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SATIN ALMA GÜCÜ PARİTESİNİN GEÇERLİLİĞİNİN SIFIR FREKANSTA SPEKTRUM TAHMİNCİSİNE DAYANAN BİRİM KÖK TESTLERİ İLE İNCELENMESİ

Yıl 2006, Cilt: 20 Sayı: 1, 121 - 137, 27.11.2010

Öz

Serilerde birim kökün varlığının için test edilmesinde, varolan
Dickey-Fuller birim kök testlerinin yanında spektral tahmin yöntemlerine
dayanan birim kök testleri de bulunmaktadır. Bu testler sıfır frekansta spektrum
tahmincisine dayanmaktadır. Bu çalışmada amaç, satın alma gücü paritesinin
geçerliliği hem Türkiye hem de Birleşik Krallık için Phillips-Perron ( PP,1988),
Kwiatkowski, Phillips, Schmidt ve Shin (KPSS, 1992) ve Elliot, Rothenberg ve
Stock Nokta Optimum (ERS, 1996) testleri ile analiz etmek ve test sonuçlarını
karşılaştırmaktır. Çalışmada mutlak satın alma gücü paritesinin hem Türkiye
hem de Birleşik Krallık için geçerli olmadığı sonucuna varılmıştır.

Kaynakça

  • Andrews, D.W.K (1991), “Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation”, Econometrica, 59(3), ss.817 858.
  • Cheung Y.W. ve Lai, K.S.(1998), “Parity Reversion in Real Exchange Rates During the Post-Bretton Woods Periods”, Journal of International Money Finance,17, ss.597 614.
  • Deloach S.B. (1997), “Do Relative Prices of Non-Traded Goods Determine Long-Run Real Exchange Rates?”,The Canadian Journal of Economics, 30(4), ss.891 909.
  • Dickey D.A.ve Fuller W.A.(1981), “Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root”, Econometrica, 49(4), ss.1057 1072.
  • Dickey, D.A.ve Fuller W.A. (1979), “Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Seres With a Unit Root”, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74, 366, ss.427 431.
  • Doğanlar M. ve Özmen M. (1999), “Gelişmekte Olan Ekonomiler için Reel Döviz Kurunun Durağanlığının Test Edilmesi”, IV. Ulusal Ekonometri ve İstatistik Sempozyum Bildirileri, Antalya, ss. 5 15.
  • Elliot, G., Rothenberg T. J. ve Stock, J.H. (1996), “Efficient Tests for an Autoregressive Unit Root”, Econometrica, 64, ss.813 836.
  • Gerber,J., (1999), International Economics, Addison-Wesley Educational Publisher Inc., USA.
  • Gujarati, D.N.(1995), Basic Econometrics, Third Edition, McGraw-Hill, Inc., USA.
  • Hamilton, J. D. (1994), Time Series Analysis, Princeton University Pres, New Jersey.
  • Hobijn, B. (1998), Generalizations of the KPSS Test for Stationary, Econometric Institute Report, no: 9802/A, (http://www.newyorkfed.org/researh /economists/hobijn/kpsstest.pdf)
  • Krugman, P.R. ve Obstfeld M.(1997), International Economics Theory and Policy, Addison-Wesley Educational Publisher Inc, Fourth Edition, USA.
  • Kwiatkowski, D. , Phillips, P.C. B. , Schmidt, P. ve Shin, Y. (1992), “Testing The Null Hypothesis of Stationarity Against the Alternative of a Unit Root: How Sure Are We That The Economic Time Series Have a Unit Root?”, Journal of Econometrics, 54, ss.159 178.
  • Luo, R.H.(2003), On Purchasing Power Parity Puzzle: The Case of New Zealand, Faculty of Business Auckland University of Technology, New Zealand.
  • McNown R, Wallace M.S.(1994), “Cointegration Tests of The Monetary Exchange Rate Model for Three High-Inflation Economies”, Journal of Money,Credit and Banking, 26(3), ss.396 411.
  • Newey W.K. ve West K.D. (1994), “Automatic Lag Selection in Covariance Matrix Estimation”, The Review of Economic Studies, 61(4), ss.631 653.
  • Patterson, K.(2000), An Introduction to Applied Econometrics : A Time Series Approach, Palgrave, NewYork .
  • Phillips, P.C. B ve Perron, P. (1988), “Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression”, Biometrika, 75(2), ss.335 346.
  • Robinson, P.M (2004), Robust Covariance Matrix Estimation: “HAC” Estimates with Long Memory/ Antipersistence Correction (personal.lse.ac.uk /robinso1/robust-1.pdf)
  • Wickremasinghe G.B.,(2004), Purchasing Power Parity Hypothesis in Developing Economies: Some Empirical Evidence from Sri Lanka, Monash University, Victoria.
  • Yarbrough B.V ve Yarbrough R.M.,(1997), The World Economy Trade and Finance, The Dryden Press, Fourth Edition, Florida.
Yıl 2006, Cilt: 20 Sayı: 1, 121 - 137, 27.11.2010

