Küresel İklim Değişikliğinin Bolu’da Bazı İklim Parametreleri ve İklim Tiplerine Etkisi

İsmail Koç

doi:10.24011/barofd.947981

Araştırma Makalesi

The Effect of Global Climate Change on Some Climate Parameters and Climate Types in Bolu

Yıl 2021, Cilt: 23 Sayı: 2, 706 - 719, 16.08.2021

İsmail Koç

https://doi.org/10.24011/barofd.947981

Cited By: 8

Öz

Global climate change, the most crucial problem today, directly or indirectly affects all living things globally. Within the scope of this study, the current situation and the situation in 2050 and 2070 were compared using the RCP 45 and RCP 85 scenarios of the changes that may occur in the temperature, precipitation, and climate structure of the Bolu province due to global climate change. In this process, possible changes in climate types that may occur were determined according to the climate classification of De Martonne, Lang, and Emberger, depending on temperature and precipitation. As a result, the temperature, precipitation, and climate classes will change significantly depending on temperature and precipitation in Bolu province in the future, and this change will be in the form of a temperature increase. It is predicted that this situation may cause very drastic changes in the climate type. As a result, according to the De Martonne climate classification, today, a humid climate prevails in approximately 43.94% of the province and very humid in 27.16%. In 2070, according to the RCP 45 scenario, approximately 33.49% of the province will be humid, and 17.71% will have a very humid climate, while according to the RCP 85 scenario, approximately 35.21 and 8.97% of the province will prevail under a humid and very humid climate. Similarly, according to the Lang climate classification, while arid climate prevails in only 0.71% of Bolu today, this rate will increase to 18.17 and 30.41 % according to the RCP 45 and 85 scenarios in 2070, respectively.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Bolu, climate change, RCP 45, RCP 85

Kaynakça

Adiguzel, F., Cetin, M., Kaya, E., Simsek, M., Gungor, S., Sert, E. B. (2020). Defining suitable areas for bioclimatic comfort for landscape planning and landscape management in Hatay, Turkey. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 139(3-4), 1493-1503.
Aktaş, B. (2020). Küresel ısınmaya bağlı olarak Konya’da bazı iklim parametreleri ve iklim tiplerinde meydana gelebilecek olası değişiklikler. Yüksek Lisans Tezi, KÜ Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü Sürdürülebilir Tarım ve Tabi Bitki Kaynakları Anabilim Dalı, Kastamonu, 100 s.
Aricak, B., Cetin, M., Erdem, R., Sevik, H., Cometen, H. (2019). The change of some heavy metal concentrations in Scotch pine (Pinus sylvestris) depending on traffic density, organelle and washing. Applied Ecology and Environmental Research, 17(3), 6723-6734.
Batır, D. (2019). Eskişehir'de yetiştirilen bazı yenilebilir peyzaj bitkilerinde ağır metal birikimi. Yüksek Lisans Tezi, KÜ Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü, Peyzaj Mimarlığı Anabilim Dalı, Kastamonu, 60 s.
Bayraktar, O. Y. (2020). The Use of Rice Husk Waste in Foam Concrete Production. Turkish Journal of Agriculture-Food Science and Technology, 8(12), 2716-2722.
Bayraktar, O.Y. (2021). Possibilities of disposing silica fume and waste glass powder, which are environmental wastes, by using as a substitute for portland cement. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 1-7.
Buyurukcu, S. (2011). Hanönü-Günlüburun Anadolu karaçamı (Pinus nigra Arnold ssp. pallasiana Lamb. Holmboe) tohum bahçesinde su stresi etkileri yönünden klonal varyasyon. Yüksek Lisans Tezi, KÜ. Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü, Orman Mühendisliği Anabilim Dalı, Kastamonu, 73 s.
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Cetin, M., Onac, A. K., Sevik, H., Sen, B. (2019). Temporal and regional change of some air pollution parameters in Bursa. Air Quality, Atmosphere & Health, 12(3), 311-316.
Cetin, M., Sevik, H., Cobanoglu, O. (2020). Ca, Cu, and Li in washed and unwashed specimens of needles, bark, and branches of the blue spruce (Picea pungens) in the city of Ankara. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 1-10.
Cetin, M., Sevik, H., Yigit, N., Ozel H.B., Aricak, B., Varol, T. (2018). The variable of leaf micromorphogical characters on grown in distinct climate conditions in some landscape plants. Fresenius Environmental Bulletin, 27(5), 3206-3211.
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Küresel İklim Değişikliğinin Bolu’da Bazı İklim Parametreleri ve İklim Tiplerine Etkisi

