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Prior Rebel Experience of Leaders and Its Influence on Physical Integrity Rights

Yıl 2023, Cilt: 8 Sayı: 2, 173 - 196, 31.12.2023
https://doi.org/10.62393/aurum.1329167

Öz

Previous research shows that leaders’ prior experiences influence their policy decisions. The existing human rights literature focuses mainly on country-level factors, such as economic development, regime type and the conflict situations to explain violations of rights. This research contributes to a flourishing literature on leaders’ role in upholding rights by theorizing why and how the prior experiences of leaders affect the propensity to violate physical integrity rights. It is argued in this article that leaders with a rebel experience, and who have experienced victory in rebellion are less likely to respect human rights, while those who have suffered defeat are more likely to do so. Both types of leaders have demonstrated a willingness to take risks, but in the former case, victory reinforces their belief in taking risks, leading them to keep risk-taking, whereas in the latter, defeat teaches leaders to become more risk averse. Infringing on human rights is indeed risky, potentially leading to negative consequences such as a damaged reputation, accountability, and social upheaval. The empirical analysis of the research demonstrates that having a rebel background alone does not inherently influence a leader's behavior regarding human rights; what matters is the outcome of the rebellion. The probability of showing respect for rights decreases when a rebellion is won, while it increases when there has been a previous loss in rebellion. The article highlights the importance of using leaders, rather than just states, as a unit of analysis to explain why certain countries commit human rights violations.

Etik Beyan

In line with the “COPE-Code of Conduct and Best Practice Guidelines for Journal Editors” the following statements are included: The author of this study declared that the Ethics Committee approval is not required for this study.

Destekleyen Kurum

The University of Mississippi

Teşekkür

The author would like to thank Benjamin T. Jones for his helpful feedback on this research.

Kaynakça

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  • Bae, J. (2022). Human Rights Versus National Security in Public Opinion on Foreign Affairs South Korea Views of North Korea 2008-2019. KDI School of Public Policy & Management Paper.
  • Barry, C. M., Chad Clay, K., & Flynn, M. E. (2013). Avoiding the spotlight: Human rights shaming and foreign direct investment. International Studies Quarterly, 57(3), 532-544.
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  • Buyse, A. (2018). Squeezing civic space: restrictions on civil society organizations and the linkages with human rights, The International Journal of Human Rights, 22(8), 966-988, DOI: 10.1080/13642987.2018.1492916
  • Cameron, A. C., & Miller, D. L. (2015). A practitioner’s guide to cluster-robust inference. Journal of Human Resources, 50(2), 317-372.
  • Campbell, W. K., Bush, C. P., Brunell, A. B., & Shelton, J. (2005). Understanding the social costs of narcissism: The case of the tragedy of the commons. Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 31(10), 1358-1368.
  • Chaudhry, S., Karim, S., & Scroggs, M. K. (2021). How leaders’ experiences and rebellion shape military recruitment during civil war. Journal of Peace Research, 58(5), 915–929. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022343320959381
  • Chetty, Priya (2016, Sep 07). Limitations and weakness of quantitative research methods. Knowledge Tank; Project Guru. https://www.projectguru.in/limitations-quantitative-research/
  • Chiozza, G., & Goemans, H. E. (2011). Leaders and international conflict. Cambridge University Press.
  • Cingranelli, D. L., & Richards, D. L. (1999). Measuring human rights, 1945-1998. Human Rights Quarterly, 21(2), 410-461.
  • Cingranelli, D. L., & Richards, D. L. (2012). The CIRI human rights dataset. In Human Rights in the United States (pp. 107-128). Springer.
  • Cohen, J. A. (2019, September). Communist China’s painful human rights story. Council on Foreign Relations. Retrieved from https://www.cfr.org/article/communist-chinas-painful-human-rights-story
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  • Cordell, C., Finan, F., Kramon, E., & Robinson, A. (2022). Elections, violence, and human rights in sub-Saharan Africa. Cambridge University Press.
  • Corr, P. J. (2004). Reinforcement sensitivity theory and personality. Neuroscience and Biobehavioral Reviews, 28(3): 317–32.
  • Cottle, S. (2011). Media and the Arab uprisings of 2011. Journalism, 12(5), 647-659.
  • Davenport, C. (1995). Multi-dimensional threat perception and state repression: An inquiry into why states apply negative sanctions. American Journal of Political Science, 39(3), 683-713.
  • De Mesquita, B. B., Morrow, J. D., Siverson, R. M., & Smith, A. (2002). Political institutions, policy choice and the survival of leaders. British Journal of Political Science, 32(4), 559-590.
  • Demir, I. (2017). Overconfidence and risk taking in foreign policy decision making: The case of Turkey’s Syria policy. Springer.
  • Dhir, S., & Mital, A. (2012). Decision‐making for mergers and acquisitions: the role of agency issues and behavioral biases. Strategic Change, 21(1‐2), 59-69.
  • Doherty, D., & Wolak, J. (2012). When do the ends justify the means? Evaluating procedural fairness. Political Behavior, 34, 301-323.
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  • Einsiedel, J. (2020). The effectiveness of international civil society organizations in protecting human rights in countries with limited human rights. A case study of Turkmenistan. DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.12468.68489.
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  • Finnemore, M., & Sikkink, K. (1998). International norm dynamics and political change. International Organization, 52(4), 887-917.
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Liderlerin Geçmiş İsyan Deneyimi ve Bu Deneyimin Kişi Dokunulmazlığı Hakkı Üzerindeki Etkisi

