Araştırma Makalesi

Fiscal And Monetary Policies Effect on Borsa Istanbul (BIST) Performance

Cilt: 12 Sayı: 24 30 Kasım 2021
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Fiscal And Monetary Policies Effect on Borsa Istanbul (BIST) Performance

Öz

Our paper examines the impacts of monetary and fiscal policies on Borsa Istanbul (BIST) performance in Turkey. In the established model, government expenditures, tax revenue, budget deficit, money supply (M2), interest rate, gdp growth rate included as independent variables and BIST stock market capitalisation as dependent variable for last 25 years (1995 to 2020). Firstly, Augmented Dickey - Fuller (ADF) and Philips Perron (PP) unit root tests have been performed to the series for stationarity. To confirm long run relationship, Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) cointegration technique has been applied. Subsequently, error correction method has been used for analyzing short run relationship between series and causality relationship has been tested by granger casuality test. The test results, indicate the existence of long run relationship between both policies and stock market performance, while short run relationship exists only between budget deficit and gdp growth rate variables on stock market performance respectively positive and negative impact. The results also pointed out there is a bidirectional causality relationship between budget deficit and stock market performance. GDP growth also is the cause of stock market performance.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Kaynakça

  1. Afonso, A. and Sousa, R. M.(2011). What are the effects of fiscal policy on asset markets?, Economic Modelling, 28(4), 1871-1890, doi:10.1016/j.econmod.2011.03.018.
  2. Akitoby, B. and Stratmann, T. (2008). Fiscal policy and financial markets. The Economic Journal, 118, 1971–1985.
  3. Andersen, Torben G., Tim Bollerslev, Francis X. Diebold and Vega, C. (2007). Real-Time Price Discovery in Global Stock, Bond and Foreign Exchange Markets. Journal of International Economics,73: 251–77.
  4. Arin, K.P., Mamun, A. and Purushothman, N. (2009). The effects of tax policy on financial markets: G3 evidence. Review of Financial Economics,18, 33–46.
  5. Bernanke, B. and Gertler, M. (1989). Agency costs, net worth and business cycles. American Economic Review, 79, pp. 14-31.
  6. Blinder, Alan S. (2004). The Case Against the Case Against Discretionary Fiscal Policy. Princeton NJ: Princeton University. CEPS Working Paper 100.
  7. Brooks, Chris (2008). Introductory Econometrics for Finance, 2nd. Edition, Cambridge University Press UK.
  8. Bui, Trung T. (2015). Asymmetric Effect of Monetary Policy on Stock Market Volatility in ASEAN5. Eurasian Journal of Business and Economics,8: 185–97.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil

Türkçe

Konular

Finans

Bölüm

Araştırma Makalesi

Yayımlanma Tarihi

30 Kasım 2021

Gönderilme Tarihi

2 Ekim 2021

Kabul Tarihi

28 Ekim 2021

Yayımlandığı Sayı

Yıl 2021 Cilt: 12 Sayı: 24

Kaynak Göster

APA
Gülcemal, T. (2021). Fiscal And Monetary Policies Effect on Borsa Istanbul (BIST) Performance. Bartın Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 12(24), 357-375. https://doi.org/10.47129/bartiniibf.1003836
AMA
1.Gülcemal T. Fiscal And Monetary Policies Effect on Borsa Istanbul (BIST) Performance. BÜİİBFD. 2021;12(24):357-375. doi:10.47129/bartiniibf.1003836
Chicago
Gülcemal, Tuba. 2021. “Fiscal And Monetary Policies Effect on Borsa Istanbul (BIST) Performance”. Bartın Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi 12 (24): 357-75. https://doi.org/10.47129/bartiniibf.1003836.
EndNote
Gülcemal T (01 Kasım 2021) Fiscal And Monetary Policies Effect on Borsa Istanbul (BIST) Performance. Bartın Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi 12 24 357–375.
IEEE
[1]T. Gülcemal, “Fiscal And Monetary Policies Effect on Borsa Istanbul (BIST) Performance”, BÜİİBFD, c. 12, sy 24, ss. 357–375, Kas. 2021, doi: 10.47129/bartiniibf.1003836.
ISNAD
Gülcemal, Tuba. “Fiscal And Monetary Policies Effect on Borsa Istanbul (BIST) Performance”. Bartın Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi 12/24 (01 Kasım 2021): 357-375. https://doi.org/10.47129/bartiniibf.1003836.
JAMA
1.Gülcemal T. Fiscal And Monetary Policies Effect on Borsa Istanbul (BIST) Performance. BÜİİBFD. 2021;12:357–375.
MLA
Gülcemal, Tuba. “Fiscal And Monetary Policies Effect on Borsa Istanbul (BIST) Performance”. Bartın Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, c. 12, sy 24, Kasım 2021, ss. 357-75, doi:10.47129/bartiniibf.1003836.
Vancouver
1.Tuba Gülcemal. Fiscal And Monetary Policies Effect on Borsa Istanbul (BIST) Performance. BÜİİBFD. 01 Kasım 2021;12(24):357-75. doi:10.47129/bartiniibf.1003836

Cited By

Bartın Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, Mayıs ve Kasım aylarında olmak üzere yılda iki defa yayımlanan, 16. yılını doldurmuş çift kör hakemli uluslararası açık erişim bir dergidir. Dergi EBSCO Business Source Ultimate, Index Copernicus, Akademia Sosyal Bilimler İndeksi (ASOS) ve SOBIAD indekslerinde taranmaktadır. TR Dizin indeksinde taranması için de girişimlerde bulunulmuş olup değerlendirilme süreci devam etmektedir. 

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