Öz

Kaynakça

  • Andrews, D.W.K (1991), “Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation”, Econometrica, 59(3), ss.817 858.
  • Cheung Y.W. ve Lai, K.S.(1998), “Parity Reversion in Real Exchange Rates During the Post-Bretton Woods Periods”, Journal of International Money Finance,17, ss.597 614.
  • Deloach S.B. (1997), “Do Relative Prices of Non-Traded Goods Determine Long-Run Real Exchange Rates?”,The Canadian Journal of Economics, 30(4), ss.891 909.
  • Dickey D.A.ve Fuller W.A.(1981), “Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root”, Econometrica, 49(4), ss.1057 1072.
  • Dickey, D.A.ve Fuller W.A. (1979), “Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Seres With a Unit Root”, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74, 366, ss.427 431.
  • Doğanlar M. ve Özmen M. (1999), “Gelişmekte Olan Ekonomiler için Reel Döviz Kurunun Durağanlığının Test Edilmesi”, IV. Ulusal Ekonometri ve İstatistik Sempozyum Bildirileri, Antalya, ss. 5 15.
  • Elliot, G., Rothenberg T. J. ve Stock, J.H. (1996), “Efficient Tests for an Autoregressive Unit Root”, Econometrica, 64, ss.813 836.
  • Gerber,J., (1999), International Economics, Addison-Wesley Educational Publisher Inc., USA.
  • Gujarati, D.N.(1995), Basic Econometrics, Third Edition, McGraw-Hill, Inc., USA.
  • Hamilton, J. D. (1994), Time Series Analysis, Princeton University Pres, New Jersey.
  • Hobijn, B. (1998), Generalizations of the KPSS Test for Stationary, Econometric Institute Report, no: 9802/A, (http://www.newyorkfed.org/researh /economists/hobijn/kpsstest.pdf)
  • Krugman, P.R. ve Obstfeld M.(1997), International Economics Theory and Policy, Addison-Wesley Educational Publisher Inc, Fourth Edition, USA.
  • Kwiatkowski, D. , Phillips, P.C. B. , Schmidt, P. ve Shin, Y. (1992), “Testing The Null Hypothesis of Stationarity Against the Alternative of a Unit Root: How Sure Are We That The Economic Time Series Have a Unit Root?”, Journal of Econometrics, 54, ss.159 178.
  • Luo, R.H.(2003), On Purchasing Power Parity Puzzle: The Case of New Zealand, Faculty of Business Auckland University of Technology, New Zealand.
  • McNown R, Wallace M.S.(1994), “Cointegration Tests of The Monetary Exchange Rate Model for Three High-Inflation Economies”, Journal of Money,Credit and Banking, 26(3), ss.396 411.
  • Newey W.K. ve West K.D. (1994), “Automatic Lag Selection in Covariance Matrix Estimation”, The Review of Economic Studies, 61(4), ss.631 653.
  • Patterson, K.(2000), An Introduction to Applied Econometrics : A Time Series Approach, Palgrave, NewYork .
  • Phillips, P.C. B ve Perron, P. (1988), “Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression”, Biometrika, 75(2), ss.335 346.
  • Robinson, P.M (2004), Robust Covariance Matrix Estimation: “HAC” Estimates with Long Memory/ Antipersistence Correction (personal.lse.ac.uk /robinso1/robust-1.pdf)
  • Wickremasinghe G.B.,(2004), Purchasing Power Parity Hypothesis in Developing Economies: Some Empirical Evidence from Sri Lanka, Monash University, Victoria.
  • Yarbrough B.V ve Yarbrough R.M.,(1997), The World Economy Trade and Finance, The Dryden Press, Fourth Edition, Florida.
Toplam 21 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil tr;en
Bölüm Makaleler
Yazarlar

Ebru Çağlayan Bu kişi benim

İrem Saçaklı Bu kişi benim

Yayımlanma Tarihi 27 Kasım 2010
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2006 Cilt: 20 Sayı: 1

Kaynak Göster

APA Çağlayan, E., & Saçaklı, İ. (2010). SATIN ALMA GÜCÜ PARİTESİNİN GEÇERLİLİĞİNİN SIFIR FREKANSTA SPEKTRUM TAHMİNCİSİNE DAYANAN BİRİM KÖK TESTLERİ İLE İNCELENMESİ. Atatürk Üniversitesi İktisadi Ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, 20(1), 121-137.

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