Yıl 2023, Cilt: 8 Sayı: 2, 173 - 196, 31.12.2023
https://doi.org/10.62393/aurum.1329167

Öz

Önceki araştırmalar, liderlerin önceki deneyimlerinin, onların siyasi kararlarını etkilediğini göstermektedir. Mevcut insan hakları literatürü, hak ihlallerinin nedenlerini, temel olarak ekonomik gelişme, rejim tipi ve çatışma durumları gibi ülke düzeyindeki etkenler ile açıklamaktadır. Bu araştırma, liderlerin önceki deneyimlerinin, onların kişinin dokunulmazlığı hakkını ihlal etme eğilimini neden ve nasıl etkilediğini açıklama ve liderlerin bu hakları korumadaki rolüne ilişkin olarak gelişen literatüre katkı sağlama hedefi gütmektedir. Bu makale, isyan deneyimine sahip ve isyanda zafer kazanmış liderlerin insan haklarına saygı gösterme olasılıklarının daha düşük olduğu, buna karşın yenilgiye uğramış olanların bunu yapma olasılığının daha yüksek olduğu hipotezini savunmaktadır. Makale bu hipotezi şuna dayandırmaktadır; her iki lider türü de risk almaya yönelik isteklilik göstermiş iken, muhtemel olarak, ilk durumda zafer, risk alma inancını pekiştirerek onları risk almaya devam etmeye yönlendirirken, ikinci durumda yenilgi, liderlere riskten kaçınmayı öğretmektedir. İnsan haklarının ihlali risk taşıyıp, potansiyel olarak itibarın zedelenmesi, hesap verme sorumluluğu ve toplumsal kargaşa gibi olumsuz sonuçlara yol açabilir. Makalenin bulguları şunları göstermektedir; tek başına isyan deneyimine sahip olmak bir liderin insan haklarıyla ilgili davranışını esasen etkilememektedir, fakat etkili olan isyan deneyiminin sonucudur. Haklara saygı gösterme olasılığı, bir isyan kazanıldığında azalırken, daha önce bir isyanda kayıp verildiğinde artmaktadır. Bu araştırma, bazı ülkelerde neden insan hakları ihlallerinin işlendiğini açıklamak için, bir analiz birimi olarak devletlerden ziyade liderleri kullanmanın önemine vurgu yapmaktadır.

