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Verimlilik ve Çevre Göstergelerinin Türk Tarım Sektörüne Etkisi

Yıl 2026, Sayı: 17 , 1 - 18 , 31.03.2026
https://doi.org/10.55119/artuklukaime.1898436
https://izlik.org/JA38GS29AM

Öz

Bu çalışmanın amacı, Türkiye'de tarım sektörünün üretimdeki payı ile verimlilik göstergeleri arasındaki ilişkiyi incelemektir. Bu bağlamda, 1991-2022 yılları arasındaki değişkenler kullanılarak tarım sektörü için işgücü verimliliği, enerji verimliliği ve karbondioksit yoğunluğu oluşturulmuş ve bunların tarım sektörü üzerindeki etkileri araştırılmıştır. Serilerin karma durağanlığı nedeniyle ARDL yöntemi seçilmiştir. Sonuçlar, değişkenler arasında eşbütünleşme ilişkisinin varlığını doğrulamaktadır. Ayrıca, uzun vadeli tahmin sonuçlarına göre, işgücü ve enerji verimliliği tarımın üretimdeki payını olumlu yönde etkilerken, emisyon yoğunluğu olumsuz bir etki göstermektedir. Bulgular, tarım sektörünün ve Türkiye'de yaşanan yapısal dönüşümün verimlilik göstergeleri ile iklim ve çevre koşullarından etkilendiğini ortaya koymaktadır.

