TÜRKİYE'DE DIŞA AÇIKLIK VE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME

Yıl 2008, Cilt: 22 Sayı: 2, 57 - 80, 27.11.2010

Serdar Kurt Metin Berber

Öz

Bu çalışma, 1989:Q1- 2003:Q4 dönemini kapsayan verilerle dışa
açıklık ve ekonomik büyüme değişkenleri arasındaki nedensellik ilişkilerini ve
dinamik etkileşimleri VAR ve varyans ayrıştırması yöntemlerini kullanarak
araştırmıştır. Dışa açıklık değişkenleri olarak, dış ticaret hacminin ve ithalatın
RGSMH’ya oranları ile ihracat artışı kullanılmıştır. Analizlerden elde edilen
sonuçlar dışa açıklık ve ekonomik büyüme arasında çift yönlü bir nedensellik
ilişkisi olduğunu göstermektedir. Bununla birlikte, büyüme ve ithalat arasında
çift yönlü, ithalattan ihracata ve ihracattan büyümeye doğru tek yönlü
nedensellik ilişkileri olduğu belirlenmiştir. Çalışmanın sonuçları, içsel büyüme
teorilerinin öne sürdüğü dışa açıklığın ekonomik büyümeyi arttıracağı hipotezini
desteklemektedir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Açıklık, Ekonomik Büyüme, İçsel büyüme Teorileri, VAR

Kaynakça

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