Etik Beyan

“COPE-Dergi Editörleri İçin Davranış Kuralları ve En İyi Uygulama İlkeleri” çerçevesinde aşağıdaki beyanlara yer verilmiştir: Bu çalışmanın yazarı bu çalışma için Etik Kurul onayı gerekmediğini beyan etmiştir.

Teşekkür

Yazar, Benjamin T. Jones’a ve anonim hakemlere bu araştırmayla ilgili faydalı geri bildirimleri için teşekkür eder.

Kaynakça

  • Amini, S., Delgado, M.S., Henderson, D.J. & Parmeter, C.F. (2012). Fixed vs random: The hausman test four decades later. In B.H. Baltagi, R. Carter Hill, W.K. Newey & H.L. White (Eds.), Essays in Honor of Jerry Hausman (pp. 479-513), Emerald Group Publishing Limited. https://doi.org/10.1108/S0731-9053(2012)0000029021
  • Australian Red Cross. (2011). International Humanitarian Law and the Responsibility to Protect: A handbook.
  • Bae, J. (2022). Human Rights Versus National Security in Public Opinion on Foreign Affairs South Korea Views of North Korea 2008-2019. KDI School of Public Policy & Management Paper.
  • Barry, C. M., Chad Clay, K., & Flynn, M. E. (2013). Avoiding the spotlight: Human rights shaming and foreign direct investment. International Studies Quarterly, 57(3), 532-544.
  • Britannica, T. Editors of Encyclopaedia (2023a, April). Muammar al-Qaddafi. Encyclopedia Britannica. https://www.britannica.com/biography/Muammar-al-Qaddafi
  • Britannica, T. Editors of Encyclopaedia (2023b, March). Nicolae Ceaușescu. Encyclopedia Britannica. https://www.britannica.com/biography/Nicolae-Ceausescu
  • Bueno de Mesquita, B., Smith, A., Siverson, R., & Morrow, J. (2003). The logic of political survival. MIT Press, DOI: 10.7551/mitpress/4292.001.0001
  • Buyse, A. (2018). Squeezing civic space: restrictions on civil society organizations and the linkages with human rights, The International Journal of Human Rights, 22(8), 966-988, DOI: 10.1080/13642987.2018.1492916
  • Cameron, A. C., & Miller, D. L. (2015). A practitioner’s guide to cluster-robust inference. Journal of Human Resources, 50(2), 317-372.
  • Campbell, W. K., Bush, C. P., Brunell, A. B., & Shelton, J. (2005). Understanding the social costs of narcissism: The case of the tragedy of the commons. Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 31(10), 1358-1368.
  • Chaudhry, S., Karim, S., & Scroggs, M. K. (2021). How leaders’ experiences and rebellion shape military recruitment during civil war. Journal of Peace Research, 58(5), 915–929. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022343320959381
  • Chetty, Priya (2016, Sep 07). Limitations and weakness of quantitative research methods. Knowledge Tank; Project Guru. https://www.projectguru.in/limitations-quantitative-research/
  • Chiozza, G., & Goemans, H. E. (2011). Leaders and international conflict. Cambridge University Press.
  • Cingranelli, D. L., & Richards, D. L. (1999). Measuring human rights, 1945-1998. Human Rights Quarterly, 21(2), 410-461.
  • Cingranelli, D. L., & Richards, D. L. (2012). The CIRI human rights dataset. In Human Rights in the United States (pp. 107-128). Springer.
  • Cohen, J. A. (2019, September). Communist China’s painful human rights story. Council on Foreign Relations. Retrieved from https://www.cfr.org/article/communist-chinas-painful-human-rights-story
  • Coppedge, M., Gerring, J., Knutsen, C. H., Lindberg, S. I., Teorell, J., Alizada, N., ..& Ziblatt, D. (2021). V-Dem dataset v11. 1.
  • Cordell, C., Finan, F., Kramon, E., & Robinson, A. (2022). Elections, violence, and human rights in sub-Saharan Africa. Cambridge University Press.
  • Corr, P. J. (2004). Reinforcement sensitivity theory and personality. Neuroscience and Biobehavioral Reviews, 28(3): 317–32.
  • Cottle, S. (2011). Media and the Arab uprisings of 2011. Journalism, 12(5), 647-659.
  • Davenport, C. (1995). Multi-dimensional threat perception and state repression: An inquiry into why states apply negative sanctions. American Journal of Political Science, 39(3), 683-713.