Kaynakça

  • Referans1 Bagherzadeh, M., & Shigemitsu, M. (2021). Building the resilience of Turkey’s agricultural sector to droughts. OECD Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Papers. No. 167, OECD Publishing, Paris, https://doi.org/10.1787/75430b86-en
  • Refrans2 Benedek, A., Rokicki, T., & Szeberényi, A. (2023). Bibliometric evaluation of energy efficiency in agriculture. Energies, 16(16), 5942. https://doi.org/10.3390/en16165942
  • Referans3 Bilenko, Y. (2022). Labor productivity in the agriculture, structural shifts and economic growth in the Central and Eastern European countries. Agricultural and Resource Economics: International Scientific E-Journal, 8(4), 5-32. https://doi.org/10.22004/AG.ECON.330349
  • Referans4 Chandio, A. A., Akram, W., Ahmad, F., & Ahmad, M. (2020). Dynamic relationship among agriculture-energy-forestry and carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions: empirical evidence from China. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 27(27), 34078-34089. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-020-09560-z
  • Referans5 Dickey, D. A., & Fuller, W. A. (1979). Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74(366a), 427-431. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1979.10482531
  • Referans5 Eshete, Z. S., Mulatu, D. W., & Gatiso, T. G. (2020). CO₂ emissions, agricultural productivity and welfare in Ethiopia. International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management, 12(5), 687-704. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJCCSM07-2019-0046
  • Referans6 Farah, A. A., Mohamed, M. A., Musse, O. S. H., & Nor, B. A. (2025). The multifaceted impact of climate change on agricultural productivity: A systematic literature review of SCOPUS-indexed studies (2015–2024). Discover Sustainability, 6(1), 397. https://doi.org/10.1007/s43621-025-01229-2
  • Referans7 Fedulova, I., Voronkova, O. Y., Zhuravlev, P., Gerasimova, E., Glyzina, M., & Alekhina, N. A. (2019). Labor productivity and its role in the sustainable development of economy: On the example of a region. Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Issues, 7(2), 1059. https://doi.org/10.9770/jesi.2019.7.2(19)
  • Referans8 Habib-ur-Rahman, M., Ahmad, A., Raza, A., Hasnain, M. U., Alharby, H. F., Alzahrani, Y. M., ... & El Sabagh, A. (2022). Impact of climate change on agricultural production; Issues, challenges, and opportunities in Asia. Frontiers in Plant Science, 13, 925548. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpls.2022.925548
  • Referans9 Hossain, M. A., & Chen, S. (2022). The decoupling study of agricultural energy-driven CO₂ emissions from agricultural sector development. International Journal of Environmental Science and Technology, 19(5), 4509-4524. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13762-021-03346-7
  • Referans10 Hunt, R. C. (2000). Labor productivity and agricultural development: Boserup revisited. Human Ecology, 28(2), 251-277. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1007072120891
  • Referans11 Liu, J., Wang, H., Rahman, S., & Sriboonchitta, S. (2021). Energy efficiency, energy conservation and determinants in the agricultural sector in emerging economies. Agriculture, 11(8), 773. https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture11080773
  • Referans12 Liu, J., Wang, H., Rahman, S., & Sriboonchitta, S. (2021). Energy efficiency, energy conservation and determinants in the agricultural sector in emerging economies. Agriculture, 11(8), 773. https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture11080773
  • Referans13 Luo, Y., Long, X., Wu, C., & Zhang, J. (2017). Decoupling CO₂ emissions from economic growth in agricultural sector across 30 Chinese provinces from 1997 to 2014. Journal of Cleaner Production, 159, 220-228. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2017.05.076
  • Referans14 Mahmood, H., Alkhateeb, T. T. Y., Al-Qahtani, M. M. Z., Allam, Z., Ahmad, N., & Furqan, M. (2019). Agriculture development and CO₂ emissions nexus in Saudi Arabia. PloS One, 14(12), e0225865. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0225865
  • Referans15 Makutėniene, D., Balezentis, T., & Streimikiene, D. (2016). Energy use and intensity in agriculture across European countries. Montenegrin Journal of Economics, 12(1), 85-93. https://doi.org/10.14254/1800-5845/2016.12-1.5
  • Referans16 Moghaddasi, R., & Pour, A. A. (2016). Energy consumption and total factor productivity growth in Iranian agriculture. Energy Reports, 2, 218-220. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egyr.2016.08.004
  • Referans17 Pelletier, N., Audsley, E., Brodt, S., Garnett, T., Henriksson, P., Kendall, A., ... & Troell, M. (2011). Energy intensity of agriculture and food systems. Annual Review of Environment and Resources, 36(1), 223-246. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurevenviron-081710-161014
  • Referans18 Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289-326. https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.616
  • Referans19 Phillips, P. C., & Perron, P. (1988). Testing for a unit root in time series regression. biometrika, 75(2), 335-346. https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/75.2.335
  • Referans20 Potapov, A. P. (2020). Modeling the impact of resource factors on agricultural output. Ekonomicheskie i Sotsialnye Peremeny, 13(4), 154-168. https://doi.org/10.15838/esc.2020.4.70.9
  • Referans21 Republic of Türkiye Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources. (2025). Energy balance sheets [Data set] https://enerji.gov.tr/preview/tr/63d0007a-f593-458b-9610- 353eb2545897
  • Referans22 Rokicki, T., Perkowska, A., Klepacki, B., Bórawski, P., Bełdycka-Bórawska, A., & Michalski, K. (2021). Changes in energy consumption in agriculture in the EU countries. Energies, 14(6), 1570. https://doi.org/10.3390/en14061570
  • Referans23 Shen, D., Liang, H., & Shi, W. (2023). Rural population aging, capital deepening, and agricultural labor productivity. Sustainability, 15(10), 8331.https://doi.org/10.3390/su15108331
  • Referans24 TURKSTAT. (2025a). Regional accounts [Data set]. https://biruni.tuik.gov.tr/medas/?locale=en
  • Referans25 TURKSTAT. (2025b). Crop production statistics [Data set]. https://biruni.tuik.gov.tr/medas/?locale=en
  • Referans26 TURKSTAT. (2025c). Greenhouse gas emission statistics [Data set]. https://data.tuik.gov.tr/
  • Referans27 TURKSTAT. (2025d). Consumer price index [Data set]. https://data.tuik.gov.tr/
  • Referans28 Uçar, M., Ülger, M., Atamer, M. A., & Alptürker, H. (2025). Tarımsal verimlilik, ekonomik büyüme ve karbon emisyonu arasındaki ilişki: Türk Cumhuriyetlerinden kanıtlar. Tarım Ekonomisi Dergisi, 31(2), 389-404. https://doi.org/10.24181/tarekoder.1686846
  • Referans29 Wicki, L., Dudek, H., Parzonko, A., Kusz, D., & Naglis-Liepa, K. (2025). Factors Influencing the Productivity of Direct Energy Inputs in EU Agriculture. Sustainability, 17(3), 1217.https://doi.org/10.3390/su17031217
  • Referans30 World Bank. (2025a). Employment in agriculture (% of total employment) (modeled ILO estimate) [Data set]. https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SL.AGR.EMPL.ZS
  • Referans31 World Bank. (2025b). World development indicators [Data set]. https://databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators
  • Referans 32 Zafeiriou, E., & Azam, M. (2017). CO₂ emissions and economic performance in EU agriculture: Some evidence from Mediterranean countries. Ecological Indicators, 81, 104-114. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2017.05.039

The Impact of Productivity and Environmental Indicators on the Turkish Agricultural Sector