Yıl 2021, Cilt: 23 Sayı: 2, 706 - 719, 16.08.2021

İsmail Koç

https://doi.org/10.24011/barofd.947981

Cited By: 8

Öz

Günümüzün en önemli sorunu olan küresel iklim değişikliğinin dünyadaki tüm canlılar üzerinde doğrudan ya da dolaylı etkisi vardır. Bu çalışma kapsamında Bolu ilinin küresel iklim değişikliğine bağlı olarak sıcaklık, yağış ve bunlara bağlı olarak da iklim yapısında meydana gelebilecek değişikliklerin RCP 45 ve RCP 85 senaryoları kullanılarak günümüzdeki durum ile 2050 ve 2070 yıllarındaki durum karşılaştırılmış, bu süreçte sıcaklık ve yağış ile bunlara bağlı olarak De Martonne, Lang ve Emberger iklim sınıflandırmasına göre iklim tiplerindeki meydana gelebilecek değişiklikler belirlenmiştir. Çalışma sonuçları gelecek yıllarda Bolu il genelinde sıcaklık, yağış ve bunlara bağlı olarak iklim sınıflarında önemli ölçüde değişiklik olacağını göstermektedir. Bu değişikliğin özellikle sıcaklık artışı şeklinde olacağı ve bu durumun iklim tipinde çok sert değişikliklere sebep olacağı öngörülmektedir. Çalışma sonuçlarına göre De Martonne iklim sınıflandırmasına göre günümüzde il genelinin yaklaşık %43,94’ünde nemli ve %27,16’sında çok nemli iklim hüküm sürerken 2070 yılında RCP 45 senaryosuna göre ilin yaklaşık %33,49’u nemli ve %17,71’inde çok nemli, RCP 85 senaryosuna göre ise ilin yaklaşık %35,21’i nemli ve %8,97’si de çok nemli iklimin etkisi altında olacaktır. Benzer şekilde Lang iklim sınıflandırmasına göre günümüzde Bolu’nun sadece %0,71’inde kurak iklim hüküm sürerken 2070 yılında bu oran RCP 45 senaryosuna göre %18,17 ve RCP 85 senaryosuna göre ise %30,41 seviyesine çıkacaktır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Bolu, iklim değişikliği, RCP 45, RCP 85