  • De Mesquita, B. B., Morrow, J. D., Siverson, R. M., & Smith, A. (2002). Political institutions, policy choice and the survival of leaders. British Journal of Political Science, 32(4), 559-590.
  • Demir, I. (2017). Overconfidence and risk taking in foreign policy decision making: The case of Turkey’s Syria policy. Springer.
  • Dhir, S., & Mital, A. (2012). Decision‐making for mergers and acquisitions: the role of agency issues and behavioral biases. Strategic Change, 21(1‐2), 59-69.
  • Doherty, D., & Wolak, J. (2012). When do the ends justify the means? Evaluating procedural fairness. Political Behavior, 34, 301-323.
  • Donnelly, J. (2008). Human Rights. In J. S. Dryzek, B. Honig, & A. Phillips (Eds.), The oxford handbook of political theory (pp. 601-20). New York: Oxford University Press.
  • Douzinas, C. (2007). Human rights and empire: the political philosophy of cosmopolitanism. Routledge.
  • Drukker, D. M. (2003). Testing for serial correlation in linear panel-data models. The Stata Journal, 3(2), 168–177. https://doi.org/10.1177/1536867X0300300206
  • Einsiedel, J. (2020). The effectiveness of international civil society organizations in protecting human rights in countries with limited human rights. A case study of Turkmenistan. DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.12468.68489.
  • Ellis, C., Horowitz, M., & Stam, A. (2015). Introducing the LEAD data set. International Interactions. 41. 150701124023001. 10.1080/03050629.2015.1016157.
  • Finnemore, M., & Sikkink, K. (1998). International norm dynamics and political change. International Organization, 52(4), 887-917.
  • Franklin, J.C. (2020). Human rights on the march: Repression, oppression, and protest in latin america, International Studies Quarterly, 64(1), 97–110. https://doi.org/10.1093/isq/sqz083
  • Friedman, H. H. (2017). Cognitive biases that interfere with critical thinking and scientific reasoning: A course module. Available at SSRN 2958800.
  • Fuhrmann, M., & Horowitz, M. C. (2015). When leaders matter: Rebel experience and nuclear proliferation, The Journal of Politics, 77(1), 72-87.
  • Gallo, C. (September 27, 2021). 5 cognitive biases blocking your success. Forbes.
  • Garbino, H. (2023). Rebels against Mines? Legitimacy and restraint on landmine use in the Philippines. Security Studies, 1-32.
  • Garriga, A. C. (2016). Human rights regimes, reputation, and foreign direct investment. International Studies Quarterly, 60(1), 160-172.
  • George, A. L. (1980). Presidential decision making in foreign policy: The effective use of information and advice. Westview Press.
  • Goemans, H. E., Gleditsch, K. S., & Chiozza, G. (2009). Introducing archigos: A dataset of political leaders. Journal of Peace Research, 46(2), 269–283. http://www.jstor.org/stable/25654384
  • Gurr, T. R. (1986). The political origins of state violence and terror: a theoretical analysis. In M. Stohl and G. A. Lopez (eds.) Government violence and repression: An agenda for research (pp. 45-71). New York: Greenwood.
  • Helfrecht, C., & Dira, S. J. (2023). The Sidama Model of Human Development. Human Nature, 1-27.
  • Henderson, C. (1991). Conditions affecting the use of political repression. Journal of Conflict Resolution 35, 120-42.
  • Henderson, C. (1993). Population pressures and political repression. Social Science Quarterly 74, 322-33.
  • Horowitz, M. C., Potter, P., Sechser, T. S., & Stam, A. (2018). Sizing up the adversary: Leader attributes and coercion in international conflict. Journal of Conflict Resolution, 62(10), 2180–2204. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022002718788605
  • Horowitz, M., & Stam, A. (2014). How prior military experience influences the future militarized behavior of leaders. International Organization, 68(3), 527-559. doi:10.1017/S0020818314000046
