ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS OF CONVERGENCE IN CARBON EMISSION PER CAPITA FOR MENA COUNTRIES

Öz

In this study, it is mainly aimed to investigate whether carbon emission rates tend to converge for MENA countries. In this context, the convergence of carbon emissions per capita in MENA countries is examined for the period 1965-2014. In the study in which panel data econometric methods are applied, it is primarily investigated whether there are cross-sectional dependence on the variables. After the determination of cross-sectional dependency, the stationarity of the series are examined by CADF unit root test. According to the test results, it is concluded that the carbon emission rates series in MENA countries are stationary at I(1). The results of the study indicate that the carbon emission per capita in MENA countries tends to converge and they are in a similar industrialization process

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Carbon Emission
• Convergence
• MENA Countries
• Panel Unit Root Test

MENA ÜLKELERİ İÇİN KİŞİ BAŞINA KARBON EMİSYONU YAKINSAMASININ EKONOMETRİK ANALİZİ

Öz

Bu çalışmada temel olarak MENA ülkelerinde karbon emisyon oranlarının yakınsama eğilimi içinde olup olmadığının araştırılması amaçlanmaktadır. Bu kapsamda çalışmada MENA ülkelerinde kişi başına karbon emisyonunun yakınsaması 1965-2014 dönemi için incelenmektedir. Panel veri ekonometrik yöntemlerinin uygulandığı çalışmada öncelikle değişkenlerde yatay kesit bağımlılığının olup olmadığı araştırılıştır. Yatay kesit bağımlılığının tespit edilmesiyle birlikte serilerin durağanlığı CADF birim kök testi ile incelenmiştir. Test sonuçlarına göre MENA ülkelerinde karbon emisyon oranlarına ait serilerin 1.farkında durağan olduğu sonucuna ulaşılmıştır. Çalışmanın sonuçları MENA ülkelerinde kişi başına karbon emisyonlarının yakınsama trendinde olduğunu ve bu nedenle ülkelerin yakın bir sanayileşme süreci içerisinde olduklarını işaret etmektedir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Karbon Emisyonu
• Yakınsama
• MENA Ülkeleri
• Panel Birim Kök Testi

Kaynakça

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