Yıl 2026, Sayı: 17 , 1 - 18 , 31.03.2026
https://doi.org/10.55119/artuklukaime.1898436
https://izlik.org/JA38GS29AM

Öz

The aim of this study is to examine the relationship between the share of the agricultural sector in production and productivity indicators in Türkiye. In this context, labor productivity, energy efficiency, and carbon dioxide intensity for the agricultural sector were constructed using variables from 1991-2022, and their effects on the agricultural sector were investigated. Due to the mixed stationarity of the series, the ARDL method was chosen. The results confirm the existence of a cointegration relationship between the variables. Furthermore, according to long-term estimation results, labor and energy efficiency positively affect the share of agriculture in production, while emission intensity suggests a negative impact. The findings reveal that the agricultural sector and the structural transformation experienced in Türkiye are influenced by productivity indicators and climate and environmental conditions.

Kaynakça

  • Referans1 Bagherzadeh, M., & Shigemitsu, M. (2021). Building the resilience of Turkey’s agricultural sector to droughts. OECD Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Papers. No. 167, OECD Publishing, Paris, https://doi.org/10.1787/75430b86-en
  • Refrans2 Benedek, A., Rokicki, T., & Szeberényi, A. (2023). Bibliometric evaluation of energy efficiency in agriculture. Energies, 16(16), 5942. https://doi.org/10.3390/en16165942
  • Referans3 Bilenko, Y. (2022). Labor productivity in the agriculture, structural shifts and economic growth in the Central and Eastern European countries. Agricultural and Resource Economics: International Scientific E-Journal, 8(4), 5-32. https://doi.org/10.22004/AG.ECON.330349
  • Referans4 Chandio, A. A., Akram, W., Ahmad, F., & Ahmad, M. (2020). Dynamic relationship among agriculture-energy-forestry and carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions: empirical evidence from China. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 27(27), 34078-34089. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-020-09560-z
  • Referans5 Dickey, D. A., & Fuller, W. A. (1979). Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74(366a), 427-431. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1979.10482531
  • Referans5 Eshete, Z. S., Mulatu, D. W., & Gatiso, T. G. (2020). CO₂ emissions, agricultural productivity and welfare in Ethiopia. International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management, 12(5), 687-704. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJCCSM07-2019-0046
  • Referans6 Farah, A. A., Mohamed, M. A., Musse, O. S. H., & Nor, B. A. (2025). The multifaceted impact of climate change on agricultural productivity: A systematic literature review of SCOPUS-indexed studies (2015–2024). Discover Sustainability, 6(1), 397. https://doi.org/10.1007/s43621-025-01229-2
  • Referans7 Fedulova, I., Voronkova, O. Y., Zhuravlev, P., Gerasimova, E., Glyzina, M., & Alekhina, N. A. (2019). Labor productivity and its role in the sustainable development of economy: On the example of a region. Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Issues, 7(2), 1059. https://doi.org/10.9770/jesi.2019.7.2(19)
  • Referans8 Habib-ur-Rahman, M., Ahmad, A., Raza, A., Hasnain, M. U., Alharby, H. F., Alzahrani, Y. M., ... & El Sabagh, A. (2022). Impact of climate change on agricultural production; Issues, challenges, and opportunities in Asia. Frontiers in Plant Science, 13, 925548. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpls.2022.925548
  • Referans9 Hossain, M. A., & Chen, S. (2022). The decoupling study of agricultural energy-driven CO₂ emissions from agricultural sector development. International Journal of Environmental Science and Technology, 19(5), 4509-4524. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13762-021-03346-7
  • Referans10 Hunt, R. C. (2000). Labor productivity and agricultural development: Boserup revisited. Human Ecology, 28(2), 251-277. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1007072120891
  • Referans11 Liu, J., Wang, H., Rahman, S., & Sriboonchitta, S. (2021). Energy efficiency, energy conservation and determinants in the agricultural sector in emerging economies. Agriculture, 11(8), 773. https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture11080773
  • Referans12 Liu, J., Wang, H., Rahman, S., & Sriboonchitta, S. (2021). Energy efficiency, energy conservation and determinants in the agricultural sector in emerging economies. Agriculture, 11(8), 773. https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture11080773