  • Huber, P. J. (1967). Under nonstandard conditions. In Proceedings of the Fifth Berkeley Symposium on Mathematical Statistics and Probability: Weather Modification; University of California Press: Berkeley, CA, USA (p. 221).
  • Jervis, R. (1976). Perception and misperception in international politics. Princeton University Press.
  • Johnson, D. D. (2004). Overconfidence and war: The havoc and glory of positive illusions. Harvard University Press.
  • Jones, B., & Mattiacci, E. (2019). A Manifesto, in 140 characters or fewer: Social media as a tool of rebel diplomacy. British Journal of Political Science, 49(2), 739-761. doi:10.1017/S0007123416000612
  • Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (2013). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. In Handbook of the fundamentals of financial decision making: Part I (pp. 99-127).
  • Kannadhasan, M., Aramvalarthan, S., & Pavan Kumar, B. (2014). Relationship among cognitive biases, risk perceptions and individual’s decision to start a venture. Decision, 41(1), 87-98.
  • Kennedy, A. B. (2011). The International ambitions of Mao and Nehru: National efficacy beliefs and the making of foreign policy. Cambridge University Press.
  • Koellinger, P., Minniti, M., & Schade, C. (2007). “I think I can, I think I can”: Overconfidence and entrepreneurial behavior. Journal of Economic Psychology, 28(4), 502-527.
  • Krueger Jr, N., & Dickson, P. R. (1994). How believing in ourselves increases risk taking: Perceived self‐efficacy and opportunity recognition. Decision Sciences, 25(3), 385-400.
  • Langer, E.J. (1975). The illusion of control. Journal of Personality and Personal Psychology, 32(2), 311-328.
  • Leonard Boyle, E. (2017). Was Idi Amin’s government a terrorist regime?. Terrorism and Political Violence, 29(4), 593-609. Levy, J. S. (1992). Prospect theory and international relations: Theoretical applications and analytical problems. Political Psychology, 283-310.
  • Li, M., Petruzzi, N. C., & Zhang, J. (2017). Overconfident competing newsvendors. Management Science, 63(8), 2637-2646.
  • Marcoulides, K. M., & Raykov, T. (2019). Evaluation of variance inflation factors in regression models using latent variable modeling methods. Educational and Psychological Measurement, 79(5), 874–882. https://doi.org/10.1177/0013164418817803
  • Matthews, D. R. (1954). The social background of political decision-makers. Random House.
  • McDermott, R. (2004). The feeling of rationality: The meaning of neuroscientific advances for political science. Perspectives on politics, 2(4), 691-706.
  • McDonough, A., & Rodríguez, D. C. (2020). How donors support civil society as government accountability advocates: a review of strategies and implications for transition of donor funding in global health. Globalization and health, 16(1), 1-18.
  • McKay, S. (2005). Girls as “weapons of terror” in Northern Uganda and Sierra Leonean rebel fighting forces. Studies in Conflict & Terrorism, 28(5), 385-397.
  • McWeeney, M., Cunningham, K. G., & Bauer, L. (2023). Rebel actors and legitimacy building. International Politics, 1-22.
  • Mitchell, N, J., & McCormick, J. M. (1988). Economic and political explanations of human rights violations. World Politics 40:476-98.
  • Mitchell, N. J., Carey, S. C., & Butler, C. K. (2014). The impact of pro-government militias on human rights violations. International Interactions, 40(5), 812-836.
  • Moravcsik, A. (1995). Explaining international human rights regimes: Liberal theory and Western Europe. European Journal of International Relations, 1(2), 157-189.
  • O’Neil, P. H., Fields, K. J., & Share, D. (2020). Cases in comparative politics (7th ed.). W.W. Norton.
  • Padilla, A., Hogan, R., & Kaiser, R. B. (2007). The toxic triangle: Destructive leaders, susceptible followers, and conducive environments. The leadership quarterly, 18(3), 176-194.
