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CURRENT ACCOUNT SUSTAINABILITY IN EMERGING MARKETS: AN ANALYSIS WITH LINEAR AND NONLINEAR PANEL UNIT ROOT TESTS

Cilt: 28 Sayı: 4 13 Ağustos 2014
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CURRENT ACCOUNT SUSTAINABILITY IN EMERGING MARKETS: AN ANALYSIS WITH LINEAR AND NONLINEAR PANEL UNIT ROOT TESTS

Öz

This study examines the sustainability of current account deficits of eight emerging market economies, namely Brazil, Colombia, Czech Republic, Hungary, Indonesia, Peru, Russia and South Africa, over the period of 1996Q1-2009Q4 by employing linear and nonlinear panel unit root tests along with sequential panel selection method. While the results of the linear panel unit root test give evidence of the stationarity for the current accounts of Russia and Indonesia, the nonlinear panel unit root test indicates that only the current account of Indonesia is stationary. In this respect, the main contribution of the paper to related literature is to indicate the importance of distinguishing the linear and nonlinear adjustment processes in examining the current account sustainability.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Current Account Sustainability, Nonlinearity, Panel Unit Root Tests, Sequential Panel Selection Method.

Kaynakça

  1. Apergis N., Katrakilidis, K.P. and Tabakis, N.M. (2000), “Current account deficit sustainability: the case of Greece”, Applied Economics Letters, 7(9), pp. 599–603.
  2. Aristovnik, A. (2006), “How sustainable are current account deficits in selected transition economies?”, Journal of Economics, 1(55), pp. 19-39.
  3. Arize A.C. (2002), “Imports and exports in 50 countries: tests of cointegration and structural breaks”, International Review of Economics and Finance, 11(1), pp. 101–115.
  4. Baharumshah, A. Z., Lau, E. and Fountas, S. (2003), “On the sustainability of current account deficits: evidence from four ASEAN countries”, Journal of Asian Economics, 14, pp. 465-487.
  5. Chen, S. W. (2010), “Testing for the Sustainability of the Current Account Deficit in Four Industrial Countries: A Revisitation”, Economics Bulletin, 30(2), pp. 1474-1495.
  6. Chortareas, G., Kapetanios, G. and Uctum, M. (2004), “An Investigation of Current Account Solvency in Latin America Using Non Linear Nonstationarity Tests”, Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics, 8(1), pp. 1-17.
  7. Chortareas, G. and Kapetanios, G. (2009), “Getting PPP right: identifying mean-reverting real exchange rates in panels”, Journal of Banking and Finance, 33, pp. 390–404.
  8. Christopoulos, D. and Leon-Ledesma, M. A. (2010), “Current account sustainability in the US: What did we really know about it?”, Journal of International Money and Finance, 29, pp. 442–459.
  9. Chu, H. P., Chang, T., Chang, H. L., Su, C.W., Yuan, Y. (2007), “Mean reversion in the current account of forty-eight African countries: evidence from the Panel SURADF test”, Physica A, 384, pp. 485–492. Clarida, R.H., Goretti, M. and Taylor, M.P. (2007), Are There Thresholds of Current Account Adjustment in the G7?, in G7 Current Account Imbalances: Sustainability and Adjustment, Clarida, R.H (ed.), University of Chicago Press
  10. Hamori, S. (2009), “The sustainability of trade accounts of the G-7 countries”, Applied Economics Letters, 16, pp. 1691-1694.

Kaynak Göster

APA
Bozoklu, Ş., & Yılancı, V. (2014). CURRENT ACCOUNT SUSTAINABILITY IN EMERGING MARKETS: AN ANALYSIS WITH LINEAR AND NONLINEAR PANEL UNIT ROOT TESTS. Atatürk Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, 28(4), 251-264. https://izlik.org/JA23MF43WB
AMA
1.Bozoklu Ş, Yılancı V. CURRENT ACCOUNT SUSTAINABILITY IN EMERGING MARKETS: AN ANALYSIS WITH LINEAR AND NONLINEAR PANEL UNIT ROOT TESTS. Trend Bus Econ. 2014;28(4):251-264. https://izlik.org/JA23MF43WB
Chicago
Bozoklu, Şeref, ve Veli Yılancı. 2014. “CURRENT ACCOUNT SUSTAINABILITY IN EMERGING MARKETS: AN ANALYSIS WITH LINEAR AND NONLINEAR PANEL UNIT ROOT TESTS”. Atatürk Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi 28 (4): 251-64. https://izlik.org/JA23MF43WB.
EndNote
Bozoklu Ş, Yılancı V (01 Kasım 2014) CURRENT ACCOUNT SUSTAINABILITY IN EMERGING MARKETS: AN ANALYSIS WITH LINEAR AND NONLINEAR PANEL UNIT ROOT TESTS. Atatürk Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi 28 4 251–264.
IEEE
[1]Ş. Bozoklu ve V. Yılancı, “CURRENT ACCOUNT SUSTAINABILITY IN EMERGING MARKETS: AN ANALYSIS WITH LINEAR AND NONLINEAR PANEL UNIT ROOT TESTS”, Trend Bus Econ, c. 28, sy 4, ss. 251–264, Kas. 2014, [çevrimiçi]. Erişim adresi: https://izlik.org/JA23MF43WB
ISNAD
Bozoklu, Şeref - Yılancı, Veli. “CURRENT ACCOUNT SUSTAINABILITY IN EMERGING MARKETS: AN ANALYSIS WITH LINEAR AND NONLINEAR PANEL UNIT ROOT TESTS”. Atatürk Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi 28/4 (01 Kasım 2014): 251-264. https://izlik.org/JA23MF43WB.
JAMA
1.Bozoklu Ş, Yılancı V. CURRENT ACCOUNT SUSTAINABILITY IN EMERGING MARKETS: AN ANALYSIS WITH LINEAR AND NONLINEAR PANEL UNIT ROOT TESTS. Trend Bus Econ. 2014;28:251–264.
MLA
Bozoklu, Şeref, ve Veli Yılancı. “CURRENT ACCOUNT SUSTAINABILITY IN EMERGING MARKETS: AN ANALYSIS WITH LINEAR AND NONLINEAR PANEL UNIT ROOT TESTS”. Atatürk Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, c. 28, sy 4, Kasım 2014, ss. 251-64, https://izlik.org/JA23MF43WB.
Vancouver
1.Şeref Bozoklu, Veli Yılancı. CURRENT ACCOUNT SUSTAINABILITY IN EMERGING MARKETS: AN ANALYSIS WITH LINEAR AND NONLINEAR PANEL UNIT ROOT TESTS. Trend Bus Econ [Internet]. 01 Kasım 2014;28(4):251-64. Erişim adresi: https://izlik.org/JA23MF43WB