  • Referans13 Luo, Y., Long, X., Wu, C., & Zhang, J. (2017). Decoupling CO₂ emissions from economic growth in agricultural sector across 30 Chinese provinces from 1997 to 2014. Journal of Cleaner Production, 159, 220-228. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2017.05.076
  • Referans14 Mahmood, H., Alkhateeb, T. T. Y., Al-Qahtani, M. M. Z., Allam, Z., Ahmad, N., & Furqan, M. (2019). Agriculture development and CO₂ emissions nexus in Saudi Arabia. PloS One, 14(12), e0225865. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0225865
  • Referans15 Makutėniene, D., Balezentis, T., & Streimikiene, D. (2016). Energy use and intensity in agriculture across European countries. Montenegrin Journal of Economics, 12(1), 85-93. https://doi.org/10.14254/1800-5845/2016.12-1.5
  • Referans16 Moghaddasi, R., & Pour, A. A. (2016). Energy consumption and total factor productivity growth in Iranian agriculture. Energy Reports, 2, 218-220. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egyr.2016.08.004
  • Referans17 Pelletier, N., Audsley, E., Brodt, S., Garnett, T., Henriksson, P., Kendall, A., ... & Troell, M. (2011). Energy intensity of agriculture and food systems. Annual Review of Environment and Resources, 36(1), 223-246. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurevenviron-081710-161014
  • Referans18 Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289-326. https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.616
  • Referans19 Phillips, P. C., & Perron, P. (1988). Testing for a unit root in time series regression. biometrika, 75(2), 335-346. https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/75.2.335
  • Referans20 Potapov, A. P. (2020). Modeling the impact of resource factors on agricultural output. Ekonomicheskie i Sotsialnye Peremeny, 13(4), 154-168. https://doi.org/10.15838/esc.2020.4.70.9
  • Referans21 Republic of Türkiye Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources. (2025). Energy balance sheets [Data set] https://enerji.gov.tr/preview/tr/63d0007a-f593-458b-9610- 353eb2545897
  • Referans22 Rokicki, T., Perkowska, A., Klepacki, B., Bórawski, P., Bełdycka-Bórawska, A., & Michalski, K. (2021). Changes in energy consumption in agriculture in the EU countries. Energies, 14(6), 1570. https://doi.org/10.3390/en14061570
  • Referans23 Shen, D., Liang, H., & Shi, W. (2023). Rural population aging, capital deepening, and agricultural labor productivity. Sustainability, 15(10), 8331.https://doi.org/10.3390/su15108331
  • Referans24 TURKSTAT. (2025a). Regional accounts [Data set]. https://biruni.tuik.gov.tr/medas/?locale=en
  • Referans25 TURKSTAT. (2025b). Crop production statistics [Data set]. https://biruni.tuik.gov.tr/medas/?locale=en
  • Referans26 TURKSTAT. (2025c). Greenhouse gas emission statistics [Data set]. https://data.tuik.gov.tr/
  • Referans27 TURKSTAT. (2025d). Consumer price index [Data set]. https://data.tuik.gov.tr/
  • Referans28 Uçar, M., Ülger, M., Atamer, M. A., & Alptürker, H. (2025). Tarımsal verimlilik, ekonomik büyüme ve karbon emisyonu arasındaki ilişki: Türk Cumhuriyetlerinden kanıtlar. Tarım Ekonomisi Dergisi, 31(2), 389-404. https://doi.org/10.24181/tarekoder.1686846
  • Referans29 Wicki, L., Dudek, H., Parzonko, A., Kusz, D., & Naglis-Liepa, K. (2025). Factors Influencing the Productivity of Direct Energy Inputs in EU Agriculture. Sustainability, 17(3), 1217.https://doi.org/10.3390/su17031217
  • Referans30 World Bank. (2025a). Employment in agriculture (% of total employment) (modeled ILO estimate) [Data set]. https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SL.AGR.EMPL.ZS
  • Referans31 World Bank. (2025b). World development indicators [Data set]. https://databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators
  • Referans 32 Zafeiriou, E., & Azam, M. (2017). CO₂ emissions and economic performance in EU agriculture: Some evidence from Mediterranean countries. Ecological Indicators, 81, 104-114. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2017.05.039
Toplam 33 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil İngilizce
Konular Zaman Serileri Analizi, Tarım Ekonomisi
Bölüm Araştırma Makalesi
Yazarlar

Hakan Yıldız 0000-0002-3611-2755

Gönderilme Tarihi 26 Şubat 2026
Kabul Tarihi 19 Mart 2026
Yayımlanma Tarihi 31 Mart 2026
DOI https://doi.org/10.55119/artuklukaime.1898436
IZ https://izlik.org/JA38GS29AM
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2026 Sayı: 17

Kaynak Göster

APA Yıldız, H. (2026). The Impact of Productivity and Environmental Indicators on the Turkish Agricultural Sector. Artuklu Kaime, 17, 1-18. https://doi.org/10.55119/artuklukaime.1898436

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