AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF THE FACTORS DETERMINE UNEMPLOYMENT IN TURKEY

Cilt: 26 Sayı: 3-4 23 Ekim 2012
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AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF THE FACTORS DETERMINE UNEMPLOYMENT IN TURKEY

Öz

In this study, determinants of unemployment for Turkey has been investigated with the help of Johansen Co-integration Method for the period 2000:Q1-2011Q1. According to findings a co-integration relation has been founded between variables; increases in confidence index of real sector decrease unemployment rate as expected but increases in the number of collective bargaining agreements for private sector have an increasing impact on unemployment. And according to Error Correction Model’s result; the error correction term coefficient (ECt-1) is negative and statistically significant as expected. Eventually approximately 23% deviations from the long-run equilibrium value eliminate in each period. 

Anahtar Kelimeler

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Kaynakça

  1. Aktar, İ. and Öztürk, L. (2009) “Can Unemployment Be Cured By Economic Growth and Foreign Direct Investment in Turkey?”, International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, (27): 203-211.
  2. Amisano, G. and Serati, M. (2002) “What Goes Up Sometimes Stays Up: Shocks and Institutions As Determinants of Unemployment Persistence”, Liuc Papers Serie Economia e Impresa, (111): 1-26.
  3. Baccaro, L. and Rei, D. (2005) “Institutional Determinants of Unemployment in OECD Countries: A Time Series Cross-Section Analysis (1960-98)”, Decent Work Research Programme, (160): 1-55.
  4. Bakare, A. S. (2011) “The Determinants of Urban Unemployment Crisis in Nigeria: An Econometric Analysis”, Journal of Emerging Trends in Economics and Management Sciences (JETEMS), 2(3): 184-192.
  5. Bassaini, A. and Duval, R. (2006) “The Determinants of Unemployment Across OECD Countries: Reassessing The Role of Policies ans Institutions”, OECD Economic Studies, (42): 7-86.
  6. Cholifihani, M. (2008), “A Cointegration Analysis of Public Debt Service and GDP in Indonesia”, Journal of Management and Social Sciences, 4(2): 68-81.
  7. Dickey, D. and Fuller, W. A. (1979) “Distribution of the Estimates for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root”, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74: 427-431.
  8. Downes, A. S. (1998) “An Econometric Analysis of Unemployment in Trinidad and Tobago”, Office of The Chief Economist, Working Paper (381).
  9. Ece, D., Hamsici, T., Oral, E. (2005) “Building Up A Real Sector Business Confidence Index For Turkey”, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, Research and Monetary Policy Department.
  10. Enders, W. (1995) “Applied Econometric Time Series” First Edition, Wiley New York.

Kaynak Göster

APA
Peker, O., & Bölükbaş, M. (2012). AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF THE FACTORS DETERMINE UNEMPLOYMENT IN TURKEY. Atatürk Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, 26(3-4), 33-43. https://izlik.org/JA54KP97FL
AMA
1.Peker O, Bölükbaş M. AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF THE FACTORS DETERMINE UNEMPLOYMENT IN TURKEY. Trend Bus Econ. 2012;26(3-4):33-43. https://izlik.org/JA54KP97FL
Chicago
Peker, Osman, ve Mehmet Bölükbaş. 2012. “AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF THE FACTORS DETERMINE UNEMPLOYMENT IN TURKEY”. Atatürk Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi 26 (3-4): 33-43. https://izlik.org/JA54KP97FL.
EndNote
Peker O, Bölükbaş M (01 Ekim 2012) AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF THE FACTORS DETERMINE UNEMPLOYMENT IN TURKEY. Atatürk Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi 26 3-4 33–43.
IEEE
[1]O. Peker ve M. Bölükbaş, “AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF THE FACTORS DETERMINE UNEMPLOYMENT IN TURKEY”, Trend Bus Econ, c. 26, sy 3-4, ss. 33–43, Eki. 2012, [çevrimiçi]. Erişim adresi: https://izlik.org/JA54KP97FL
ISNAD
Peker, Osman - Bölükbaş, Mehmet. “AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF THE FACTORS DETERMINE UNEMPLOYMENT IN TURKEY”. Atatürk Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi 26/3-4 (01 Ekim 2012): 33-43. https://izlik.org/JA54KP97FL.
JAMA
1.Peker O, Bölükbaş M. AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF THE FACTORS DETERMINE UNEMPLOYMENT IN TURKEY. Trend Bus Econ. 2012;26:33–43.
MLA
Peker, Osman, ve Mehmet Bölükbaş. “AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF THE FACTORS DETERMINE UNEMPLOYMENT IN TURKEY”. Atatürk Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, c. 26, sy 3-4, Ekim 2012, ss. 33-43, https://izlik.org/JA54KP97FL.
Vancouver
1.Osman Peker, Mehmet Bölükbaş. AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF THE FACTORS DETERMINE UNEMPLOYMENT IN TURKEY. Trend Bus Econ [Internet]. 01 Ekim 2012;26(3-4):33-4. Erişim adresi: https://izlik.org/JA54KP97FL