  • Park, A. S. (2006). ‘Other inhumane acts’: Forced marriage, girl soldiers and the Special Court for Sierra Leone. Social & Legal Studies, 15(3), 315-337.
  • Poe, S. C., & Tate, C. N. (1994). Repression of human rights to personal integrity in the 1980s: A global analysis. American Political Science Review 88(4), 853-72.
  • Prevost, G. (2007). Fidel Castro and the Cuban revolution. Headwaters, 24(1), 19-33.
  • Qadri, S. U., & Shabbir, M. (2014). An empirical study of overconfidence and illusion of control biases, impact on investor’s decision making: An evidence from ISE. European Journal of Business and Management, 6(14), 38-44.
  • Rashid, I. (2023). Contentious reconstructions: scholarship, conflict, and state reconfiguration in Sierra Leone, 1990–2002. African Conflict & Peacebuilding Review, 13(1), 9-43.
  • Renshaw, C. S. (2012). National human rights institutions and civil society organizations: New dynamics of engagement at domestic, regional, and international levels. Global Governance, 18(3), 299–316. http://www.jstor.org/stable/23269959
  • Sarkees, M.R., & Wayman, F. (2010). Resort to war: 1816 – 2007. CQ Press.
  • Shaw, M. (2014). Genocide and large‐scale human rights violations. In (Eds Kaldor, M. and. Rangelov, I) The handbook of global security policy (pp. 145-159). Wiley.
  • Sikkink, K. (2011). The justice cascade: How human rights prosecutions are changing world politics (the Norton series in world politics). WW Norton & Company.
  • Stier, S. (2015). Political determinants of e-government performance revisited: Comparing democracies and autocracies. Government Information Quarterly, 32(3), 270-278.
  • Sundstrom, L. (2005). Physical integrity rights and the international criminal court. The American Journal of International Law, 99(2), 460-482.
  • The World Bank. (2012). The World Bank Development Indicators (WDI).
  • Themner, L., & Wallensteen, P. (2012). Armed Conflicts, 1946–2011. Journal of Peace Research 49 (4), 565–75.
  • Tilly, C. (1985). War making and state making as organized crime. Cambridge: Blackwell.
  • United Nations. (1948). Universal Declaration of Human Rights.
  • USAID. (2016). Human rights landscape analysis tool: Guidance on identifying key issues and entry points for human rights programming. Washington, DC: USAID.
  • White, H. (1980). A heteroskedasticity-consistent covariance matrix estimator and a direct test for heteroskedasticity. Econometrica: journal of the Econometric Society, 817-838.
  • Wolff, A. W., & Maruyama, W. (2023). Saving the WTO from the national security exception. Peterson Institute for International Economics, Working Paper, No. 23-2.
  • Xue, G., Lu, Z., Levin, I. P., & Bechara, A. (2011). An fMRI study of risk-taking following wins and losses: implications for the gambler’s fallacy. Human brain mapping, 32(2), 271–281. https://doi.org/10.1002/hbm.21015
  • Zack-Williams, A. B. (1999). Sierra Leone: the political economy of civil war, 1991-98. Third World Quarterly, 20(1), 143-162.
  • Zuckerman, M. & Kuhlman, D.M. (2000), Personality and risk-taking: common bisocial factors. Journal of Personality, 68, 999-1029. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-6494.00124
Toplam 89 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil İngilizce
Konular Karşılaştırmalı Siyasi Hareketler
Bölüm Araştırma Makalesi
Yazarlar

Adil Yıldız 0009-0005-0020-3726

Erken Görünüm Tarihi 29 Aralık 2023
Yayımlanma Tarihi 31 Aralık 2023
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2023 Cilt: 8 Sayı: 2

Kaynak Göster

APA Yıldız, A. (2023). Prior Rebel Experience of Leaders and Its Influence on Physical Integrity Rights. Aurum Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 8(2), 173-196. https://doi.org/10.62393/aurum.1329167