ENFLASYON-BÜYÜME SÜRECİNDE SABİT SERMAYE YATIRIMLARI

Yıl 2006, Cilt: 20 Sayı: 1, 1 - 18, 27.11.2010

Harun Terzi Sabiha Oltulular

Öz

Bu çalışmada enflasyon-büyüme-sabit sermaye yatırımları
arasındaki ilişki korelasyon, zaman serileri analizleri ve eşanlı denklem sistemiyle
analiz edilmiştir. Enflasyon-büyüme ilişkisi toplam, kamu ve özel sabit sermaye
yatırımları ile üç ayrı model kurularak incelenmiştir. Modeller sabit sermaye
yatırımları-büyüme ilişkisinin pozitif, ancak enflasyon-büyüme ve enflasyon-sabit
sermaye yatırımları ilişkisinin negatif olduğunu göstermektedir. Mundell-Tobin
etkisinin aksine neoklasik iktisadi görüşü destekleyen bu sonuçlar, Türkiye
ekonomisinde enflasyon-büyüme ve enflasyon-sabit sermaye yatırımları
ilişkisinin negatif olduğunu ortaya koymaktadır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Enflasyon, büyüme, sabit sermaye yatırımları, regresyon, DEKK ve 2AEKK

Kaynakça

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