Araştırma Makalesi

Dynamics and Development Prospects of Kazakhstan–Azerbaijan Trade Relations in the Context of the Caspian Sea

Cilt: 13 Sayı: 2 22 Nisan 2026
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Dynamics and Development Prospects of Kazakhstan–Azerbaijan Trade Relations in the Context of the Caspian Sea

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This article examines the current state and future prospects of trade relations between Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan within the Caspian Sea region. Using foreign trade turnover data for the period 2005–2023, long-term trends and short-term economic fluctuations are evaluated through the Hodrick–Prescott and Baxter–King filters. The BDS test identifies the existence of non-random patterns and structural dependence in the time series. The results indicate a sustained upward tendency in bilateral trade relations, accompanied by periodic fluctuations shaped by regional and global economic developments. In light of these findings, the study offers several policy recommendations, including the modernization of the Baku and Aktau ports, the simplification of customs procedures, and the expansion of investment and transport-logistics cooperation between the two countries.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Kaynakça

  1. Azərbaycan Respublikası Dövlət Statistika Komitəsi. (n.d.). Azərbaycanın xarici ticarəti. https://stat.gov.az/source/trade/az/f_trade/xt002_1.xls
  2. AZERTAC. (2023a, April 6). Azerbaijani, Kazakh companies sign agreements. https://azertag.az/en/xeber/azerbaijani_kazakh_companies_sign_agreements-2560520
  3. AZERTAC. (2023b, March 25). SOCAR starts transit of Kazakh oil. https://azertag.az/en/xeber/socar_starts_transit_of_kazakh_oil-2542970
  4. Huseynov, R. (2017). Azerbaijan–Kazakhstan relations: Current situation and prospects. Przegląd Politologiczny, 22(3), 139–160. https://doi.org/10.14746/pp.2017.22.3.11
  5. Ibraev, R. (2000, October 25). U nashego sotrudnichestva strategicheskiy kharakter: O svyazyakh Azerbaidzhana i Kazakhstana. Bakinskiy rabochiy, p. 3. (in Russian).
  6. İmanquliyev, B. (2023, April 12). Azərbaycan–Qazaxıstan: İki regionun iki lideri: Prezident İlham Əliyev: “Ölkələrimiz arasında müttəfiqlik münasibətləri bizim qarşılıqlı fəaliyyətimizin gələcək inkişafının möhkəm təməlidir”. Azərbaycan, (75), p. 5.
  7. Mahmudov, R. Z. (2005). Gosudarstvennoye regulirovaniye Azerbaidzhano-Kazakhstanskikh ekonomicheskikh otnosheniy. Audit, (2–3), 58–61. (in Russian).
  8. Musayev, M. G. (2010). Problema statusa Kaspiya: K istorii voprosa. XXI vek: Itogi proshlogo i problemy nastoyashchego, (13), 52–56. (in Russian).

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil

İngilizce

Konular

Genel Türk Tarihi (Diğer)

Bölüm

Araştırma Makalesi

Yayımlanma Tarihi

22 Nisan 2026

Gönderilme Tarihi

30 Kasım 2025

Kabul Tarihi

22 Nisan 2026

Yayımlandığı Sayı

Yıl 2026 Cilt: 13 Sayı: 2

Kaynak Göster

APA
Shukurlu, A. (2026). Dynamics and Development Prospects of Kazakhstan–Azerbaijan Trade Relations in the Context of the Caspian Sea. Akademik Tarih ve Düşünce Dergisi, 13(2). https://izlik.org/JA46GD69HY
AMA
1.Shukurlu A. Dynamics and Development Prospects of Kazakhstan–Azerbaijan Trade Relations in the Context of the Caspian Sea. ATDD. 2026;13(2). https://izlik.org/JA46GD69HY
Chicago
Shukurlu, Asmar. 2026. “Dynamics and Development Prospects of Kazakhstan–Azerbaijan Trade Relations in the Context of the Caspian Sea”. Akademik Tarih ve Düşünce Dergisi 13 (2). https://izlik.org/JA46GD69HY.
EndNote
Shukurlu A (01 Nisan 2026) Dynamics and Development Prospects of Kazakhstan–Azerbaijan Trade Relations in the Context of the Caspian Sea. Akademik Tarih ve Düşünce Dergisi 13 2
IEEE
[1]A. Shukurlu, “Dynamics and Development Prospects of Kazakhstan–Azerbaijan Trade Relations in the Context of the Caspian Sea”, ATDD, c. 13, sy 2, Nis. 2026, [çevrimiçi]. Erişim adresi: https://izlik.org/JA46GD69HY
ISNAD
Shukurlu, Asmar. “Dynamics and Development Prospects of Kazakhstan–Azerbaijan Trade Relations in the Context of the Caspian Sea”. Akademik Tarih ve Düşünce Dergisi 13/2 (01 Nisan 2026). https://izlik.org/JA46GD69HY.
JAMA
1.Shukurlu A. Dynamics and Development Prospects of Kazakhstan–Azerbaijan Trade Relations in the Context of the Caspian Sea. ATDD. 2026;13. Available at https://izlik.org/JA46GD69HY.
MLA
Shukurlu, Asmar. “Dynamics and Development Prospects of Kazakhstan–Azerbaijan Trade Relations in the Context of the Caspian Sea”. Akademik Tarih ve Düşünce Dergisi, c. 13, sy 2, Nisan 2026, https://izlik.org/JA46GD69HY.
Vancouver
1.Asmar Shukurlu. Dynamics and Development Prospects of Kazakhstan–Azerbaijan Trade Relations in the Context of the Caspian Sea. ATDD [Internet]. 01 Nisan 2026;13(2). Erişim adresi: https://izlik.org/JA46GD69HY

 

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