical Financial Statement Information to Separate Winners from Losers,. Journal of Accounting Research, 38(Supplement: Studies on Accounting Information and the Economics of the Firm), 1–41.
- Rahman, M., Sa, C. L., & Masud, M. A. K. (2021). Predicting Firms’ Financial Distress: An Empirical Analysis Using the F-Score Model. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 14(5), 199. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm14050199
- Sakarya, Ş. (2008). Hissedar Değeri ve Hesaplanması Üzerine Bir Uygulama. Muhasebe ve Finansman Dergisi, 40. https://dergipark.org.tr/en/pub/mufad/issue/35615/395774
- Tatoğlu, F. (2012). Panel Veri Ekonometrisi (2nd ed.). Beta Basım Yayın Dağıtım.
- Uluslararası Değerleme Standartları Konseyi. (2017). Uluslararası Değerleme Standartları.
- Walkshäusl, C. (2020). Piotroski’s FSCORE: international evidence. Journal of Asset Management, 21(2), 106–118. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41260-020-00157-2
- Yerdelen Tatoğlu, F. (2017). Panel Zaman Serileri Analizi Stata Uygulamalı (1. Baskı). Beta Basım Yayın Dağıtım. https://avesis.istanbul.edu.tr/yayin/f6c66bd0-2e9e-49d8-90f3-