Kaynakça

Adiguzel, F., Cetin, M., Kaya, E., Simsek, M., Gungor, S., Sert, E. B. (2020). Defining suitable areas for bioclimatic comfort for landscape planning and landscape management in Hatay, Turkey. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 139(3-4), 1493-1503.
Aktaş, B. (2020). Küresel ısınmaya bağlı olarak Konya’da bazı iklim parametreleri ve iklim tiplerinde meydana gelebilecek olası değişiklikler. Yüksek Lisans Tezi, KÜ Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü Sürdürülebilir Tarım ve Tabi Bitki Kaynakları Anabilim Dalı, Kastamonu, 100 s.
Aricak, B., Cetin, M., Erdem, R., Sevik, H., Cometen, H. (2019). The change of some heavy metal concentrations in Scotch pine (Pinus sylvestris) depending on traffic density, organelle and washing. Applied Ecology and Environmental Research, 17(3), 6723-6734.
Batır, D. (2019). Eskişehir'de yetiştirilen bazı yenilebilir peyzaj bitkilerinde ağır metal birikimi. Yüksek Lisans Tezi, KÜ Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü, Peyzaj Mimarlığı Anabilim Dalı, Kastamonu, 60 s.
Bayraktar, O. Y. (2020). The Use of Rice Husk Waste in Foam Concrete Production. Turkish Journal of Agriculture-Food Science and Technology, 8(12), 2716-2722.
Bayraktar, O.Y. (2021). Possibilities of disposing silica fume and waste glass powder, which are environmental wastes, by using as a substitute for portland cement. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 1-7.
Buyurukcu, S. (2011). Hanönü-Günlüburun Anadolu karaçamı (Pinus nigra Arnold ssp. pallasiana Lamb. Holmboe) tohum bahçesinde su stresi etkileri yönünden klonal varyasyon. Yüksek Lisans Tezi, KÜ. Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü, Orman Mühendisliği Anabilim Dalı, Kastamonu, 73 s.
Cesur, A., Zeren Cetin, I., Abo Aisha, A. E. S., Alrabiti, O. B. M., Aljama, A. M. O., Jawed, A. A., Cetin, M., Sevik, H., Ozel, H. B. (2021). The usability of Cupressus arizonica annual rings in monitoring the changes in heavy metal concentration in air. Environmental Science and Pollution Research. Doi: 10.1007/s11356-021-13166-4; https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-13166-4
Cetin, M. (2020). The Changing of Important Factors in The Landscape Planning Occur Due to Global Climate Change in Temperature, Rain and Climate Types: A Case Study of Mersin City. Turkish Journal of Agriculture-Food Science and Technology, 8(12), 2695-2701.
Cetin, M., Onac, A. K., Sevik, H., Sen, B. (2019). Temporal and regional change of some air pollution parameters in Bursa. Air Quality, Atmosphere & Health, 12(3), 311-316.
Cetin, M., Sevik, H., Cobanoglu, O. (2020). Ca, Cu, and Li in washed and unwashed specimens of needles, bark, and branches of the blue spruce (Picea pungens) in the city of Ankara. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 1-10.
Cetin, M., Sevik, H., Yigit, N., Ozel H.B., Aricak, B., Varol, T. (2018). The variable of leaf micromorphogical characters on grown in distinct climate conditions in some landscape plants. Fresenius Environmental Bulletin, 27(5), 3206-3211.
Chugunkova, A.V., Pyzhev, A.I. (2020). Impacts of Global Climate Change on Duration of Logging Season in Siberian Boreal Forests. Forests, 11(7), 756. Çalı, K. (2018). Kentsel planlama çalışmalarında biyokonfor; Manisa örneği. Yüksek Lisans, KÜ Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü, Sürdürülebilir Tarım ve Tabii Bitki Kaynakları Anabilim Dalı, Kastamonu, 72 s.
Dalfes, H.N., Karaca, M., Şen, Ö.L. & Güven, Ç. (2007). Climate Change Scenarios for Turkey. Climate Change & Turkey Impacts, Sectoral Analyses, Socio Economic Dimensions. Ankara: United Nations Development.
De Jaegere, T., Hein, S., Claessens, H. (2016). A review of the characteristics of small-leaved lime (Tilia cordata Mill.) and their implications for silviculture in a changing climate. Forests, 7(3), 56.
Demircan, M., Demir, Ö., Atay, H., Eskioğlu, O., Tüvan, A., Akçakaya, A. (2014). Climate change projections for Turkey with new scenarios. The Climate Change and Climate Dynamics Conference, CCCD2014, 8-10 September 2014, İstanbul.
Dyderski, M. K., Paź, S., Frelich, L. E., Jagodziński, A. M. (2018). How much does climate change threaten European forest tree species distributions. Global change biology, 24(3), 1150-1163.
Erickson, P., van Asselt, H., Koplow, D., Lazarus, M., Newell, P., Oreskes, N., Supran, G. (2020). Why fossil fuel producer subsidies matter. Nature, 578(7793), E1-E4.
Ertugrul, M., Ozel, H. B., Varol, T., Cetin, M., Sevik, H. (2019). Investigation of the relationship between burned areas and climate factors in large forest fires in the Canakkale region. Environmental monitoring and assessment, 191(12), 737.
Ertugrul, M., Varol, T., Ozel, H. B., Cetin, M., Sevik, H. (2021). Influence of climatic factor of changes in forest fire danger and fire season length in Turkey. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 193(1), 1-17.
