Medium and Long Term Electricity Consumption Prediction Models for Northern Cyprus
Öz
Overestimation of energy usage would result wasted capacity and financial loss while underestimation would result devastating power disruptions. The objective is therefore to simultaneously improve the efficiency of energy systems and develop state-of-art techniques which accurately predict future energy demand. This is especially vital for developing regions such as Northern Cyprus. In this study, we provide medium and long term electricity consumption models using varying time-series and associative forecasting techniques. When time series methods are studied, a novel approach of optimizing initial parameters in addition to smoothing parameters is applied. A benchmark study is provided to evaluate the performance of different consumption models in terms of forecast accuracy
Anahtar Kelimeler
Kaynakça
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Ayrıntılar
Birincil Dil
İngilizce
Konular
-
Bölüm
Araştırma Makalesi
Yazarlar
Yasemin Merzifonluoğlu
Türkiye
Yayımlanma Tarihi
15 Kasım 2016
Gönderilme Tarihi
2 Şubat 2015
Kabul Tarihi
16 Ekim 2015
Yayımlandığı Sayı
Yıl 2016 Cilt: 16 Sayı: Özel Sayı