TURKEY’S OBJECTIVE OF FULL MEMBERSHIP IN THE EU WITH REFERENCE TO MAASTRICHT CRITERIA

Yıl 2014, Cilt: 28 Sayı: 2, 271 - 294, 25.03.2014

Halit Aka , Bilge Gürsoy

Öz

The study aims to analyze whether Turkey has internalized its goal of full membership in the European Union by taking into account Turkey’s compliance with the Maastricht criteria. The study uses a cointegration approach and finds that a long-term relationship exists between the ratios of inflation rates, interest rates and budget deficit ratios with Gross Domestic Product. However, no long-term relationship was found regarding the ratio of public debt to Gross Domestic Product. The study suggests that Turkey has internalized its objective of full European Union membership from an economic perspective and that it has not deviated from this objective.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Maastricht Criteria, European Integration, Turkey, European Union

Turkey’s Objective of Full Membership in the EU with reference to Maastricht Criteria

Öz

Çalışmanın amacı, Türkiye’nin Maastricht kriterlerine uyumunu dikkate alarak, Avrupa Birliği tam üyelik hedefini içselleştirip içselleştirmediğini analiz etmektir. Çalışma eş bütünleşme yöntemini benimsemekte; enflasyon, faiz ve bütçe açığının gayri safi yurtiçi hâsılaya oranlarında uzun dönemli bir ilişki tespit etmektir. Ancak,  kamu borcunun gayri safi yurtiçi hâsılaya oranında uzun dönemli bir ilişki bulunamamıştır. Sonuç olarak, çalışma Türkiye'nin ekonomik açıdan Avrupa Birliği tam üyelik hedefini içselleştirdiğini ve bu amacından sapmadığını ortaya koymaktadır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Maastricht Kriterleri, Avrupa Bütünleşmesi, Türkiye, Avrupa Birliği

Kaynakça

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