Gaulin, N., Le Billon, P. (2020). Climate change and fossil fuel production cuts: assessing global supply-side constraints and policy implications. Climate Policy, 20(8), 888-901. Gómez‐Pineda, E., Sáenz‐Romero, C., Ortega‐Rodríguez, J. M., Blanco‐García, A., Madrigal‐Sánchez, X., Lindig‐Cisneros, R., Lopez-Toledo, L., Pedraza-Santos, M. E., Rehfeldt, G. E. (2020). Suitable climatic habitat changes for Mexican conifers along altitudinal gradients under climatic change scenarios. Ecological Applications, 30(2), e02041.
Gungor, S., Cetin, M., Adiguzel, F. (2020). Calculation of comfortable thermal conditions for Mersin urban city planning in Turkey. Air Quality, Atmosphere & Health, 1-8.
Hrivnák, M., Paule, L., Krajmerová, D., Kulaç, Ş., Şevik, H., Turna, İ., Tvauri, I., Gömöry, D. (2017). Genetic variation in Tertiary relics: The case of eastern‐Mediterranean Abies (Pinaceae). Ecology and evolution, 7(23), 10018-10030.
Kalayci Onac, A., Cetin, M., Sevik, H., Orman, P., Karci, A., Gonullu Sutcuoglu, G. (2021). Rethinking the campus transportation network in the scope of ecological design principles: case study of Izmir Katip Çelebi University Çiğli Campus. Environmental Science and Pollution Research. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-14299-2
Kesik, H. I., Korkut, S., Hiziroglu, S., Sevik, H. (2014). An evaluation of properties of four heat treated wood species. Industrial Crops and Products, 60, 60-65.
Kilicoglu, C., Cetin, M., Aricak, B., Sevik, H. (2020). Site selection by using the multi-criteria technique-a case study of Bafra, Turkey. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 192(9), 1-12.
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Koç, İ. (2021). Examining Seed Germination Rate and Seedlings Gas Exchange Performances of Some Turkish Red Pine Provenances Under Water Stress. Düzce Üniversitesi Bilim ve Teknoloji Dergisi, Ek Sayı, 48-60. DOI: 10.29130/dubited.898820
Lacroix, K., Gifford, R., Rush, J. (2020). Climate change beliefs shape the interpretation of forest fire events. Climatic Change, 159(1), 103-120.
Melek, T. (2020). Devrekani Tarım Topraklarında Bazı Toprak Özelliklerinin Coğrafi Bilgi Sistemleri Yardımıyla Değerlendirilmesi. Yüksek Lisans Tezi, KÜ Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü, Sürdürülebilir Tarım ve Tabii Bitki Kaynakları Ana Bilim Dalı., Kastamonu, 70 s.
Ning, H., Ling, L., Sun, X., Kang, X., Chen, H. (2021). Predicting the future redistribution of Chinese white pine Pinus armandii Franch. Under climate change scenarios in China using species distribution models. Global Ecology and Conservation, 25, e01420.
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Ozel, HB., Cetin, M., Sevik, H., Varol, T., Isik, B., Yaman, B. (2021). The effects of base station as an electromagnetic radiation source on flower and cone yield and germination percentage in Pinus brutia Ten. Biologia Futura. https://doi.org/10.1007/s42977-021-00085-1
Ozkazanc, N. K., Ozay, E., Ozel, H. B., Cetin, M., Sevik, H. (2019). The habitat, ecological life conditions, and usage characteristics of the otter (Lutra lutra L. 1758) in the Balikdami Wildlife Development Area. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 191(11), 645.
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Sert, E. B., Kaya, E., Adiguzel, F., Cetin, M., Gungor, S., Cetin, I. Z., Dinc, Y. (2021). Effect of the surface temperature of surface materials on thermal comfort: a case study of Iskenderun (Hatay, Turkey). Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 1-11.
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Yigit, N., Mutevelli, Z., Sevik, H., Onat, S. M., Ozel, H. B., Çetin, M., Olgun, Ç. (2021). Identification of Some Fiber Characteristics in Rosa sp. and Nerium oleander L. Wood Grown under Different Ecological Conditions. BioResources, 16(3), 5862-5874.
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Yucedag, C., Ozel, H. B., Cetin, M., Sevik, H. (2019). Variability in morphological traits of seedlings from five Euonymus japonicus cultivars. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 191(5), 1-4.
Zeren Cetin, I., Sevik, H. (2020). Investigation of the relationship between bioclimatic comfort and land use by using GIS and RS techniques in Trabzon. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 192(2), 71.

Toplam 59 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil	Türkçe
Konular	Orman Endüstri Mühendisliği
Bölüm	Biodiversity, Environmental Management and Policy, Sustainable Forestry
Yazarlar	İsmail Koç 0000-0001-5847-9155
Yayımlanma Tarihi	16 Ağustos 2021
Yayımlandığı Sayı	Yıl 2021 Cilt: 23 Sayı: 2

Kaynak Göster

APA	Koç, İ. (2021). Küresel İklim Değişikliğinin Bolu’da Bazı İklim Parametreleri ve İklim Tiplerine Etkisi. Bartın Orman Fakültesi Dergisi, 23(2), 706-719. https://doi.org/10.24011/barofd.947981